Prophet Hacks 2026
ForecastingPath
Forecasts, run history, and experiment views in one place.
live run preview
01Event
payload in02Evidence
sources ranked03Forecast
probabilities set04Submit
response loggedProbability vectorready
Public status
Endpointhealthy
Submissionactive
Demo consoleready
Result viewsloaded
ReportSummary reportHonest leakage-disciplined Brier (0.118), methodology, and results.
OverviewProject overviewCode map, variants, experiment ledger, and roadmap.
CalibrationReliability diagramStratified Brier, ECE, and confidence-conditional skill.
ResultsPrediction gallerySide-by-side resolved-event forecasts and drilldowns.
CalibrationCalibration overlayMulti-model reliability curves on the resolved set.
StrategyConfidence sliderMove the threshold and see how scoring changes.
ResultsEvent mapResolved-event losses, comparisons, and drilldowns.
Demo (PIN)Pipeline consoleRun the staged forecast demo and watch the live feed.
Ops (PIN)ObservatoryCurrent commit, run history, and first-call review.
