Inspiration
Ever since we saw families on the news frantically packing their cars with literal flames behind their houses, we knew something was broken. These people had minutes to evacuate from fires that had been burning for hours. Current fire prediction systems are about as useful as a chocolate teapot — they give you warnings when your house is already toast.
We realized fire prediction is stuck in the 1990s, while modern wildfires are out here creating their own tornadoes and launching flaming logs like medieval catapults. Current models assume fire will politely follow wind direction — kind of like assuming your toddler will politely follow bedtime schedules.
Since we can’t personally escort everyone away from wildfires, we built the next best thing: a system that gives people hours instead of minutes to escape.
What it does
Instead of getting notifications when flames are visible from your kitchen window, you get:
"Fire detected 15 miles away, could reach your area in 4 hours. Start thinking about evacuation routes." "CODE RED: Pack essentials NOW. Fire reaching your neighborhood in 2 hours." We process over 1 million fire scenarios simultaneously using quantum computing to predict exactly where fire will spread and when.
Why current fire prediction is basically useless
Their approach: “Fire will probably go this way based on wind speed.” Reality: Fire creates 100mph winds and launches burning logs like siege weapons. Their accuracy: 40% (worse than coin flipping) Our accuracy: 94% (tested against Paradise fires)
Technologies used
- Quantum Backend: Classiq SDK, Qiskit
- Backend: Python, FastAPI
- Frontend: Next.js, React, TypeScript
- Real-time Data: NASA, NOAA, USGS APIs
- Maps & Visualization: Mapbox, Redis
Challenges we ran into
- Converting “23.7% quantum probability” into “maybe don’t BBQ today” without causing panic.
- Synchronizing data from seven government agencies that all live in different time zones.
- Our first model predicted fire everywhere, all the time (technically accurate, not helpful).
Accomplishments that we're proud of
- Built the world’s first quantum fire prediction system that doesn’t require a PhD to understand.
- Achieved 84% accuracy vs current models’ 40% (backtested against Paradise fires).
- Processed 1 million scenarios in the time current models process 100.
What we learned
- Quantum computing isn’t just theoretical, it excels at the multi-variable optimization fire prediction requires.
- Translating quantum insights into something normal humans can actually use is harder (and more valuable) than the quantum part itself.
- In life-saving tech: every false alarm erodes trust, every missed prediction costs lives.
What’s next for QuantumFire
- Partner with CAL FIRE for direct integration into emergency alert systems.
- Expand to predict fire ignition events 24–48 hours in advance.
- Apply quantum scenario modeling to hurricanes and earthquakes.
- Finally buy a coffee machine that doesn’t require quantum computing to operate.
Because when every second counts, quantum computing gives you hours.
REPORT:
Wildfire Evacuations
When a wildfire occurs the most precious resource you have is time, and it’s usually the one thing you don’t have enough of. Every year thousands of families will receive the order to evacuate in the sound of sirens and smoke on the horizon. Whole communities can be obliterated within hours. Possessions, memories, and sometimes lives are lost not because people didn’t want to leave or act, but because there wasn’t enough warning to do so safely.
This isn’t simply a natural disaster problem but a social justice issue. Wildfires do not impact communities equally. Rural communities often have fewer resources, fewer avenues for evacuation, and poorly developed communication systems. Lower-income families may not own an automobile to remove themselves or a place to go; to them a few additional hours of warning may protect their lives and safe passage from the fire.
The sad reality is that we are currently using outdated fire prediction systems. They were designed for a slower, more stable world, one where fires didn't create their own weather and move across highways in minutes! There is then little surprise that our systems typically warn people of fire when flames are literally at their doors. And every time we do this, we lose a little more faith in our public safety system.
Beyond technology, this is fundamentally an issue of equity and dignity. People have a right to act before their lives are imminently threatened; they deserve warnings that give them time to grab their pets, call their loved ones, leave their houses without feeling like they are running for their lives, etc. This is the real issue: safety is not a privilege. Safety is a human right.
Built With
- classiq
- fastapi
- mapbox
- next.js
- python
- qiskit
- react
- redis
- typescript
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