106 ivermectin COVID-19 controlled studies,
53 RCTs
61% improvement
for early treatment, RR
0.39
[0.31-0.50]
Supplementary Data — Ivermectin reduces COVID-19 risk: real-time meta-analysis of 106 studies (c19ivm ivmmeta)
0
0.25
0.5
0.75
1
1.25
1.5
1.75
2+
Chowdhury (RCT)
81%
0.19 [0.01-3.96]
14mg
viral+
0/60
2/56
OT1 CT2
Improvement, RR [CI]
Dose (4d)
Treatment
Control
Espitia-Hernandez
97%
0.03 [0.01-0.10]
12mg
viral+
0/28
7/7
CT2
Carvallo
85%
0.15 [0.02-1.28]
36mg
death
1/32
3/14
CT2
Mahmud (DB RCT)
27%
0.73 [0.60-0.90]
12mg
recov. time
183 (n)
180 (n)
CT2
Szente Fonseca
-14%
1.14 [0.75-1.66]
24mg
hosp.
340 (n)
377 (n)
Cadegiani
78%
0.22 [0.01-4.48]
42mg
death
0/110
2/137
CT2
Ahmed (DB RCT)
85%
0.15 [0.01-2.70]
48mg
symptoms
0/17
3/19
SAINT
Chaccour (DB RCT)
8%
0.92 [0.77-1.09]
28mg
viral+
12 (n)
12 (n)
Ghauri
92%
0.08 [0.01-0.88]
48mg
no recov.
0/37
7/53
Babalola (DB RCT)
49%
0.51 [0.29-0.88]
24mg
viral time
20 (n)
20 (n)
OT1
Ravikirti (DB RCT)
89%
0.11 [0.01-2.05]
24mg
death
0/55
4/57
Bukhari (RCT)
82%
0.18 [0.07-0.46]
12mg
viral+
4/41
25/45
RIVET-COV
Mohan (DB RCT)
24%
0.76 [0.53-1.09]
28mg
viral+
21/40
31/45
Biber (DB RCT)
39%
0.61 [0.29-1.07]
36mg
viral+
13/47
21/42
Elalfy
87%
0.13 [0.06-0.27]
36mg
viral+
7/62
44/51
CT2
López-Me.. (DB RCT)
43%
0.57 [0.16-1.87]
84mg
progression
4/200
7/198
Roy
6%
0.94 [0.52-1.93]
n/a
recov. time
14 (n)
15 (n)
CT2
Chahla (CLUS. RCT)
87%
0.13 [0.03-0.54]
24mg
no disch.
2/110
20/144
Mourya
89%
0.11 [0.05-0.25]
48mg
viral+
5/50
47/50
Loue (QR)
70%
0.30 [0.04-2.20]
14mg
death
1/10
5/15
Merino (QR)
74%
0.26 [0.11-0.57]
24mg
hosp.
77,381 (all patients)
censored, see notes CS5
Faisal (RCT)
68%
0.32 [0.14-0.72]
48mg
no recov.
6/50
19/50
Aref (RCT)
63%
0.37 [0.22-0.61]
n/a
recov. time
57 (n)
57 (n)
Krolewiecki (RCT)
66%
0.34 [0.10-1.16]
168mg
decay rate
20 (n)
14 (n)
Vallejos (DB RCT)
33%
0.67 [0.34-1.28]
24mg
hosp.
14/250
21/251
TOGETHER
Reis (DB RCT)
10%
0.90 [0.70-1.16]
84mg
hosp./ER
100/679
111/679
impossible data, see notes
COVER
Buonfrate (DB RCT)
20%
0.80 [0.36-1.76]
336mg
viral load
28 (n)
29 (n)
Mayer
55%
0.45 [0.32-0.63]
151mg
death
3,266 (n)
17,966 (n)
Borody
93%
0.07 [0.04-0.13]
96mg
hosp.
5/600
70/600
MD3 CT2 SC4
Abbas (DB RCT)
36%
0.64 [0.43-0.96]
84mg
no recov.
26/99
42/103
de Jesús Ascenci..
59%
0.41 [0.36-0.47]
12mg
death/hosp.
