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The NIL market for college basketball is now up 65% from last offseason. And there's a certain player type that's being overpaid.
Read my full analysis of this year's NIL market trends 👇
Evan Miyakawa
9,911 posts
Evan Miyakawa
@EvanMiya
College basketball analytics at EvanMiya.com, trusted by 100+ D1 teams. PhD Statistician. Host of The EvanMiya College Basketball Show. Hebrews 11:6.
- This year's 8 seeds are better than 5 seeds. 5-seed team rankings at EvanMiya.com: 22. Clemson 31. Michigan 37. Oregon 40. Memphis 8-seed team rankings: 9. Gonzaga 18. Louisville 21. UConn 35. Mississippi State
- The rare Quad 5 loss for Boise State. Thankfully the committee only has room for the first 4 quads on the teamsheet.Does not count for BSU's resume. Does not count towards the NET. But still just a wild thing to see in 2025-26. Hawai'i Pacific received no votes for the D2 Top 25 released six days ago, yet earns this win.
- The way CBS uses microphones on the basket for TV broadcasts is phenomenal. The same can't be said for a lot of ESPN broadcasts in my opinion. Take a listen and tell me which you prefer:
00:00 - If you don't have a team left to root for in this tournament, root for BYU. This team is awesome.
- Some exciting news: I will be leaving my job to go full time with my college basketball analytics work at EvanMiya.com! I started this site in 2020 as a fun side project while finishing my Ph.D. Today, because of all of the coaches, media members, and fans who use it
- Holy Alex Condon double-dribble! The entire world seemingly missed this in real time.
00:00 - Khaman Maluach was -20 in 21 minutes. Trying to wrap my mind around that one 🤯
- Since the portal era started, every national champion has had over 50% of its minutes played by returning players: 2025: Florida (70%) 2024: UConn (61%) 2023: UConn (53%) 2022: Kansas (81%) Roster continuity is as important as ever.
- With 8:17 left, Duke had a 98.5% chance of winning, up 59-45. Then the HOUSTON KILL SHOT HAPPENED! They outscored Duke 25-8 from that point on.
- Green Bay, I'm calling it.
North Carolina, I'm calling it. - NC State has won 9 straight elimination games to get to the Final Four. Using pregame win probabilities, the chances of this happening were 0.0097%, or 10314 to 1. March Madness is unmatched.
- Here is the current predicted team efficiency landscape, based on ratings from EvanMiya.com, split into tiers. The last nine national champs have been in the "Title Favorites" group on Selection Sunday. Right now it's just Auburn, Duke, Houston, Florida, and Alabama.
- Here is the March Madness efficiency landscape, comparing each team's predicted offensive and defensive efficiency at EvanMiya.com, adjusted for current injuries:
