Inspiration
Prediction markets express probabilities through price, but lack the analytical tooling common in TradFi. We set out to bring options-style analytics—payoff curves, scenario modeling, and portfolio risk—to Polymarket.
What We Built
PolyLens is a real-time analytics suite that treats prediction market positions like binary options.
Features P&L Calculator: Interactive payoff curves, max profit/loss, and scenario returns Hedge Tool: Combine crypto exposure with prediction positions Scenario Analysis: Bear (→5%), base (flat), bull (→95%) probability paths over time Portfolio Builder: Aggregate multiple positions across 2^n outcomes to compute best/worst/average returns Markets Browser: Live Polymarket data with one-click analysis
How We Built It Frontend: React + TypeScript Backend: Node.js Data: Polymarket WebSockets
Designed around reactive computation—every input updates analytics instantly.
Challenges Modeling: Treating probability as the underlying variable Performance: Real-time recomputation, especially across 2^n outcomes UX: Making quantitative tools intuitive Data: Handling noisy real-time feeds
What We Learned Prediction markets behave like options Visualization improves decision-making Traders think in scenarios, not just EV
Closing
If prediction markets are financial instruments, they deserve financial-grade tools.
PolyLens brings that standard to Polymarket.
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