Archive for January, 2025

Waddington WMO 03377 – The UK all time highest temperature holder? Major misrepresentation uncovered.

Posted: January 31, 2025 by Ray Sanders in Analysis, Disinformation, Measurement, MET office, Surfacestation, Temperature, Uncertainty
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53.17539 -0.52333 Met Office CIMO assessed Class 4 Installed 1/1/1946

Waddington is obviously another of the more than 100 aviation sites in the UK, the majority being operational or former military airports. It is just south of Lincoln with weather stations at RAF Cranwell 10 miles to the south, RAF Coningsby 15 miles to the south east and (oddly importantly) the recently closed RAF Scampton 10 mikes to the north. It is listed on the Met Office Historic Stations data with readings going back to 1947 which demonstrates the most shameless Met Office misrepresentation I have encountered so far.

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Libanus DCNN7365 – Mountain Centre just needing a few tweaks.

Posted: January 31, 2025 by Ray Sanders in Analysis, Measurement, MET office, Surfacestation, Temperature
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51.92437 -3.48912 Met Office CIMO assessed Class 5 Installed 1/1/1994

This station is near Brecon, Wales at an elevation of 331 metres (1,100 feet). I am unsure whether or not this area is named after Mount Libanus in Lebanon but the Bannau Brycheiniog (Brecon Beacons) National Park Visitor Centre it is located in the grounds of, is known as the “Mountain Centre” I find many sites like these confusing – they are not particularly well sited but are well cared for locally and just a small investment should make them much more worthwhile.

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Ice core samples show West Antarctic ice sheet survived the last interglacial event

Posted: January 31, 2025 by oldbrew in climate, research, sea levels, Temperature, weather
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A research briefing of the study has the title: Antarctic ice shelf kept its cool during the last interglacial period. It says: ‘There is indirect evidence that, during the last interglacial period, about 125,000 years ago, parts of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet retreated. An ice core drilled from the ice sheet near the bordering Ronne Ice Shelf suggests that, contrary to some model reconstructions, the ice shelf survived this period at almost its current extent.’ The researchers don’t rule out any future climate state being a problem but ‘suggest that the Ronne Ice Shelf is not likely to melt under current conditions, or even if the planet grows warmer.’
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An international team of Earth and environmental scientists has found evidence that the Ronne Ice Shelf in the West Antarctic did not melt during the last interglacial event, suggesting it could survive modern climate change, says Phys.org.

In their study published in the journal Nature, the team analyzed ice core samples taken from a site near the shelf’s edge. The editors at Nature have also published a Research Briefing summarizing the work.

Environmental scientists have been studying the Ronne Ice Shelf due to its massive size. Prior research has suggested that if it were to break away from the ice cap and melt, the result would be a global rise in sea levels as high as 2 meters—more than enough to flood multiple coastal metropolitan areas around the world.

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Winterbourne No 2 DCNN4405 – A Met Office Parody of extraneous heat sources.

Posted: January 30, 2025 by Ray Sanders in Analysis, Measurement, MET office, Surfacestation
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52.45640 -1.92763 Met Office CIMO assessed Class 5 Installed 3/2/2011

Winterbourne No 2 weather station is a modern fully equipped automatic reporting unit located in the Edgbaston area of Birmingham and is associated with the University of Birmingham. It is assessed as the lowest possible CIMO standard of Class 5 defined as having “additional estimated uncertainty added by siting up to 5 °C. As is self evident from the above image, the site is somewhat compromised by the nearby busy Edgbaston Park Road, significant areas of “heat sink” hard standing and paths and, of course, the greenhouses. All of these pale into insignificance compared to the mind bogglingly perverse reasoning of the UK Met Office.

