Climate crisis paranoia, or at least some of the policies it has spawned, could soon be heading for the long grass in the USA if voters so choose. The pretence of governments being able to adjust the weather by decree would be dropped.
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Donald Trump would rescind many of President Joe Biden’s clean energy policies regarding emissions and power plants while speeding up approvals for “hundreds of new power plants,” if he is elected president, the Trump campaign said this week. OilPrice.com reporting.
If elected in November, Trump “will immediately stop all Biden-Harris policies that distort energy markets, limit consumer choice and drive up the costs on consumers on day one,” David Bernhardt, a former Interior Department secretary in Trump’s first term in office said in a call organized by the campaign, as carried by Reuters.
A second Trump administration would also accelerate approvals of energy projects and “greenlight the construction of hundreds of new power plants,” Bernhardt said, without giving details about what type of energy these plants would use.
58.16818 -4.72721 Met Office assessed CIMO Class 1(disputed) Installed 1/1/1960
Following on from the Met Office’s revelation that all their sites’ records defaulted to CIMO Class 1 and Met Office ranking “Excellent” from my query of the Hastings site, I investigated the strange case of Cassley.
Oldbrew has previously analysed the Foehn Effect, an occasional wind phenomenon that can cause dramatic temperature changes. Clearly this was evident at Cassley
“A record temperature of 16.8C was verified for Cassley in Sutherland. It was recorded at 03:00 GMT on Sunday 29 December. It is the highest on record for 29, 30 or 31 December.”
Trees, plants and vegetation may have to settle for being robbed of their vital trace gas at a lower rate than climate worriers would like. The study says ‘projections should be updated to include limits from geology, geography, and rates of deployment.’ Its authors say the feasible total ‘reduces [from 16 GtCO2 yr] to 5 GtCO2 yr if projections are constrained by government roadmaps, mostly because this limits deployment in the USA to 1 GtCO2 yr’ – all well below the desired rate of removal. They call for more realism, not a concept recognized much by net zero advocates.
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Imperial College London research has found limits to how quickly we can scale up technology to store gigatonnes of carbon dioxide under Earth’s surface, says Phys.org.
Current international scenarios for limiting global warming to less than 1.5 degrees by the end of the century rely on technologies that remove carbon dioxide (CO2) from Earth’s atmosphere faster than humans release it. This means removing CO2 at a rate of 1–30 gigatonnes per year by 2050.
However, estimates for the speed at which these technologies can be deployed have been highly speculative.
Now, findings from a new study led by Imperial College London researchers show that existing projections are unlikely to be feasible at the current rate of growth.
Hastings was shown as Class 1. Looking at google maps above this rating appeared to be completely wrong. I visited the site to verify it was still there (it is) , take my own photographs and some measurements. Alongside the often traffic gridlocked A21 through route , adjacent to public toilets, surrounded by pathways and car parks, in a not inconsiderable urban heat island with shading trees and artificial vegetation this was certainly no Class 1 site. The response to my subsequent inquiry to the Met Office was very enlightening.
Once again the obvious intermittency issue with renewables, whether solar or wind, is buried. Solar production peaks in the middle of the day, nowhere near the times when electricity demand is highest, and is highly seasonal. Outsourcing ever more food production to other countries has its own risks, but so does farming itself.
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Should rural land be used to produce food or energy? It is a question that divides farmers nationwide, and is being debated on the Somerset Levels, says BBC News.
On ancient grazing pastures steel and silicon solar panels are being installed, taking thousands of acres of farmland out of food production.
Across the country, the new Energy Security Secretary, Ed Miliband, has already approved three huge controversial developments, covering 6,200 acres (2,500 hectares) of farmland.
And while some farmers see solar as offering financial stability, others fear the loss of the land that feeds us.
