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  • Visual reconstruction of flooding at Camp Mystic

    November 21, 2025

    Topic

    Maps  /  Camp Mystic, flood, New York Times, reconstruction
    Image

    The New York Times used a mix of media and data sources to reconstruct the flooding at Camp Mystic.

    What follows is the most detailed description to date of the events that took the lives of more than two dozen campers and counselors, and the elder Mr. Eastland, at the 99-year-old summer retreat.

    The descriptions and rendering of those events were taken from the first interviews that Camp Mystic’s owners have granted, along with never-before-seen videos and photos taken during flooding at the camp, data from devices such as Apple watches, cell phones and vehicle crash data, and court documents from a lawsuit filed by some of the parents of children who died.

    The animated water flow and photos help you understand the scale and speed of the flooding, in relation to the 28 lives lost. Tragic from every angle.

  • Scale of one trillion dollars

    November 20, 2025

    Topic

    Infographics  /  Elon Musk, jobs, money, scale, Washington Post
    Image

    If Elon Musk achieves certain benchmarks for Tesla over the next decade, he gets a $1 trillion bonus. While unlikely Tesla gets there, a trillion is kind of a lot, especially for one person. But our human brains aren’t great at imagining numbers at that scale. So, for the Washington Post, Alyssa Fowers and Leslie Shapiro scaled a trillion by total U.S. workers in a given job.

    I like to think in units of number of Jack in the Box tacos I can buy, but I guess that’s more useful for smaller values. Although less so recently. Thanks, inflation.

    It’s crazy that just a few years ago we were looking at how comical Jeff Bezos’ net worth of $172 billion was at the time. Pocket change now.

  • Members Only

    Claude, a year later

    November 20, 2025

    Topic

    The Process  /  Claude, generative
    Image

    Last year, I documented my experience with Claude, the AI chatbot, for working with and visualizing data. It seemed like a good time to revisit.

  • Scientists can track individual butterflies with tiny sensors

    November 19, 2025

    Topic

    Maps  /  butterflies, location, migration, New York Times, tracking
    Image

    Monarch butterflies somehow fly from Ontario, Canada to Mexico City, but the migration patterns were unknown. A small sensor to tag individual butterflies might provide the answers. Dan Fagin, with graphics by Jonathan Corum, reports for the New York Times on the rice-sized, solar-powered radio tag.

  • Name mentions in Epstein email cache

    November 18, 2025

    Topic

    Infographics  /  email, Jeffrey Epstein, Wall Street Journal
    Image

    Congress released a cache of Jeffrey Epstein’s email threads. For the Wall Street Journal, Brian Whitton, John West, and Kara Dapena show name drops through a series of beeswarm charts, with one dot per email thread.

    Not surprisingly, President Trump and former President Bill Clinton are both referenced hundreds of times in what was released this week, according to a Wall Street Journal analysis. Former President Barack Obama’s name appears as well. The Journal’s analysis didn’t identify messages that any of the U.S. presidents wrote directly to Epstein or received emails from him, just references to them by Epstein or his conversation partners.

    There is something to be gleaned, no matter how incomplete the release may be.

  • Troubling AI-powered toys

    November 18, 2025

    Topic

    Artificial Intelligence  /  children, PIRG, safety, toy

    From the U.S. Public Interest Research Group (PIRG), a safety report on AI-powered toys:

    In our testing, it was obvious that some toy companies are putting in guardrails to make their toys behave in a more kid-appropriate way than the chatbots available for adults. But we found those guardrails vary in effectiveness – and at times, can break down entirely. One toy in our testing would discuss very adult sexual topics with us at length while introducing new ideas we had not brought up – most of which are not fit to print.

    These AI conversational toys also have personalities and new tactics that can keep kids engaged for longer. Two of the toys we tested at times discouraged us from leaving when we told them we needed to go.

    PIRG has released a Trouble in Toyland report each year for the past 30 years. They usually focus on topics like kids swallowing parts or manufacturing that cuts corners. Last year’s report focused on international toys getting through the supply chain even though they didn’t reach U.S. toy standards. So things are moving quick.

    I’m going to let my kids make up conversations with their imagination, thanks. One of the best treats as a parent is to watch a young child throw a party with their stuffed toys. The thought of OpenAI-powered chatbots injecting themselves into the occasion is creepy.