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Problem for study claiming ‘ocean-surface warming four times faster now than late-1980s’

Posted: January 29, 2025 by oldbrew in climate, alarmism, ENSO, Temperature, research, net zero
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Five oceans
Their problem is the reliance on a metric called Earth’s Energy Imbalance (EEI). Nikolov and Zeller’s recent peer-reviewed paper, which we featured here, showed any such reliance (as per this study) must be questioned. N&Z say: ‘the paper provides a new explanation of the Earth’s Energy Imbalance (EEI) showing that it does not represent “heat gain” by the Earth system as presently assumed. The mainstream climate scientists and IPCC currently misinterpret EEI as “the most fundamental indicator for climate change”’. That puts the premise in the Reading paper’s title: Quantifying the acceleration of multidecadal global sea surface warming driven by Earth’s energy imbalance, in that category. N&Z go on to say: ‘In other words, the adiabatic dissipation of thermal kinetic energy in ascending air parcels gives rise to an apparent EEI, which does not represent “heat trapping” by increasing atmospheric greenhouse gases as currently assumed. We provide numerical evidence that the observed EEI has been misinterpreted as a source of energy gain by the Earth system on multidecadal time scales.‘
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Ocean temperatures were rising at about 0.06 degrees Celsius per decade in the late 1980s, but are now increasing at 0.27 degrees Celsius per decade, says Reading University.

Published today (Tuesday, 28 January 2025) in Environmental Research Letters, the study helps explain why 2023 and early 2024 saw unprecedented ocean temperatures.

Professor Chris Merchant, lead author at the University of Reading and National Centre for Earth Observation, said: “If the oceans were a bathtub of water, then in the 1980s, the hot tap was running slowly, warming up the water by just a fraction of a degree each decade. But now the hot tap is running much faster, and the warming has picked up speed. The way to slow down that warming is to start closing off the hot tap, by cutting global carbon emissions and moving towards net-zero.”

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Coningsby WMO 03391 – An “Internationally Agreed Distance from the Runway” Record Holder and “A Denier’s tale”.

Posted: January 29, 2025 by Ray Sanders in Analysis, Measurement, Surfacestation, Temperature, Uncertainty
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53.09390 -0.17291 Met Office CIMO Assessed Class 3 Archived temperature records from 1/1/1978

Before reading any of this review I strongly recommend viewing this short, but quite spectacular, YouTube clip to fully appreciate the locality of this alleged UK all time highest temperature reading.

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Floating solar caused increased greenhouse gas emissions on small ponds, study finds

Posted: January 28, 2025 by oldbrew in climate, Emissions, Energy, research
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That wasn’t the only result. Methane showed the same percentage increase as CO2 and ‘dissolved oxygen throughout the ponds substantially decreased’, obviously affecting pond life. Time to abandon the idea?
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In the first manipulative field study examining the environmental impacts of floating solar, published Dec. 6 in Environmental Science & Technology, researchers found that floating solar panels increased greenhouse gas emissions on small ponds by nearly 27%, says Phys.org.

“There have been a flurry of papers about floating solar, but it’s mostly modeling and projections,” said Steven Grodsky, assistant professor of natural resources and the environment and assistant unit leader of the New York Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit in the College of Agriculture and Life Sciences, as well as a faculty fellow at the Cornell Atkinson Center for Sustainability.

“This is the first manipulative study to produce empirical results. It’s saying, here’s what’s actually happening. And what we found was that there was increased greenhouse gas emissions from ponds with floating solar.”

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Drumalbin WMO 03155 – Why was it put there? Record motivation?

Posted: January 28, 2025 by Ray Sanders in Analysis, MET office, Surfacestation
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55.62732 -3.73624 Met Office CIMO assessed Class 4. Originally Installed 1984, Wind mast relocated from elsewhere 1994. {Image © Copyright Peter Wood and licensed for reuse under this Creative Commons Licence.}

Paul Homewood over at Not a Lot Of People Know That recently did a very good summary of Storm Eowyn and raised questions regarding the location of the Drumalbin site where the highest wind gust speed was recorded.

Storm Eowyn

The issues of uncertain dates of installation and the site nature made me investigate further – my findings were somewhat concerning.

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Kielder Castle DCNN 2007 – A Forest Setting for a hilarious runaround from the Met Office.