Over on Ned Nikolov’s thread discussing his and Karl Zeller’s new paper, Robert Cutler posted an interesting graph he’s plotted, showing solar inertial motion and it’s possible connection with a terrestrial climate oscillation known as the Eddy cycle. Robert says:
I believe the Eddy cycle to be 938 years long. This is based on spectral analysis of the sun’s acceleration around its barycenter. The phase of the plotted sine wave is based on the complex Fourier coefficient at the spectral peak. This is the planetary forcing, not the sun’s response, or the earth’s response to changes in solar activity, so while the sine wave has a peak around 1968, peak temperatures are likely to occur a number of decades later. I’ve also annotated a few other cycles of interest.
There is discussion to be had concerning Robert’s comments about phasing and lags, but this post will focus on the periodicities enumerated in the frequency plot in the bottom panel.
55.96662 -3.21220 Met Office assessed CIMO Class 4 Installed 1/1/1926….or sometime in 2018
There are numerous Met Office sites in Botanical Gardens and many are longstanding. This should surprise nobody, all agricultural sites need to keep a watchful eye on the weather – but only for the benefit of their immediate very close locality. By definition they represent artificial micro climates and quite deliberately do not represent natural surroundings. They are subject to frequent change with the crops taking priority over weather readings. They also have a tendency to be moved around a lot.
He must know it will never happen. About 80% of global energy use is from oil, gas and coal, a figure that’s barely changed in recent decades as overall use has increased substantially, led by China. When the current inter-glacial period ends, as they all do, cooling will take over and sea levels will fall again. Until then, complaining about trace gases in the atmosphere leads nowhere.
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The secretary-general of the United Nations has called on world leaders to phase out oil and gas from their economies and stop new exploration in hydrocarbons, says Oilprice.com.
Speaking in Tonga, during a meeting of Pacific Island leaders, Antonio Guterres said “This is a crazy situation: rising seas are a crisis entirely of humanity’s making. A crisis that will soon swell to an almost unimaginable scale, with no lifeboat to take us back to safety.”
The head of the United Nations also said “The reason is clear: greenhouse gases – overwhelmingly generated by burning fossil fuels – are cooking our planet. [Talkshop comment – water vapour is by far the main ‘greenhouse’ gas]. And the sea is taking the heat – literally.”
53.76580 -0.29796 Met Office Rated CIMO Class 5 Installed 14/10/11…by someone.
One of the most appallingly bad locations the Met Office has. It appears with almost monotonous regularity as the region’s daily highest temperature as well as National highest three times so far this year. Is this the hot spot for your summer hols or is it just a terrible site to read temperatures?
A case of global warming ‘without requiring extremely high atmospheric temperatures or greenhouse gas concentrations’. The article says ‘This study highlights the crucial role of oceans in driving global warming’.
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Scientists have decoded the mystery of Earth’s hottest period 400,000 years ago by studying cave formations and ocean data, says SciTechDaily.
Their findings explain how weak solar radiation and moderate greenhouse gases led to significant ice melt and high sea levels, offering important lessons for current global warming scenarios.
Earth’s Climatic Shifts
Over millions of years, Earth has experienced cycles of ice ages and warm periods.
. . .
Understanding the mechanisms behind these warming periods by studying past extreme warm periods is a crucial task for modern scientists.
‘Western countries’ (including Australia) get criticised for producing gas here but there are other major suppliers (Russia, Qatar etc.), and customers for gas are almost everywhere. The article admits demand is rising. Green transition mythology continues, but what works best won’t go away easily despite ongoing climate alarmism.
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There is a massive natural gas project pipeline for the next decade, as several world powers have increased their gas production in line with the rise in demand, says OilPrice.com.
Much of this production increase will come from wealthy Western countries, with several states using gas as a transition fuel in the shift away from more polluting coal and oil.
However, this is leading climate activists to point out the hypocrisy of these states calling for a green transition while also contributing heavily to the rise in global gas production.
51.66464 -0.65742 Met Office Rating CIMO Class 4 Installed 1/7/2015 Red Kite marks the station.
“Amersham Main” is a full blown National Grid Transmission Network Sub Station. It runs at 400kV and supplies two 132kV lines into UK Power Networks distribution system. The Met office site is about 10 metres from the perimeter fence. Winds right round from NNW to SSE waft across the Sub Station onto the Screen.
