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Not all of it, of course. But natural effects from volcanic systems, geothermal heat, and seismic activity are reshaping the continent in ways climate science has largely overlooked, a retired geologist believes.
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Antarctica is commonly perceived as a vast expanse of glacial ice, says James Edward Kamis @ Climate Dispatch.

The typical image is that of a researcher enduring severe winds and challenging conditions.

However, few consider that this frozen, immense continent contains active volcanic systems, rock strata emitting considerable geothermal heat beneath the glaciers, thousands of earthquakes, or subterranean chambers of molten magma influencing its geological uplift.

The impact of geological forces on virtually every facet of the Antarctic continent is often significantly underestimated.

For instance, Mount Erebus stands at 12,441 feet on Antarctica’s western edge (Figure 1 – refer to source). It has remained active since 1972 and has experienced multiple significant eruptions over the past seventy years.

Understanding what forces control the extent, amount, and timing of Antarctica’s glacial and sea melting is important because it impacts many aspects of the climate and climate-related phenomena of our planet.
[Talkshop note – plenty more to read in the linked source].
. . .
Summary
The continent of Antarctica is of greater area than the United States of America. This includes the states of Alaska and Hawaii.

Understanding what forces influence the melting of its glacial and sea ice is of great importance because it helps plan the future consequences of this melting. The impact that geological activity has on the melting has been significantly underestimated.

Full article here.

ImageThe usual collection of doom-laden but evidence-free climate assertions gets trotted out again by the greenhouse obsessives. It’s springtime again. The best they can come up with for sea ice is that it ‘remains at or near historic lows’. What happened to its supposed ‘rapid decline’? Where’s the dramatic sea level rise?
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Earth’s climate is now further out of balance than at any point on record, with scientists warning the planet is absorbing far more heat than it can release, says Energy Live News.

The World Meteorological Organization says this growing “energy imbalance” is being driven by greenhouse gas emissions and is now the clearest signal of accelerating climate change.

At the centre of it is carbon dioxide. Levels are now at their highest for at least two million years, a stark marker of how far human activity has pushed the climate system beyond its natural range. [Talkshop comment – which natural range is that?]

The impact is already visible across the planet, the oceans are storing more than 90% of this excess heat [Talkshop comment – undefined ‘excess’], reaching record levels last year, while glaciers are retreating rapidly and polar sea ice remains at or near historic lows.
. . .
Rising ocean heat is intensifying storms, driving sea level rise and placing growing strain on marine ecosystems.

On land, higher temperatures are amplifying extreme weather and contributing to the spread of climate-sensitive diseases. [Talkshop comment – more psychobabble]

Full article here.

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The researchers conclude: ‘It wasn’t always greenhouse gases’, because for very long periods temperatures were found to be ‘relatively stable’. But the article here still pushes greenhouse gas theory as being applicable to the current era. Jo Nova covers it in more detail here.
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According to the findings of two new papers published in Nature, at certain transition points ocean temperatures could have had a greater influence over Earth’s climate than greenhouse gases, says Science Alert.

Two research teams analyzed ice cores extracted from the Allan Hills, a blue ice region of Antarctica. The Allan Hills cores are samples of some of the world’s oldest ice, with some dating as far back as 6 million years ago.
. . .
Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute paleoclimatologist Sarah Shackleton led an international team of researchers in the study focused on global ocean temperatures across the past 3 million years.

Dissolved xenon and krypton, two noble gases that dissolve in seawater at different temperatures, provided them with a way of estimating the ocean’s heat.

Read the rest of this entry »

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Half a million acres worth of subsidies then. Alarmists always claim there’s more ‘extreme’ weather in our future. Like this? Tornado Levels Billion-Dollar Solar Farm (last week).
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A new land use strategy sets aside 1% of all land for renewable energy by 2050, putting farmland and food security at risk, says The Telegraph (via Climate Dispatch).

Half a million acres of England must be covered in solar panels and wind turbines to hit net zero targets, the Government has said.

Ministers said 1% of all land must be given over to renewable energy by 2050 in a new “land use” strategy published on Wednesday.

The plans will hit farms particularly hard, with tens of thousands of acres of arable land repurposed for energy generation.
. . .
At the moment, Labour’s land-use plan is simply a proposal. But the report makes clear that ministers plan to “transform decision-making to address the issues raised in the consultation” by 2030, suggesting legislation and new rules will follow.

Full article here.

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Another one for carbon obsessives to ponder. By ‘northern regions’ they mean areas subject to regular winter sunlight-reflecting snowfall: ‘in Siberia, Canada, Alaska and large parts of North America, large-scale reforestation does not usually have a cooling effect on the climate.’ Those kind of regions obviously don’t need cooling anyway, and the researchers know that. Planting more trees anywhere can gain so-called carbon credits, but it’s not that simple according to this study’s results.
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The researchers calculated the biochemical and biophysical temperature effects that reforestation would have by 2100 for the three scenarios – and how these would impact the global climate system, says EurekAlert.

This was based on the assumption that, for all three scenarios, forests would be reforested to their maximum potential between 2015 and 2070 and that the forest area would then remain constant for 30 years.

No urban areas, vegetation-free or ice-covered regions were to be reforested, and reforestation on agricultural land would be kept to a minimum so as not to jeopardise global food security.

In carrying out the simulation, the researchers used a climate model that incorporates all the components of the climate system, including the atmosphere, oceans and land.

Read the rest of this entry »

Five oceans
‘Ocean heat content estimates’ are ‘based on physically meaningless calculations’. — “The public has been told that the ocean is ‘warming’ and absorbing over 90% of ‘excess’ planetary heat,” explained [lead researcher] Cohler. “But when we examined how these numbers are actually calculated, we found they represent computational artifacts rather than measurements of real physical energy, rendering the entire process a category error.” — Oh dear!
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March 10, 2026 — Cambridge, MA, USA — An international team of scientists has published groundbreaking research revealing that the primary measurement used to support claims of planetary “warming” is fundamentally flawed and scientifically invalid. The paper, published in Science of Climate Change, demonstrates that ocean heat content (OHC) estimates, which underpin the IPCC climate assessments, are based on physically meaningless calculations that violate basic 150-year-old principles of thermodynamics and fail to meet the standards of the scientific method.

Source: Climate Depot.
– – –
Press release: IPCC’s Earth Energy Imbalance Assessment is Based on Physically Invalid Argo-Float-Based Estimates of Global Ocean Heat Contenthere.
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE – Leading Scientists Challenge Foundation of Climate Change Assessments, Revealing Fatal Flaws in Ocean Heat Content (OHC) Measurements.

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Unintended consequences for dogmatic net zero advocates to try and explain away. Quote: “It’s fair to say wind-farms and radar are not a great mix.”
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Britain is a ‘sitting duck’ in the face of drone attacks because Ed Miliband’s wind farms interfere with radar-based defensive domes, senior defence sources have claimed.

Ministers have been warned the UK lacks any equivalent to Israel’s famous ‘Iron Dome’, which gives it the capability to intercept ballistic missiles at high altitude from 40 miles away, says the Daily Mail (via MSN).

Military chiefs have called for the Treasury to allocate the estimated £10billion required for the system – but have so far been promised only £1billion to scope out options.

Read the rest of this entry »

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Media in a spin?
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Published March 13, 2026
The new study described this “almost unprecedented rate of increase” in the length of an average day as a quantifiable consequence of Earth’s rising oceans, says Gizmodo.
. . .
Published June 23, 2025
Earth’s Rotation Just Hit a New Record— Here’s What That Means for Us

The Earth is spinning faster than ever, and it could lead to the shortest day on record, says the Daily Galaxy.

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Using planetary data from our tropical timings posts we offer a formula for this proposed cycle. Here’s a reference to it by Nicola Scafetta from the PRP paper: The complex planetary synchronization structure of the solar system – ‘the quasi-millennial oscillation (∼ 983 yr) found in both climate and solar records (Bond et al., 2001).’

See also Figure 7[B] below where ‘Harmonic P=983 yr’.
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In a more recent paper: Reconstruction of the Interannual to Millennial Scale Patterns of the Global Surface Temperature (2021), Scafetta says [bold added]:

Note that the millennial temperature oscillation, which was theoretically estimated to be 983 years (Scafetta [72]), is skewed having theoretical maxima in 1077 and 2060 (which were determined from astronomical considerations), and a minimum in 1680 during the Maunder solar grand minimum. This is why Equation (7) could represent the millennial oscillation using two truncated harmonics: note that 1206/2 + 760/2 = 983. The skewness is likely induced by additional multi-secular oscillations that are ignored here [2]. The reported equation is valid only within the interval 1077–2060 because it describes only one temperature millennial cycle.”

Read the rest of this entry »

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This looks a lot like natural variation. Here it’s called ‘the 16th smallest’ since 1979, another way of saying about a third of the years since then were ‘smaller’. Hardly a convincing or even obvious decline of any great significance. How can any of this be realistically connected to human activities?
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Antarctic sea ice coverage has likely rebounded this year, coming closer to its annual summer average after four years of extreme lows, US scientists said Monday.

The area covered by Antarctic sea ice likely reached its annual minimum level at 2.58 million square kilometers (996,000 square miles) on Feb. 26, according to scientists at the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) at the University of Colorado Boulder.

Every year Antarctic sea ice reaches a minimum level during the Southern Hemisphere’s summer, so this is the point that scientists measure it for annual readings, says Phys.org.

This year’s level ranks as the 16th smallest since satellite measurements began in 1979.
. . .
The NSIDC cautioned that the 2026 figure is preliminary, noting that “continued melt conditions or strong onshore winds could still push the ice extent lower.”

“This year’s return to less extreme conditions is not unexpected given the large year-to-year variation of Antarctic sea ice seen in the satellite record,” said Walt Meier, scientist at the NASA NSIDC Distributed Active Archive Center.

Full article here.
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Image: Antarctic sea ice [image credit: BBC]

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This article cites a post at NoTricksZone (here), which in turn cites the work of Professor Les Hatton: (Is a 1.1°C Rise in a Century Unusual? A Study of Interglacials in the Epica-Vostok Dataset). The study concludes: ‘The current interglacial is nothing special. It is currently still more than 3°C cooler than the peak of the last one about 130,000 years ago (which was by assumption entirely free of anthropogenic effect) and the degree of variability in this data is much the same now as then. Given then that a rise of 1.1°C is quite commonplace in this current interglacial and that none of the earlier occurrences could have been affected by anthropogenic activity, this raises the question of why we are trying to attribute the current rise to anthropogenic effects as if it was unusual.’ — ‘We’ meaning the IPCC and its supporters of climate alarm, who propose that a strong greenhouse effect in the atmosphere suddenly took off in the 19th century when the industrial age got going, overtaking everything else in importance to the state of the global climate.
– – –
There is nothing unprecedented or even significant about modern warming magnitudes or rates, says Climate Dispatch.

A new statistical probability analysis (Hatton, 2026) using Vostok temperature data indicates the reported 1.1°C global warming over the last century (since the 1920s) is “not even unusual” within the context of the last 20,000 years, as “16% of the centuries since the end of the last Ice Age show a rise at least as big [1.1°C] as the current century.”

As current warming rates are “quite commonplace,” this calls into question the push to attribute temperature changes to human activity.

Antarctic ice cores are routinely used to represent not only global-scale CO2 records, but also global temperature records over the last 800,000 years.

Interestingly, if we compare modern Antarctica to paleo Antarctica, we learn “no continent-scale warming of Antarctic temperature is evident in the last century.”

Continued here.
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Image: Ice core sample [credit: Discovering Antarctica]

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In this Talkshop post (2016): Gerry Pease Links Improved and Updated Solar-Planetary paper, the abstract of the linked paper (title: Long Term Sunspot Cycle Phase Coherence with Periodic Phase Disruptions) says:

Figure 3 shows that all of the barycentric solar torque cycles in the 179 year Jose Cycle 1878-2057 (red) are surprisingly phase and magnitude coherent with the torque cycles in the previous Jose Cycle 1699-1878 (blue).

Note: the Jose Cycle is a period equivalent to that of 9 Jupiter-Saturn conjunctions (alternatively, of 15 solar barycentric orbits).