Posted: January 27, 2025 by Ray Sanders in Analysis, MET office, Surfacestation
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55.23439 -2.58046 Met Office CIMO assessed Class 5. Installed 1949, Archived Temperature records 1/1/1959 to 18/3/2013 Manual reporting station. 22/7/2013 to 17/3/2023 as Automatic.

Kielder Castle weather station is shown as currently operational on the Met Office station listing site however, the CEDA archive shows readings seem to have stopped 17/3/2023. The site was seemingly CIMO assessed in 2023 as Class 5 and Met Office rated satisfactory also in 2023 (if their data is to be believed.) Whether or not the site is still functioning is open to debate but that does not seem to be particularly unusual in Kielder with frequent service interruptions in the past. In fact the site became the source of a quite typical Met Office runaround for another enquirer.

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EU’s new economic vision: ‘climate efforts taking a backseat’ to cutting red tape

Posted: January 27, 2025 by oldbrew in climate, government, net zero, Politics
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The EU says it must ‘adapt to new realities’. The actual climate isn’t new, but the political and economic climate obviously is, with the arrival of Donald Trump in US power again. Suddenly EU bureaucrats notice that their ‘decarbonisation’ policies (aka net zero) are greatly hindering the economies of the member countries for no measureable result, as global carbon dioxide levels continue their long rise anyway. Now they want to have their net zero cake and eat it.
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BRUSSELS — The European Union’s new economic “compass” has a north star the burgeoning movement to revoke stringent green rules will love, says Politico.

A leaked draft of the European Commission’s competitiveness compass — an economic doctrine to guide the EU executive’s work for the coming five years — points toward widespread deregulation targeting the European Green Deal in particular.

“This Commission will deliver an unprecedented simplification effort,” the document reads, singling out new rules governing financial and corporate sustainability efforts. [Talkshop comment – unprecedented is an overused word].

A law to streamline these rules is expected in February, but the compass suggests more is to come, describing next month’s proposal as merely the “first” simplification bill.

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Durham DCNN 2165 & 2166 – Long term, Incomplete, Inaccurate, Dubious Metrology, Relocated, Falsely Respected, Bogus Conclusions and Unreasonable Assumptions.

Posted: January 26, 2025 by Ray Sanders in Analysis, Measurement, MET office, methodology, modelling, Surfacestation
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54.76803 -1.58610 Met Office CIMO Assessed CLASS 5 Originally Installed 1851 with Several Relocations. Current site from 30/9/1999. Digitally archived inaccurate temperature records from 1880 at various locations.

Durham weather station seems to be “revered” in established meteorological circles and extensive use is made of its data for all manner of quasi-meteorological purposes by political activist groups in which I include elements of the UK Met Office.

As I shall demonstrate in this review, Durham is, in reality, an exceptionally poor site of known “Junk” status that has produced known dubious data records and is known to have had various historic relocations with spliced together datasets and deliberate misrepresentation. Its alleged “long term” data is demonstrably NOT suitable for inclusion in the national historic temperature record – its current inclusion being a poor reflection on the standards of a largely tax payer funded Government agency.

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Increased wildfire activity may be a feature of past periods of abrupt climate change, study suggests

Posted: January 26, 2025 by oldbrew in atmosphere, climate, Cycles, flames, Ice ages, paleo, research
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Temperature spikes are in the news these days. The lead author of the study said: “It probably went something like: Ocean currents slowed down or sped up rapidly, the northern hemisphere cooled or warmed rapidly, and then this caused abrupt shifts in tropical rainfall that led to increased drought and fire.” The SIS website says: ‘The problem confronting scientists is what triggered these episodes of abrupt climate change. The consensus opinion is that it is all down to ocean currents going into a switch mode. That may well be part of the answer – but what triggered the ocean currents to shift?’ The Talkshop suggests the planetary origin of the Dansgaard-Oeschger cycle – a triple conjunction of Jupiter, Saturn and Neptune every 1470 years – is involved.
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A new study investigating ancient methane trapped in Antarctic ice suggests that global increases in wildfire activity likely occurred during periods of abrupt climate change throughout the last Ice Age, says ScienceDaily.