What effect could a close sub station have? Well apart from an unnatural large area of black tarmac and metal, the transformers emit huge quantities of waste heat. Indeed so much that projects to use these as District Heating system “boilers” are in hand.
It’s mysterious to some when human-caused climate change theories appear to take a knock, although its advocates wouldn’t express it like that. The predicted La Niña has yet to arrive so something else must be in play. Only recently (March 2024) the puzzle was where all the extra ocean heat was coming from.
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For over a year, surface temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean hit new highs, but that trend has reversed at record speed over the past few months, and nobody knows why, says Gizmodo.
In June, temperatures in the Atlantic were 2 to 5 degrees Fahrenheit (1 to 3 degrees Celsius) hotter than normal in much of the ocean, with some areas getting as much as 9 degrees F (5 degrees C) warmer than average.
Those temperatures weren’t a one-off, as the Atlantic had regularly seen record-breaking levels since March 2023. That year marked the fourth in a row that the world’s oceans set new heat records.
Ray Sanders is re-booting Tim Channon’s UK Surface Stations Projectand will be updating old entries as well as adding new ones. The state of the station network will shock you. Ray has uncovered a lot of serious issues and we will be highlighting them in regular posts here at the talkshop. We’re putting the MET-Office and relevant government ministers on notice: scientific data must be properly measured, collected, as well as being collated and curated in a transparent, accessible manner. We taxpayers demand our money is spent wisely and that the resulting outputs are available to be examined and used by any and all researchers. ~tb
51.39848 -0.49514 Met Office Rating – CIMO Class 3 Installed 1/1/1914 Temperature data from 4/4/2017
So here is the Met Office’s official station in Chertsey, Surrey. Although it is claimed to have existed since 1914 there are only archived temperature records from 2017 and it does not appear on google aerial images prior to then – probably originally a rain gauge site only. It is also a regular record breaker, this year’s hottest temperature to June was recorded here.
Sea level rise ‘projections’ can serve as a way to stir up anxiety in populated coastal areas, but don’t seem to deter wealthy IPCC-supporting advocates of human-caused climate problems from spending large sums on beachfront property, or governments of supposedly endangered tropical islands from going ahead with new airports to boost tourism. A researcher commented on a specific IPCC ‘projection’: “When we use a rate that is better constrained by physics, we see that ice cliff instability never kicks in.”
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A new Dartmouth-led study…reports that one of the very worst projections of how high the world’s oceans might rise as the planet’s polar ice sheets melt is highly unlikely—though it stresses that the accelerating [Talkshop comment – evidence?] loss of ice from Greenland and Antarctica is nonetheless dire, says Phys.org.
The study challenges a new and alarming prediction in the latest high-profile report from the United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to evaluate the latest climate research and project the long- and near-term effects of the climate crisis.
Released in full last year, the IPCC’s sixth assessment report introduced a possible scenario in which the collapse of the southern continent’s ice sheets would make Antarctica’s contribution to average global sea level twice as high by 2100 than other models project—and three times as high by 2300.
Ned Nikolov and Karl Zeller have just had a huge, paradigm shifting paper published by peer reviewed journal MDPI Geomatics. This was an invited paper, so Ned and Karl didn’t have to pay fees for it to be open access. You can freely download and share it (local copy here). The peer review process took 45 days, with only minor revisions to the manuscript required. MDPI operate an open review process and you can see the questions asked by the reviewers and clarifications provided by the authors at the relevant links on their website.
In many regards, this paper represents the culmination and summation of the scientific work that Ned and Karl have been publishing over the last 15 years. Here, at the Talkshop, we’ve been following and discussing the development of their empirical and theoretical work. We picked up on their first publicly available work, an extended poster on their Unified Theory of Climate written following a WCRP Conference presentation in 2011. In May 2022, we published their paper analyzing the CERES data and deriving climate sensitivities to various forcings for open peer review. The present paper draws it all together and fills the gap left by the IPCC in the 2021 6th Assessment Report by their misrepresentation of and failure to discuss the decrease in reflected solar radiation and its effect on increases in Earth’s surface temperature. As Ned and Karl’s new paper shows, the increased sunlight absorption by the Planet is the primary cause of the observed global warming since 2000.
