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Markets are beginning to flirt with the idea of a peace dividend. Equities are lifting as the possibility of a 45-day ceasefire circulates through the tape, while crude eases back as the immediate risk premium gets trimmed. It is a familiar reflex. When the threat of disruption fades, even marginally, risk assets reach for oxygen and oil gives back some of its geopolitical froth.
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In-Depth Analysis
A simple rule suggests US interest rates should be higher than they are today. Yet the Federal Reserve is standing still. That gap between theory and reality is becoming one of the more interesting tensions in global markets and one that could shape the next move in the US Dollar.
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Cryptocurrencies
Cardano price is extending gains, trading above $0.25 at the time of writing after staging a mild rebound the previous week. Strengthening on-chain data and improving derivatives metrics support a further upward move.
Bitcoin rises above $69,000 amid Donald Trump’s extension of the deadline for Iran from Monday to Tuesday night while threatening strikes on power plants and bridges. Meanwhile, the Artificial Superintelligence Alliance, Pepe, and Avalanche are leading gains over the last 24 hours.
Bitcoin and Ethereum trade in green after recovering nearly 5% and 6.5%, respectively, while Ripple consolidates above key support. The price action across these top three cryptocurrencies points to a potential upside ahead.
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Stocks
The Zacks Energy sector is expected to see 7.6% earnings growth in 2026 Q1, with estimates rising sharply. For 2026 Q1 overall, S&P 500 earnings are expected to be up 13.4% YoY on 9% higher revenues. The 2026 Q1 cycle will shift into a higher gear following the release of the big banks' results in mid-April.
Weekly Forecast
The EUR/USD pair finished a second consecutive week a handful of pips above the 1.1500 level, seesawing between gains and losses in line with United States (US) President Donald Trump's rhetoric on the Middle East war.
Gold (XAU/USD) gathered bullish momentum and climbed to a fresh two-week high, but erased a large portion of its gains in the second half of the week.
Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $67,000, approaching its key support level at the time of writing on Friday, after nearly erasing its earlier weekly recovery.
Looking at the weekly chart, the US Dollar (USD) has traded in a choppier, more volatile fashion, struggling to build on the strong gains seen the previous week.