7,898 (n)
20,150 (n)
CT2
Manomai.. (DB RCT)
5%
0.95 [0.62-1.45]
48mg
viral+
19/36
20/36
de la Ro.. (DB RCT)
-187%
2.87 [0.12-67.5]
36mg
misc.
1/30
0/26
Rezai (DB RCT)
-5%
1.05 [0.07-16.7]
84mg
death
1/268
1/281
Mirahma.. (DB RCT)
46%
0.54 [0.21-1.42]
24mg
hosp.
6/131
11/130
PLATCOV
Schilling (RCT)
-9%
1.09 [0.88-1.27]
168mg
viral rate
45 (n)
45 (n)
COVID-OUT
Bramante (DB RCT)
-4%
1.04 [0.81-1.31]
90mg
progression
105/407
96/391
OT1
IVERMILCO
Mikamo (DB RCT)
-4%
1.04 [0.90-1.21]
63mg
no improv.
502 (n)
527 (n)
FINCOV
Siripongbo.. (RCT)
6%
0.94 [0.65-1.35]
168mg
viral+
30 (n)
30 (n)
CT2
Wijewic.. (DB RCT)
51%
0.49 [0.26-0.93]
96mg
viral load
80 (n)
81 (n)
Tau2 = 0.30, I2 = 85.8%, p < 0.0001
Early treatment
53%
0.47 [0.38-0.59]
341/15,944
619/42,983
53% lower risk
Gorial
71%
0.29 [0.01-5.76]
14mg
no recov.
0/16
2/71
Improvement, RR [CI]
Dose (4d)
Treatment
Control
Kishoria (RCT)
-8%
1.08 [0.57-2.02]
12mg
viral+
11/19
7/13
Podder (RCT)
16%
0.84 [0.55-1.12]
14mg
recov. time
32 (n)
30 (n)
Khan
87%
0.13 [0.02-1.00]
12mg
death
1/115
9/133
Chachar (RCT)
10%
0.90 [0.44-1.83]
36mg
no recov.
9/25
10/25
Soto-Becerra
-39%
1.39 [0.88-2.22]
14mg
death
47/203
401/2,630
Rajter (PSM)
67%
0.33 [0.12-0.84]
14mg
death
26/173
27/107
Hashim (SB RCT)
92%
0.08 [0.00-1.44]
28mg
death
0/59
6/70
CT2
Camprubí
-25%
1.25 [0.43-3.63]
14mg
viral+
5/13
4/13
Spoorthi
21%
0.79 [0.64-0.98]
n/a
recov. time
50 (n)
50 (n)
CT2
Budhiraja
99%
0.01 [0.00-0.15]
n/a
death
0/34
103/942
Okumuş (DB RCT)
16%
0.84 [0.55-1.30]
56mg
no improv.
16/30
19/30
Shahbazn.. (DB RCT)
19%
0.81 [0.67-0.97]
14mg
recov. time
35 (n)
34 (n)
Lima-Morales
78%
0.22 [0.12-0.41]
12mg
death
15/481
52/287
CT2
Beltran .. (DB RCT)
-20%
1.20 [0.77-1.87]
12mg
hosp. time
36 (n)
37 (n)
Pott-Junior (RCT)
-11%
1.11 [0.21-5.93]
14mg
viral+
10/27
1/3
censored, see notes
Huvemek (DB RCT)
32%
0.68 [0.38-1.23]
84mg
no improv.
13/50
19/50
Ahsan
50%
0.50 [0.28-0.90]
21mg
death
17/110
17/55
CT2
Abd-Elsalam (RCT)
25%
0.75 [0.17-3.06]
36mg
death
3/82
4/82
Hazan
93%
0.07 [0.00-1.02]
24mg
hosp.
0/24
synthetic
see notes CT2 SC4
Elavarasi
20%
0.80 [0.61-1.06]
n/a
death
48/283
311/1,475
Rezk
80%
0.20 [0.01-4.13]
72mg
death
0/160
2/160
I-TECH
Lim (RCT)
-25%
1.25 [0.87-1.80]
112mg
progression
52/241
43/249
Ozer
75%
0.25 [0.06-1.13]
28mg
death
2/60
8/60
Ferreira
-5%
1.05 [0.32-3.43]
n/a
death
3/21
11/81
Jamir (ICU)
-53%
1.53 [0.88-2.67]
n/a
death
32/76
69/190
ICU patients
Baguma
97%
0.03 [0.00-11.7]
n/a
death
7 (n)
474 (n)
Mustafa
64%
0.36 [0.12-1.14]
varies
death
3/73
42/371
Shimizu
48%
0.52 [0.29-0.93]
14mg
ventilation
39 (n)
49 (n)
Zubair
-9%
1.09 [0.33-3.64]
12mg
death
5/90
5/98
Thairu (PSM)
88%
0.12 [0.01-2.14]
56mg
death
0/21
4/26
Efimenko (PSM)
69%
0.31 [0.20-0.48]
n/a
death
1,072 (n)
40,536 (n)
self-censored, see notes OT1
Soto
-41%
1.41 [1.16-1.76]
n/a
death
280/484
374/934
Ravikirti
3%
0.97 [0.74-1.24]
varies
death
53/171
254/794
George (RCT)
30%
0.70 [0.25-1.93]
24mg
death
5/35
8/39
ACTIV-6
Naggie (DB RCT)
2%
0.98 [0.89-1.09]
168mg
recovery
708 (n)
724 (n)
Rezai (DB RCT)
31%
0.69 [0.35-1.39]
84mg
death
13/311
18/298
Qadeer
58%
0.42 [0.31-0.56]
48mg
viral+
35/105
84/105
Aref (RCT)
74%
0.26 [0.12-0.55]
n/a
recov. time
49 (n)
47 (n)
LONG COVID
Ochoa-Ja.. (DB RCT)
-37%
1.37 [0.53-3.57]
28mg
ICU
8/37
6/38
Sarojvisut (RCT)
-104%
2.04 [0.19-22.3]
112mg
ICU
2/157
1/160
Munir
48%
0.52 [0.22-1.21]
n/a
death
92 (n)
908 (n)
Llenas-García
23%
0.77 [0.35-1.69]
14mg
progression
96 (n)
96 (n)
Wada (DB RCT)
-4%
1.04 [0.76-1.43]
14mg
viral+
106 (n)
106 (n)
Osati
32%
0.68 [0.45-0.92]
n/a
death
448 (n)
849 (n)
PRINCIPLE
Hayward (RCT)
-1%
1.01 [0.61-1.68]
73mg
death/hosp.
34/2,157
27/1,806
Varnaseri (DB RCT)
82%
0.18 [0.04-0.78]
84mg
ventilation
2/55
11/55
REMAP-CAP
Hashmi (RCT)
15%
0.85 [0.45-1.62]
56mg
death
81 (n)
69 (n)
ICU patients
Tau2 = 0.16, I2 = 80.2%, p < 0.0001
Late treatment
29%
0.71 [0.61-0.83]
750/8,849
1,959/55,459
29% lower risk
Shouman (RCT)
91%
0.09 [0.03-0.23]
36mg
symp. case
15/203
59/101
Improvement, RR [CI]
Dose (1m)
Treatment
Control
Carvallo
96%
0.04 [0.00-0.63]
14mg
cases
0/131
11/98
see notes CT2
Behera
54%
0.46 [0.29-0.71]
42mg
cases
41/117
145/255
Carvallo
100%
0.00 [0.00-0.02]
48mg
cases
0/788
237/407
see notes CT2
Hellwig (ECO.)
78%
0.22 [0.06-0.76]
14mg
cases
ecological
Bernigaud
99%
0.01 [0.00-0.10]
84mg
death
0/69
150/3,062
Alam
91%
0.09 [0.04-0.25]
12mg
cases
4/58
44/60
IVERCOR PREP
73%
0.27 [0.15-0.48]
48mg
cases
13/389
61/486
MD3
Chahla (RCT)
84%
0.16 [0.04-0.46]
48mg
cases
4/117
25/117
CT2
Behera
83%
0.17 [0.12-0.23]
42mg
cases
45/2,199
133/1,147
Tanioka (ECO.)