  • Shifts back to the left for Hispanic voters

    November 17, 2025

    Topic

    Maps  /  election, Latino, New Jersey, New York Times
    Image

    In 2024, Hispanic voters in New Jersey took a hard shift to the right compared to 2020 voting. In the recent 2025 election, they shifted back to the left. Christine Zhang and Shane Goldmacher report for the New York Times:

    The Times analyzed data from more than 500 townships in the 19 of New Jersey’s 21 counties where results data was available, accounting for over 90 percent of votes cast in the governor’s race. (Union and Warren Counties have not yet reported township-level results.)

    The two cities that shifted the most toward Democrats were those with the highest percentage of Hispanic voters in the state: Union City and Perth Amboy.

    The maps show a mirror image. A bubble chart also suggests townships with a higher Hispanic population shifted back more towards Democrat.

  • Threats to democracy in the Congressional Record

    November 14, 2025

    Topic

    Infographics  /  Alvin Chang, democracy, Pudding, text
    Image

    As you might imagine, the word “democracy” has been mentioned in Congressional speeches many times, but over the past several years it has grown much more common to speak about democracy as under threat. For the Pudding, Alvin Chang analyzed speeches in the Congressional Record dating back to 1880, highlighting the abrupt shift in sentiment.

  • Database of mound charging in baseball

    November 14, 2025

    Topic

    Data Sources  /  baseball, mound, Secret Base

    Jon Bois of Secret Base is working on a documentary that covers the history of charging the mound in Major League Baseball. Data had to be collected manually, and Bois has shared the results.

    Behind each and every one of my documentary series is a mountain of research documents, notes, and links that never see the light of day. This time around, I’ve decided not only to make my primary research doc open to everybody, but to do so while I’m still working on the project. […]

    That’s all yours. It belongs to you. Browse it, click the links to review the tape, download it, whatever you wanna do. If you’re so inclined, you can even use it as a jumping-off point to produce a story of your own.

    Fields include level of altercation from verbal to full physical takedowns and the level of teammate involvement.

    This is a very important dataset.

  • Testing views of Earth through an LLM’s internals

    November 13, 2025

    Topic

    Artificial Intelligence  /  Large Language Model, mapping, Outside Text
    Image

    Drawing inspiration from early cartographers who had to make maps with limited information, Outside Text tested models on world map output, also with limited information.

    In the earliest renditions of the world, you can see the world not as it is, but as it was to one person in particular. They’re each delightfully egocentric, with the cartographer’s home most often marking the Exact Center Of The Known World. But as you stray further from known routes, details fade, and precise contours give way to educated guesses at the boundaries of the creator’s knowledge. It’s really an intimate thing.

    If there’s one type of mind I most desperately want that view into, it’s that of an AI. So, it’s in this spirit that I ask: what does the Earth look like to a large language model?

    Prompting “draw a world map” would have yielded obvious results, so to test, a grid was entered, and the probability of land in each cell was calculated.

  • Members Only

    Disposable insights, quickly forgotten

    November 13, 2025

    Topic

    The Process  /  long-term, slow, wall
    Image

    In this week’s Process, we work in short-term but aim for long-term.

  • Shifts left for every demographic group, 2025 elections

    November 12, 2025

    Topic

    Statistical Visualization  /  demographics, election, G. Elliott Morris, margin
    Image

    G. Elliot Morris, for Strength in Numbers, breaks down the shift towards Democrat in the 2025 governor election compared to the 2024 presidential election.

    Note the pronounced shift away from Republicans among the groups that powered Trump’s 2024. Non‑white, lower-income, and young voters all shifted toward Democrats at above-average rates. GOP vote margin fell by over 40 points among Asian American voters, 25 points among Hispanic/Latino voters, and 26 points among 18–29‑year‑olds. White voters moved only five points, underscoring that most of the swing came from the very constituencies some analysts claimed were “realigning” right last year. The gender gap persisted but both halves moved left: men by 17 points and women by 29

    I think we’re getting a pattern in these swings.

  • Imagining an extreeeeeme gerrymandered future

    November 12, 2025

    Topic

    Maps  /  elections, gerrymandering, government, New York Times
    Image

    Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act prevents states from discriminating by race or color to prevent voting. Legally speaking, it’s the only thing stopping extreme gerrymandering, as described by Nate Cohn and Jonah Smith:

    So if the Supreme Court strikes down Section 2, as it is considering, any equally populated House district is fair game, at least as far as federal law is concerned. There would be no federal law that might deter a 38-0 Texas congressional map that unanimously elected Republicans, or a 52-0 map in California with nothing but Democrats.

