Trump is ‘trapped’ on Iran. This is what will happen next | Robert Pape

A short history of disinformation via bots

Pacemaker company’s QA process failure

From a NY Times article:

Boston Scientific was not adequately checking the quality of its batteries, an F.D.A. inspection would later find. The company tested batteries in its factory, but between 2013 and 2021, it did not routinely analyze the results, agency inspectors reported, effectively blinding it to potential problems.

The entire article is worth reading if you or someone you know has a Boston Scientific pacemaker, as I do.

I added a prefatory update to my post on my pacemaker adventure four years ago.

Texting a Random Stranger Better for Loneliness Than Talking to a Chatbot

Rosie Thomas reports in 404 Media:

Lonely young people are likely better off texting a random stranger than talking to a chatbot, according to a new study.

Researchers from the University of British Columbia found that first-semester college students who texted a randomly selected fellow first-semester college student every day for two weeks experienced around a nine percent reduction in feelings of loneliness. The same two weeks of daily messaging with a Discord chatbot reduced loneliness by around two percent, which turned out to be the same amount as daily one-sentence journaling.

The research included 300 first-semester college students who were either randomly paired with another student, given a daily solo writing task, or put into a Discord server with a chatbot running on ChatGPT-4o mini. 

The students were instructed to . . .

Continue reading.

Ryan Clark reacts to White House war video

This is a strong statement well said.

Trump deliberately working against the US

Republicans in Congress see no problem with this.

London Esperanto Club’s new session of weekly online Zoom classes begins next month

An email I just received:

Saluton!

This April, we are launching a new series of weekly online Esperanto courses from beginner (A1) to advanced (C1) level. You can find the full list here: https://kursaro.net

Two courses are for complete beginners.

Note that the website is available in multiple languages (you can change this in the top menu), but the courses themselves are conducted in Esperanto, except for the beginner courses which are taught in English.

To register, simply fill in the form on the course page that interests you.

Register Now!

Participants are welcome to join multiple courses. However, we ask that you register only if you are confident you can attend most weeks as the number of participants in each group is limited to around 15 people. 

If you know anyone who might be interested in learning Esperanto, it would be a huge help if you could share the information about our new beginner courses. Thank you.

If you have any questions or need more information, feel free to contact me directly.

Amike,

Anthony

I have taken four of their courses, and they are all excellent. I’m signing up for the Intermediate (B1-B2) course now.

Salish Sea off Oak Bay BC just now

A scene of a sea with an island in the mid distance and in the background a mountain range topped by clouds with a hazy blue above the clouds. In front of the island is a sailboat.

Cognitive shuffling to induce sleep

From an article in the Washington Post:

Start by thinking of a word — something neutral or positive, like the word “house.” Then, think of as many words as you can that start with the first letter: horse, harmonica, honey. Try to picture each object or idea for 5to 15 seconds, maybe even imagining a scene with yourself in it. (You’re riding a horse. … You’re playing the harmonica. … You’re harvesting honey!)

Beaudoin recommends against finding connections between the words. Just let the images wash over you. Whenever you find yourself having a hard time coming up with another word, move on to the next letter — in this case, o — owls, oasis, ocean and so on. Come up with images for each letter in your original word until you fall asleep. If you run out of letters before you fall asleep, pick a new word.

“It’s hard to think of random material, but this little technique helps people,” Beaudoin said. (He also developed an app called MySleepButton for people who want help with the technique.)

In addition to mimicking the kind of thinking that happensright before sleep, the method also requires a certain amount ofbrain power — enough to interrupt the worrying or problem-solving that often keeps us awake.

Another difference between men and women

I’m reading Lori Gottlieb’s Maybe You Should Talk to Someone (and enjoying it immensely), and I just came across this:

While women feel cultural pressure to keep up their physical appearance, men feel that pressure to keep up their emotional appearance.

I of course got the book from the library, thanks in part to Library Extension in my browser (Vivaldi).

$800 Million Warship That Can’t Go to War

A fascinating, detailed review of a ship of the Canadian Navy.

Robert Pape on war in Iran

Raead that thread.

The war makes it more urgent for journalists to call out Trump’s derangement

In Press Watch, Dan Froomkin calls out journalistic malpractice in the coverage of the current administration:

Let’s say the president is mentally unfit for duty.

Let’s say that has been pretty clear for a while now, what with his delusion that he won an election he lost, his chaotic imposition of illegal and irrational tariffs, his self-evident lies about how well everything is going, his frequent lapses into incoherence, and so on.

And then let’s say he unilaterally starts a major war of aggression with no clear rationale. He keeps changing his mind about what the goal is, and whether it is being achieved. He boasts about it like a schoolyard bully and makes apocalyptic threats. He says everything is under control when it is not.

Now bombs are dropping and people are dying and tens of millions of people are living in fear.

And it’s all because he’s a profoundly deranged man.

At what point should a news organization devoted to impartiality start stating the obvious conclusion, even if it’s offensive to a small minority of people, most of whom don’t consume their news anyway?

I realize this is not the first time that Trump has cost people their lives – several hundred thousand people have died because of the closure of USAID early in Trump’s second term.

But this is a war.

With that madman as commander in chief.

Who makes his decisions based on “feelings.”

So I have to ask the leaders of our major news organizations: Doesn’t that cross the line?

Doesn’t the fact that he is bombing the hell out of a country for no particular reason, endangering the region, and destabilizing the world make it incumbent upon you to be blunt about the problem, rather than dancing around it? Isn’t it time for clarity instead of euphemism? Isn’t it time to put aside your aloofness, your concerns about appearing partisan, and your fears of offending your corporate masters? Isn’t it time to tell the whole truth, in the best interests of the country and the world?

I sincerely hope that the leaders of our top news organizations are doing some serious introspection right now.

Maybe they’re searching for the right language – they just can’t bring themselves to use words like deranged or dangerous.

Well here are some things they can say – in the institution’s own voice — that don’t sound so extreme, all of which are backed up by extensive evidence.

He is volatile. He is unreliable. He lacks credibility. Sometimes he is incoherent. He is asserting dictator-like powers. He operates in a bubble of enablers. When he utters a falsehood, it is because he is lying or because he has lost touch with reality – or both. He is being misled by his aides. He believes the lies he sees on Fox News.

And if news executives aren’t willing to be blunt in their institutional voice, they should at least include informed speculation about why he says and does things that are so irrational and disconnected from reality.

They can attribute it to experts or critics if they must, but they should fully describe the critique that provides the essential context for virtually every news article coming out of Washington these days.

Something like: “Critics say Trump is deranged and unfit, that his aides are venal, that his cabinet is inept, and that his supporters are cultists. They say nothing he says can be trusted and that he should be removed from office.”

A Case Study: The Bombing of a School for Girls in Iran

In the first massive barrage of the war on Feb. 28, . . .

Continue reading.

The continuing collapse of the US

The effects of closing the Strait of Hormuz

Caolan Robertson on Ukraine and Iran (and Trump)

Caolan Robertson is really good.

Trump’s shadowy relationship with Putin

An interesting analysis via Times Radio by Mark Galeotti.