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Track­ing (Ex­pert/​In­fluen­tial) Pre­dic­tions about AI

Noah Birnbaum28 Mar 2026 23:10 UTC
11 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

The Skill of Us­ing AI Agents Well

becausecurious28 Mar 2026 22:57 UTC
11 points
2 comments6 min readLW link

Heed­ful­ness Workouts

Thomas Castriensis28 Mar 2026 21:00 UTC
7 points
1 comment3 min readLW link
(thomascastriensis.substack.com)

Don’t Over­dose Lo­cally Benefi­cial Changes

Mateusz Bagiński28 Mar 2026 18:24 UTC
46 points
1 comment4 min readLW link

Nick Bostrom: How big is the cos­mic en­dow­ment?

Zach Stein-Perlman28 Mar 2026 15:00 UTC
38 points
7 comments3 min readLW link
(amazon.com)

Stan­ley Mil­gram wasn’t pes­simistic enough about hu­man na­ture?

David Gross28 Mar 2026 14:22 UTC
67 points
2 comments3 min readLW link

How to Do the Mar­quette Method, a Ba­sic Guide (cross­post)

Psmith28 Mar 2026 13:55 UTC
6 points
0 comments4 min readLW link

The Prob­lem with Ask­ing your Doctor

ChristianKl28 Mar 2026 11:14 UTC
21 points
17 comments1 min readLW link

Would a con­struc­tive proof of de­ter­minism be use­ful?

0xmadlad28 Mar 2026 11:01 UTC
−1 points
1 comment2 min readLW link

Hacks, Heuris­tics and Frameworks

Carolanne Jiang28 Mar 2026 7:07 UTC
4 points
0 comments5 min readLW link
(carolannejiang.substack.com)

Just Use Bayes: Sleep­ing Beauty and Monty Hall

Steffee28 Mar 2026 2:59 UTC
12 points
1 comment12 min readLW link

Why should I have opinions about AI timelines?

Carolanne Jiang28 Mar 2026 0:19 UTC
6 points
0 comments4 min readLW link

Do fron­tier LLMs still ex­press differ­ent val­ues in differ­ent lan­guages?

Ibrahim Ahmed28 Mar 2026 0:05 UTC
17 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Pray for Casanova

Tomás B.27 Mar 2026 20:24 UTC
37 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

Con­crete pro­jects to pre­pare for superintelligence

27 Mar 2026 20:04 UTC
18 points
0 comments11 min readLW link
(www.forethought.org)

Mi­ni­a­ture Cities Might Be the Non-Co­er­cive Schools Many Thought Were Impossible

Novalis27 Mar 2026 18:47 UTC
7 points
1 comment11 min readLW link
(minicities.org)

AI’s ca­pa­bil­ity im­prove­ments haven’t come from it get­ting less affordable

Anders Woodruff27 Mar 2026 17:09 UTC
62 points
0 comments6 min readLW link

Stop ask­ing “how good is this” to de­cide be­tween dona­tion op­por­tu­ni­ties I recommend

Zach Stein-Perlman27 Mar 2026 15:00 UTC
24 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

Startup Les­sons for AI Safety

27 Mar 2026 14:35 UTC
16 points
2 comments7 min readLW link

A Tax­on­omy of Agents: In­tro & Re­quest for feedback

Jonas Hallgren27 Mar 2026 10:03 UTC
13 points
1 comment3 min readLW link
(equilibria1.substack.com)