The study, just published in the journal Nature, reveals increased wildfire activity as a potential feature of these periods of abrupt climate change, which also saw significant shifts in tropical rainfall patterns and temperature fluctuations around the world.

“This study showed that the planet experienced these short, sudden episodes of burning, and they happened at the same time as these other big climate shifts,” said Edward Brook, a paleoclimatologist at Oregon State University and a co-author of the study. “This is something new in our data on past climate.”

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Weak La Niña brings uncertainty, ‘experts’ struggling?

Posted: January 23, 2025 by oldbrew in climate, Ocean dynamics, Forecasting, Uncertainty, ENSO, Temperature
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While trying to give an impression that climate scientists are close to understanding what’s going on with ENSO and global temperature data, this article only manages to do the opposite. [Embedded commentary on this article is in italics].

La Niña is the counterpart to the El Niño which caused drought and deadly heat in 2024, says Euronews.

But the ‘deadly heat’, whatever that refers to, is known to have begun before the El Niño arrived. An effect can’t precede its cause.

The long-awaited La Niña has finally arrived but it is weak and meteorologists say it’s unlikely to cause as many weather problems as usual.

Long-awaited?

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UK Electricity Prices Jump to Two-Year High as Wind Power Plunges

Posted: January 22, 2025 by oldbrew in Energy, wind
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Beatrice wind
The more wind power in the system, the greater the exposure to price spikes whenever there’s a wind lull. End result: weather-related power generation inevitably leads to higher bills for customers.
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Low wind speeds have pushed the UK’s power prices to their highest level in two years on Tuesday, with wind generation expected to plunge to the lowest level on Wednesday since September 2023, Bloomberg models show (via OilPrice.com).

The day-ahead power price in the UK hit $296.28 (£241.49) per megawatt-hour (MWh) on Tuesday, with the day-ahead price for the peak evening demand soaring to $760.68 (£620.00) per MWh.

With wind now generating the largest share of UK power generation, periods of low wind speeds tend to result in power price spikes.

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Donald Trump withdraws US from Paris climate agreement (again) within hours of returning to White House

Posted: January 21, 2025 by oldbrew in alarmism, climate, Energy, government, media, News
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The decision can’t officially become active for a year, but it’s a start. The usual media outlets that support IPCC-style climate alarm, which means the majority of them, wail miserably but to no effect. Energy taps that were turned off or banned will be available again, free of ’emissions’ paranoia.
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Donald Trump has revoked 80 of Joe Biden’s “destructive and radical executive actions” within mere hours of returning to the White House, reports GB News.

The changes included withdrawing the US from the World Health Organisation, as well as the Paris climate agreement.

The new President announced that “the golden age of America begins right now” as he promised to revoke “80 destructive and radical executive actions of the previous administration”, marking the start of his second administration.

Full article here.
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Image credit: ktuu.com

Thomastown WMO 03901 – Northern Ireland’s best in direct contrast with probably its worst.

Posted: January 19, 2025 by Ray Sanders in Analysis, Disinformation, Measurement, MET office, Surfacestation, Temperature
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54.32957 -7.59502 Met Office CIMO Assessed Class 2 Installed 26/6/2012

There are 28 Met Office weather stations in Northern Ireland but none of them are considered Class 1. There are clearly no extraneous heat sources likely to affect the relatively new Thomastown station which is close to Enniskillen so It is hard to see why this site is not Class 1. Perhaps there are minor sloping issues, unnatural vegetation (a nit pick surely) or the nearby hedging is considered a down grading factor. However, there is no problem with a Class 2 site being accurate and representative of the wider natural environment. This is a good, well equipped, automatic reporting site – so why not end there? Unfortunately quality sites do not get the correct publicity from the Met office, but bad ones do.

