Analysis of Patriot Incident in Bahrain
by | 2026-03-22 | No Comments
This is the longer analysis of a news story (“Patriot Missile Involved in Bahrain Blast Likely U.S. Operated, Analysis Finds,”) we did with Jonathan Landay, M.B. Pell, and Travis Hartman at Reuters on the Patriot incident in Bahrain on March 9, 2026. By Jeffrey Lewis, Michael Duitsman, and Sam Lair 1. Summary Assessment We assess …
GUEST POST: ON ‘FIRMS’ Ground: Can drone innovation in Ukraine be seen from space?
by | 2026-02-27 | No Comments
Today’s Guest Post is from Josiah Durfee a Middlebury College grad and former Team member in Monterey. He is currently based in the UK where he is getting a Masters of Strategic Studies at the University of St Andrews. In this article Josiah will take us through his deep interests in OSINT data sources, UAVs …
Whither the Iranian S-300?
by | 2026-02-20 | No Comments
In light of the increasing tensions between the U.S. and Iran, the expanding American regional military presence, and the talk of potential U.S. strikes as early as tomorrow, I thought I might check in on some Iranian air defense sites I have been keeping an eye on. One of the common talking points since the …
A Chabahar Check-In
by | 2026-02-13 | No Comments
Earlier this month at an event for Iran’s Space Technology Day, Iranian Space Agency President Hassan Salarieh made a set of announcements. According to the IRGC-associated Tasnim news, alongside the inauguration of a new satellite ground station in Salmas, Salarieh announced construction of the new spaceport near Chabahar had been completed. Previous statements from Salarieh …
Conscious Decoupling
by ACW Podcast | February 7, 2026
(Just Like) New START is Over
by ACW Podcast | February 7, 2026
GUEST POST: IF YOU CAN'T DODGE A WRENCH: China May be Ill-Equipped to Deal with a Nuclear Accident or Attack
by John Ford | January 26, 2026
Oreshnik Again
by ACW Podcast | January 21, 2026
GUEST POST: IF YOU CAN DODGE A WRENCH: How the PLA Plans to Use Hypersonic Weapons
by John Ford | January 13, 2026
Guest Post - BAYWATCH: Identifying Signatures of PLA Rocket Force High-Bay Garages
by John Ford | January 6, 2026
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Founded in 2004 by Jeffrey Lewis, Arms Control Wonk was the first blog on arms control, disarmament and nonproliferation. It has since been a home to everything that is "too wonky or obscene" for publication about nuclear weapons. The site now features thirty-plus contributors with an archive of over three thousand articles.
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