NATO
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31
October 31
Volume$7.66M
Iran
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
September 25
September 30
October 31
+2 more outcomes
Volume$2.23M
Oil
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?
October 31
September 30
Volume$1.25M
Trump
Trump renames AI by September 30?
chance of Yes+17.5%
Volume$123K
Finance
Anthropic IPO by __?
December 31, 2026
December 15, 2026
November 30, 2026
+4 more outcomes
Volume$3.77M
Finance
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$2.0–$2.25T
$2.25–$2.5T
$1.75–$2.0T
+7 more outcomes
Volume$898K
Tech
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
chance of Yes+8.4%
Volume$168K
Trump
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by...?
October 31
September 30
Volume$45K
Trump
Will Trump visit Greenland by...?
December 31
October 31
September 30
Volume$303K
Crypto
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
chance of Yes0.0%
Volume$22.86M
Fed
Fed Decision in October?
25 bps increase
No change
50+ bps increase
+2 more outcomes
Volume$10.38M
Fed
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
chance of Yes−0.5%
Volume$133K
Fed
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
2 (50 bps)
3 (75 bps)
1 (25 bps)
+2 more outcomes
Volume$606K
Serbia
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Aleksandar Vučić
Ilija Srdanović
Vladan Đokić
+7 more outcomes
Volume$435K
Senate
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party
Republican Party
Volume$5.03M
Politics
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 31
October 31
September 30
Volume$15.11M
AI Regulation
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
chance of Yes+1.0%
Volume$150K
Main Election
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot
Benjamin Netanyahu
Naftali Bennett
+16 more outcomes
Volume$38.77M
Politics
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Renan Santos
+16 more outcomes
Volume$153.93M
Politics
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
December 31, 2026
October 31, 2026
September 30, 2026
Volume$2.50M