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Davos man says no to free rail, yes to private jets

Posted: January 19, 2025 by oldbrew in Critique, Emissions, Travel
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Propaganda about carbon dioxide in the atmosphere isn’t a concern for the wealthy when there’s a choice between free but slow public transport and an expensive private jet. That illustrates their minimal or zero real concern about any so-called climate crisis, just like many of the rest of us.
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The World Economic Forum (WEF) is compensating political, business, academic, and celebrity elites who travel to next week’s Davos summit by low-emission rail, but delegates seem happier to stick with their private jets to go to Switzerland, says Euractiv.

Transport is the main source of emissions from the WEF’s annual Davos summit, where leaders from different walks of life meet to discuss the most pressing global issues.

While delegates may be preoccupied with saving the world, climate change does not seem to weigh too heavily on their mind. NGO T&E say that a big share of Davos’ transport emissions come from private jets.

This year, despite WEF offering a 100% discount on rail fares for those coming to Davos from within Europe, jets seem likely to remain delegates’ preferred option, according to T&E. Just like in 2023, when there were 660 private jet flights.

In response to an enquiry from its ‘Travel Smart’ campaign, only multinational firms Saint-Gobain and KPMG confirmed they would travel by commercial airline or train to reach Davos.
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The WEF says that, during the snowy [sic] summit, Davos delegates will be “encouraged to walk” and provided with “winter shoe grips.” But it may not be enough to offset their carbon footprint.

Full article here.

US Federal Reserve withdraws from global regulatory climate change group

Posted: January 18, 2025 by oldbrew in democracy, government, News, Politics
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The Fed, which some claim is an unconstitutional body anyway, has noticed the US is changing its leader, so has performed a political manoeuvre by deciding that from now on ‘greening the financial system’ – whatever that means – is somebody else’s problem, officially at least. The decision follows on from various leading banks leaving the Net Zero Banking Alliance in the last few months, as their supposed enthusiasm for climate salvation mysteriously (or not) evaporates.
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WASHINGTON (Reuters via Yahoo News.) – The U.S. Federal Reserve announced on Friday it had withdrawn from a global body of central banks and regulators devoted to exploring ways to police climate risk in the financial system.

In a statement, the Fed said it was exiting the Network of Central Banks and Supervisors for Greening the Financial System (NGFS) because its increasingly broadened scope had fallen outside the Fed’s statutory mandate.

The central bank joined the group in 2020. The exit comes three days before President-elect Donald Trump, who is critical of efforts by governments to prescribe climate change policies, is set to take office.

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Cromer DCNN 3069 – Shoddy Maintenance Standards

Posted: January 18, 2025 by Ray Sanders in Analysis, MET office, Surfacestation
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52.93354 1.29085 Met Office Assessed CIMO Class 4 Installed 1/10/1884

When viewing Cromer weather station in Google aerial view, I anticipated a routine review of a Class 4 long term civic weather station. Then I saw the latest Streetview image of August 2024 above – oh dear what is, or rather isn’t, going on here.

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2024 (‘warmest ever’?) saw fastest-ever annual rise in CO2 levels: UK Met Office

Posted: January 18, 2025 by oldbrew in alarmism, atmosphere, MET office, Natural Variation, opinion, Temperature
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One interpretation would be that a change in the rate of natural warming led to a change in the rate of CO2 increase. Warmer oceans can absorb less CO2 for example. The Met Office of course wants to attribute any and all warming to humans, but has no empirical evidence of such claims. It turns a blind eye to the fact that the recent ‘unexplained spike’ in global temperatures has baffled climate scientists, and pretends it has all the answers, stoking alarm about the extra ~3 parts per million of atmospheric molecules of CO2 (world can’t cope etc.)
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The UK weather service said Friday that carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere in 2024 grew at the fastest annual rate on record, exceeding their own projections by some margin, says Phys.org.

The sharp rise in planet-warming CO2 was driven by fossil fuel burning [Talkshop comment – mere assertion], devastating wildfires and a weakening of Earth’s natural carbon stores, the Met Office said.

Scientists said at such rates, the world cannot hope to hold global warming to the 1.5C limit that nations have agreed would avert the worst consequences of climate change.

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