How fast can you sell it?

Paste token, chain and amount held. A dated selling calendar paced to the organic demand Nansen sees.

example PEPE — 12,000,000,000 tokens on ethereum, a $40K donation

8 Nansen calls · recorded 2026-09-16 · replayed from fixtures/0X6982508145--ETHEREUM.json · 0 credits · 688239ac1d8c

PEPE Pepeethereum2 tranches
12,000,000,000 PEPE · 0x6982…1933

est. cost $147.90 vs $230.36 selling it all today · saves $82.46

$30,598 per tranche6.7% of organic/dayexpect ~3 days at the 31% red-day rateconstant-product estimate from $13.8M liquidity
3456789101112131415now4 red of 13 days before today · today from live 1d flows
Sep 16
$30,598
Sep 17
$9,372
Selling it all todaydump

$230.36 est. impact

$39,970 position9% of a day’s organic buys

constant-product estimate from $13.8M liquidity · price $0.000003331 (token-information market_cap_usd / circulating_supply)

Organic buys7d

$458,738/day

99.2% organic528 buyers$24,893 by 1 pro walletliquidity-risk mediumconcentration-risk lowbtc-reflexivity high

= ($3,236,056 DEX buys, 7d − $24,893 by Smart Money / Fund / Whale / Exchange / bot users) ÷ 7 · risk dial → k 6.7%

Today · Sep 16green

sell as planned

Smart Money net +$5exchange net −$1,724,1777-day regime: Exchange net deposits +$1,721,529 over 7 days

red if Smart Money < −$45,874 or exchange deposits > $458,738

+ the provenance drawer, ICS and CSV in the live run · $39,970 position · 13/13 recorded plans reproduce offline

How it decides — seven Nansen endpoints, 12 credits a plan

  1. 1search/general0 cr

    ticker → the contract on the chosen chain

    → which token (skipped for an address)

  2. 2tgm/token-information1 cr

    price, 7-day DEX buy volume, liquidity

    → position value, the 1 % liquidity cap

  3. 3tgm/who-bought-sold1 cr × 2

    7-day buys by Smart Money / Fund / Whale / Exchange / bot wallets

    → organic/day = total − pros

  4. 4tgm/indicators5 cr

    liquidity, concentration, BTC-reflexivity risk scores

    → the pace k, 10 % → 3 %

  5. 5tgm/flow-intelligence1 cr × 2

    Smart Money and exchange net flow, 1d and 7d

    → is today red → first tranche halved

  6. 6tgm/flows1 cr × 2

    daily Smart Money and exchange cohort flows, 14d

    → the red-day history and rate

  7. 7trade/quote1 cr × 3

    a real route for one tranche and the whole bag

    → the cost on solana/base; else constant-product

  • 12 credits per plan · 15 with route quotes
  • 3.5 s cold p50 · 5 ms warm
  • 13/13 plans replay offline
  • 258 tests · 60,000 property cases