fomc
Fed Decision in September?
25 bps increase
No change
25 bps decrease
+2 more outcomes
Volume$104.97M
US Open
2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Carlos Alcaraz
Alexander Zverev
Ben Shelton
+4 more outcomes
Volume$23.38M
FDV
$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$10M
$25M
$50M
+4 more outcomes
Volume$663K
Politics
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
October 31, 2027
December 31, 2027
November 30, 2027
+12 more outcomes
Volume$7.47M
AI
Which company has the best AI model end of September?
Anthropic
OpenAI
Google
+18 more outcomes
Volume$2.67M
Politics
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
chance of Yes0.0%
Volume$985K
Germany
Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?
Ulrich Siegmund
Sepp Müller
Sven Schulze
+9 more outcomes
Volume$199K
Elections
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena Andersson
Ulf Kristersson
Jimmie Åkesson
+7 more outcomes
Volume$4.98M
Finance
Anthropic IPO by __?
December 31, 2026
December 15, 2026
November 30, 2026
+5 more outcomes
Volume$2.76M
Iran
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 31
October 31
September 30
+2 more outcomes
Volume$26.92M
Main Election
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot
Benjamin Netanyahu
Naftali Bennett
+16 more outcomes
Volume$36.57M
United States
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep
R Senate, D House
Republicans Sweep
+2 more outcomes
Volume$11.33M
Trump
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?
Anna Kelly
Scott Jennings
Maria Bartiromo
+23 more outcomes
Volume$390K
Courts
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?
December 31, 2027
December 31, 2026
Volume$582K
NATO
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31
October 31
Volume$6.73M
Crypto
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
chance of Yes−2.0%
Volume$14.49M
Senate
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party
Republican Party
Volume$4.21M
United States
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
Marco Rubio
Tucker Carlson
+39 more outcomes
Volume$701.25M
Iran
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
March 31, 2027
December 31, 2026
October 31, 2026
+1 more outcomes
Volume$10.99M
Military Strikes
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
chance of Yes0.0%
Volume$65.04M