The new paper also discusses, how the IPCC’s central concept about “heat trapping” by the so-called “greenhouse gases” arises from a misunderstanding of the reason the outgoing energy flux attenuates with altitude. The dissipation of thermal energy with height is actually due to a quasi-adiabatic process, which reduces the per-unit-volume energy of rising air parcels as they expand into lower pressure levels aloft. In this regard, the paper provides a new explanation of the Earth’s Energy Imbalance (EEI) showing that it does not represent “heat gain” by the Earth system as presently assumed. The mainstream climate scientists and IPCC currently misinterpret EEI as “the most fundamental indicator for climate change” (e.g. von Schuckmann et al. 2023).
Ned’s announcement of the new paper on X has caused a stir. Since 5pm BST yesterday, it’s been liked 4.3k times and reposted 2.4k times, with over 180 followup comments.
🚨BREAKING: Our long-awaited 30-page climate paper was published today:
The fork in the energy road approaches for US electors: prioritise economic factors or opt for climate fear?
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GOP presidential candidate Donald Trump has promised to reduce energy costs by half by reversing current federal government policies in his first year in office if he gets elected, says OilPrice.com.
Trump was speaking at an event at a defense manufacturing facility in Pennsylvania and said that if he enters the White House, during his first year he would remove future mandates for electric cars and cancel “green energy” policies, according to a report by UPI.
Trump went on to warn those in attendance that if Harris wins the presidential vote, energy costs would triple and quadruple, and the U.S. “won’t be producing a drop of oil.” He also accused the Biden administration of a “regulatory jihad to shut down power plants.”
The excuse for playing such potentially damaging games is ‘climate change’, based on the notion of the trace gas CO2 controlling Earth’s temperature variations. Some governments seem to like the idea of posing as managers of the climate, however far that is from any reality.
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Cape Cod scientists are delaying a geoengineering project that looks to dump more than 60,000 gallons of sodium hydroxide into the ocean and has caught federal concerns around potential impacts on the ecosystem, says Phys.org.
Scientists at Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution in Falmouth have pushed back the project from mid-September to next summer because they say a fully-equipped research vessel is no longer available.
Woods Hole’s decision to delay became public two days after the National Marine Fisheries published a warning that the project could “adversely affect federally-managed species and other NOAA trust resources.”
Is there anyone who thinks ‘climate’ has no meaning, or doesn’t exist? The whole topic seems stuck in a primitive mode sometimes, or maybe most of the time. It doesn’t take much to trigger outpourings of paranoia, which the alarmist tendency in the media is quick to pounce on.
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The chair of a leading Australian nuclear advocacy group has called concerns that carbon dioxide emissions are driving a climate crisis an “irrational fear of a trace gas which is plant food” and has rejected links between worsening extreme weather and global heating, reports The Guardian.
Several statements from Dr Adi Paterson, reviewed by the Guardian, appear at odds with statements from the group he chairs, Nuclear for Australia, which is hosting a petition saying nuclear is needed to tackle an “energy and climate crisis”.
Nuclear for Australia was founded by 18-year-old Queensland nuclear advocate Will Shackel, who has said repeatedly he believes reactors are needed to fight “the climate crisis”.
Natural climate variation does what it does, then and now. When they say: ‘The record also shows that present ocean temperature is the highest for the past 653 years’, that obviously means it was like the present, centuries before industrial-scale fuel-burning came along. The article here tries to frame modern warming as mainly human-caused, but vague assertions aren’t science.
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An international team of climate scientists have used a 627-year coral record from Fiji to reveal unprecedented insights into ocean temperatures and climate variability across the Pacific Ocean since 1370, says Phys.org.
The study published in Science Advances, co-authored by Dr. Ariaan Purich from Monash University and Professor Matthew England and Dr. Rishav Goyal from UNSW, shows how human-caused climate change is interacting with long-term patterns of climate variability in the Pacific. [Talkshop comment – assertion only].
The new coral record shows that the local ocean temperature was warm between 1380 and 1553, comparable to the late 20th and early 21st centuries.
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