The paper also says, on page 4:

The period 1968 to 1976 is sunspot phase coherent with 1789 to 1797 and also with 1610 to 1618 if the uncertainties of sunspot cycle reconstructions for that time period are taken into account.

On page 8, section 1.2 Sunspot Cycle Phase Disruptive Periods (Figures 13-18) says:

The next six figures (Figures 13 – 18) show the solar paths during and immediately after the Figure 5 torque plateaus of 1609-1618, 1787-1796, and 1966-1976.

Read the rest of this entry »

Ocean carbon cycle
After decades of peddling carbon dioxide scares – this ‘glaring uncertainty’ emerges. We read: ‘Climate models built on incomplete data’. Hardly news, in general terms, as that’s one reason for having models in the first place. But if ‘major blind spots remain in our scientific understanding of this process’ (ocean carbon storage), with significant discrepancy levels cited (10-20%, sometimes more) any attempt to use climate models for government policy must surely be flawed from the start.
– – –
A new report by the Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC) of UNESCO reveals a critical lack of understanding of how the ocean absorbs and stores carbon, says Phys.org.

This glaring uncertainty about our planet’s largest carbon sink threatens to skew current climate predictions, and hamper our ability to develop effective mitigation and adaptation strategies in the coming decades.

The report also lays out a roadmap to bolster international cooperation, strengthen ocean carbon monitoring and update climate models accordingly.

“The ocean is one of our strongest climate allies, absorbing a large share of the carbon we emit,” said Khaled El-Enany, UNESCO Director-General. “Yet we still lack a full understanding of how this natural defense functions—or how long it can endure. Coordinated global monitoring of ocean carbon absorption is therefore essential and urgent.

“This report reaffirms UNESCO’s commitment to supporting Member States in developing climate policies based on robust science to advance this goal.”

Read the rest of this entry »

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While some parts of the country have had a very wet winter and significant flooding, others have actually been drier than normal, as Ben Rich explains. Blocking patterns in the jet stream again. Still the usual evidence-free waffle (‘according to the Met Office’) about greenhouse gases at the end of the article though.
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If you have been hit by relentless rain and flooding this winter you might well be expecting the weather to have broken some records.

Provisional statistics from the Met Office show that is not the case, with rainfall so far this season, for the UK as a whole, just 9% above average overall – wet, but far from the wettest.

However those national figures mask some huge regional variations. Some parts of southern England are on course for their second-wettest winter on record, while much of north-west Scotland has been significantly drier than normal.

It is largely down to a blocked weather pattern that sent rain into the same parts of the country repeatedly for much of the winter and left others predominantly dry.

Read the rest of this entry »

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“Habeck’s heating hammer” set to bite the dust. Maybe net zero zealotry is not the complete answer to modern energy supply after all, despite what its supporters keep claiming.
– – –
A revision of an existing law will now allow homeowners to use oil and gas as heating fuel instead, says Euronews.

Germany’s government has drawn heavy criticism from environmental groups after it agreed to remove parts of a controversial law on heating homes.

The legislation previously stated that newly installed heating systems were required to use at least 65 per cent renewable energy – such as a heat pump.

The reform will now allow homeowners to use oil and gas instead.
[Talkshop comment – some amount of biofuel or biogas may be added].

One critic has called the move “an unconditional fulfilment of all the wishes of the fossil fuel lobby”.

The law on renewable heating sources was passed in 2023, and hailed by climate experts as one of the most ambitious goals of the centre-left-led government in power at the time.

But critics pointed to the challenges presented by rising inflation, with one newspaper calling the bill “Habeck’s heating hammer”, referring to the legislation’s author, Robert Habeck of the Green Party.

Full article here.
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Image: German wind ‘farm’

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‘How scientific uncertainty morphed into media certainty’ – some climate industry propaganda tactics exposed, featuring the well-known US Nor’easters.
– – –
As New England digs out from a historic blizzard, today’s post takes a deep and technical dive into recent research — Chen et al. 2025 — claiming that Nor’easters have become detectably more intense over recent decades, says Roger Pielke Jr. @ Climate Dispatch.