    To be clear, such extreme gerrymanders are unlikely for a host of reasons. But the point isn’t that these two extreme maps are likely; it’s that they might soon be legal. And while states may not go this far, they may nonetheless be tempted to push toward more extreme maps than ever before.

    Why does this not seem like an impossible scenario.

  • Damage by Hurricane Melissa, seen through satellite imagery

    November 10, 2025

    Topic

    Maps  /  Bloomberg, Hurricane Melissa, Jamaica, satellite imagery
    Image

    Melissa was the strongest storm to ever hit Jamaica, and the country was not prepared. Bloomberg has maps and satellite imagery showing the scale of destruction.

    Chuck Watson, a disaster modeler at Enki Research, estimates economic losses at almost $7.7 billion, or about 39% of the island’s gross domestic product.

  • More OpenAI circular deals

    November 10, 2025

    Topic

    Network Visualization  /  finance, New York Times, OpenAI
    Image

    For the New York Tiems, Jacqueline Gu and Cade Metz break down the circular deals between OpenAI and a network of companies.

    Many of the deals OpenAI has struck — with chipmakers, cloud computing companies and others — are strangely circular. OpenAI receives billions from tech companies before sending those billions back to the same companies to pay for computing power and other services.

    Industry experts and financial analysts have welcomed the start-up’s creativity. But these unorthodox arrangements have also fueled concerns that OpenAI is helping to inflate a potential financial bubble as it builds what is still a highly speculative technology.

    See also the Bloomberg version that shows more at once between the major companies. It seems more links will be added to these networks in the near future. Who knows how many will still be around in a few years.

  • China exports down in October

    November 7, 2025

    Topic

    Statistical Visualization  /  Bloomberg, China, export, trade
    Image

    From Bloomberg:

    China’s exports unexpectedly contracted in October as global demand failed to offset the deepening slump in shipments to the US, dealing a blow to an economy already slowing amid sluggish consumer spending and investment at home.

    Exports fell for the first time in eight months, dropping 1.1% from a year earlier, according to official data released Friday. Shipments to all nations except the US rose 3.1%, not enough to compensate for the more than 25% decline to America.

    I mostly put this here to contrast with the post from earlier this week about how Chinese exports have grown. The growth is based on quarterly data and this Bloomberg chart on a drop is based on monthly data. Neither are wrong. They just use different angles.

  • 10k bird species visualized with feathers

    November 7, 2025

    Topic

    Data Art  /  birds, color, Jer Thorp
    Image

    Jer Thorp visualized 10,151 species of birds as feathers, with colors based on specifications extracted from Wikipedia.

    This would look great as a big poster on your wall. Thorp also made versions with just hummingbirds, parrots, and passerines.

  • Tariffs on U.S. imports, variable by country

    November 6, 2025

    Topic

    Statistical Visualization  /  New York Times, tariff, trade
    Image

    At the beginning of this year, most people probably had little awareness or had even heard of tariffs. That changed quickly with the start of the current administration. For the New York Times, Lazaro Gamio, Keith Collins, and Ana Swanson show the big shifts, which have varied widely by country.

    The layers in the series of stacked area charts are mostly minding their own business pre-inauguration, and then suddenly they are not.

  • Chinese exports grow, without the U.S.

    November 6, 2025

    Topic

    Statistical Visualization  /  China, export, tariff, trading
    Image

    The U.S. is buying a lot less from China this year, but China has found more business just about everywhere else in the world. For the New York Times, Agnes Chang and Daisuke Wakabayashi have the charts.

    China has offset the decline from America with breathtaking speed. Shipments to other parts of the world have surged this year, demonstrating that China’s manufacturing dominance will not be easily slowed. Chinese exports are on track to reach another record this year.

    That’s because China was prepared. It has been seeking out new customers for years, and its massive manufacturing investment allows it to sell goods at low prices.

  • Members Only

    Spot the difference

    November 6, 2025

    Topic

    The Process  /  characteristics, difference, focus
    Image

    This week is about highlighting differences and visualizing characteristics over the data itself.

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