88%
0.12 [0.03-0.46]
14mg
death
ecological
Seet (CLUS. RCT)
6%
0.94 [0.61-1.19]
12mg
cases
398/617
433/619
OT1
Morgenstern (PSM)
74%
0.26 [0.10-0.71]
56mg
cases
5/271
18/271
Mondal
88%
0.12 [0.01-0.55]
n/a
symp. case
128 (n)
1,342 (n)
Samajdar
80%
0.20 [0.11-0.38]
n/a
cases
12/164
29/81
Kerr (PSM)
70%
0.30 [0.19-0.46]
56mg
death
25/3,034
79/3,034
SAIVE
Desort-H.. (DB RCT)
72%
0.28 [0.20-0.41]
203mg
cases
30/200
105/199
Wagstaff (DB RCT)
55%
0.45 [0.22-1.00]
DAFS
36 (n)
32 (n)
Tau2 = 0.94, I2 = 95.0%, p < 0.0001
Prophylaxis
82%
0.18 [0.11-0.31]
592/8,521
1,529/11,311
82% lower risk
All studies
51%
0.49 [0.43-0.56]
1,683/33,314
4,107/109,753
51% lower risk
All 106 ivermectin COVID-19 primary outcome results
c19 early .org
February 2026
Tau2 = 0.29, I2 = 89.0%, p < 0.0001
Effect extraction pre-specified, see appendix
1 OT: ivermectin vs. other treatment 3 MD: minimal detail available currently 5 CS: censored, see details
2 CT: study uses combined treatment 4 SC: study uses synthetic control arm
Favors ivermectin
Favors control
Fig. S1. Random-effects meta-analysis for
primary outcomes (as defined before the trial started).
Fig. S2. Random-effects meta-analysis for
peer-reviewed studies after exclusions.
Effect extraction is pre-specified, using the most serious outcome reported,
see the appendix for details.
Analysis validating pooled outcomes for
COVID-19 can be found below .
Fig. S3. Random-effects meta-analysis for
RCT studies after exclusions.
Effect extraction is pre-specified, using the most serious outcome reported,
see the appendix for details.
Analysis validating pooled outcomes for
COVID-19 can be found below .
Fig. S4. Random-effects meta-analysis for
mortality after exclusions.
Fig. S5. Random-effects meta-analysis for
mechanical ventilation after exclusions.
Fig. S6. Random-effects meta-analysis for
ICU admission after exclusions.
Fig. S7. Random-effects meta-analysis for
hospitalization after exclusions.
Fig. S8. Random-effects meta-analysis for
recovery results only after exclusions.
Fig. S9. Random-effects meta-analysis for
COVID-19 case results after exclusions.
Fig. S10. Random-effects meta-analysis for
viral clearance after exclusions.
Fig. S11. Random-effects meta-analysis
for studies grouped by strongyloides prevalence.
Data is by
country and from Buonfrate . Effect extraction follows the same
pre-specified protocol as detailed in the appendix.
Fig. S12. Random-effects meta-analysis
with SSC exclusions.
SSC has not reviewed late treatment and prophylaxis
trials. SSC exclusions are from Nov 27, 2021.
Fig. S13. Random-effects meta-analysis
with GMK exclusions.
Our main exclusion analyses already exclude all studies
where the GMK team believes there are major data issues. This analysis
corresponds with GMK's recommendation for meta-analysis as of Oct 26, 2021.
GMK excludes most non-RCT studies, with the notable exception of several
studies with major issues that report negative or relatively poor results
— Szente Fonseca which is likely affected by multicollinearity among
treatments, Elavarasi which reports unadjusted results with no group
details and is subject to confounding by indication, and
Soto-Becerra which has several major issues described in the
details .
Fig. S14. Comparison of results for RCTs versus observational studies.
For COVID-19 treatments, there is no significant difference between the results of RCTs and observational studies. Observational studies do not systematically over or underestimate efficacy. For high-cost treatments, there is a non-significant trend towards RCTs showing greater efficacy.
Please send us corrections, updates, or comments.
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