That research asserts:

Our analysis of nor’easter characteristics reveals that the strongest nor’easters are becoming stronger . . .’

Taking advantage of AI tools, I have replicated and extended the analysis. As is far too common in high-profile climate research, the top-line claims of the paper do not survive scrutiny.

Public commentary by the paper’s senior author and subsequent media reporting provide a case study in how uncertain and ambiguous findings are turned into strong claims expressed with absolute certainty.
. . .
The bottom line: Chen et al. take on a worthwhile question, but its headline claims, and those that followed publication, go meaningfully beyond what the data can currently support.

Follow-on public discussion by its senior authors and in the media depart even further from what evidence and analysis can support. Worthwhile findings of uncertainty and ambiguity are transformed into unquestioned certainty in support of a narrative that everything is getting worse.
. . .
The supplementary analysis to Chen et al. includes information that dramatically undercuts the headline findings that were picked up and amplified by the media.

Full article here.
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Image: Nor’easter [credit: NOAA]

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Highlights:
•This paper discusses a number of key open issues in climate science.

•It argues that global climate models still fail on natural variability at all scales.

•Global climate models also likely exaggerate ECS [equilibrium climate sensitivity] and downplay solar influences.

•Empirical alternatives project moderate warming, challenging Net-Zero policies.

•New models that better reflect natural climate drivers and variations are needed.
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Current global climate models (GCMs) support with high confidence the view that rising greenhouse gases and other anthropogenic forcings account for nearly all observed global surface warming—slightly above 1°C—since the pre-industrial period (1850–1900), writes Nicola Scafetta @ Phys.org.

This is the conclusion presented in the IPCC’s Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) published in 2021.

Moreover, the GCM projections for the 21st century, produced under different socioeconomic pathways (SSPs), underpin estimates of future climate impacts and guide net-zero mitigation strategies worldwide.

The prevailing interpretation is that only net-zero climate policies can keep future climate change-related damages within acceptable limits.

Read the rest of this entry »

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Good luck trying to prise the EU, UK and a few others away from their pointless and damaging net zero climate obsessions. The only zero to date is the effect on temperatures, despite massive expense and widespread environmental damage.
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PARIS: US Energy Secretary Chris Wright gave the International Energy Agency on Thursday a one-year deadline to scrap its support of goals to reduce energy emissions to net zero or risk losing the United States as a member, reports Business Recorder.

European countries played down the threat at the agency’s biennial meeting and restated their commitment to pursuing cleaner fuel. [Talkshop comment – being clean was never the point of net zero].

In 2015 the US and nearly 200 other countries signed the Paris Accords, an international pledge to limit global warming by burning less oil, gas and coal, with a goal of reaching net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050.

Read the rest of this entry »

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More sun reaching the ground raises the temperature, no trace gas variation necessary. Projects to reduce, or slow the increase of, carbon dioxide look irrelevant in the face of the data.
– – –
Solar radiation warms and illuminates our planet, says Phys.org.

It is the primary driver behind the movement of clouds and wind, helps keep us warm, and governs activity through daily and seasonal cycles.

However, over the past 30 years, a complex combination of reduced atmospheric aerosol pollution (tiny particles suspended in the atmosphere), global warming [Talkshop comment – circular argument], and changes in cloud cover has led to a significant increase in solar radiation levels in Europe, according to a new study co-authored by the University of Málaga (UMA), the University of Murcia (UMU), and Solargis, a solar-sector company specializing in data and software.

The data show that solar radiation reaching the European surface increased by 2.4 watts per square meter per decade (equivalent to a total of 4.8%) during the period from 1994 to 2023.

Read the rest of this entry »

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Support for the Talkshop ‘tropical timings’ series of posts comes in an article: Heliocentric Conjunctions of Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, and Neptune for the Royal Astronomical Society of Canada in 2003, published by NASA.

Author Jim Decandole (JD) calculated his own planetary data for the four giant planets (Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus and Neptune). The results agree with the solar simulator we’ve been using to verify our own ‘tropical’ numbers.

In his own words [image credit – researchgate.net]:
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Read the rest of this entry »