Three disparate pieces of writing about the future of UK higher education have been playing on my mind this week. As Diana Beech and Andre Spice have written, HE is facing a perfect storm: boxed in by regulation, facing a shrinking demographic for enrolment, and constrained by a finance model of capped tuition fees in an era of rising costs. It’s a grim situation which is resulting in huge deficits for three quarters of UK universities, department closures and massive numbers of redundancies.
Adding to the gloom is an apparent crisis of relevance for higher education. In the USA there is already an identifiable trend whereby young men are eschewing college altogether. Here’s an early piece recording the issue, and there have been many since that indicate the decline in enrolment is primarily among men.
According to a recent HEPI Policy Note authored by Edward Peck, Ben McCarthy and Jenny Shaw, the problem is that universities are making themselves irrelevant because they are continuing to teach a knowledge-focused curriculum. Peck et al issue a warning that this scenario cannot continue. Their argument rests on the assumption that AI is going to obviate the need for mastery of a body of knowledge, and instead, universities should concentrate less on engagement with knowledge and more on the acquisition of professional, vocational and personal development.
This proposal seems like part anxiety, part desire to be disruptive and claim for the authors the gift of clairvoyance. Many of us will remember the IPPR’s ‘An Avalanche is Coming’ from 2013 which predicted traditional university courses would soon be superseded by a demand for online MOOCs. While most universities offer blended learning now, nobody hears much about MOOCs anymore.
So, to assume that AI will very soon sweep away the need for students to acquire subject knowledge seems like a similar naïve leap of technological solutionism. This is just one of the unchallenged assumptions which also include declaring current students as Generation Alpha – a presumed homogenous cohort of ‘digital natives’ who, despite their technical familiarity, will ultimately be required to develop a healthy understanding of the ethical limits of AI.
More improbably, Peck et al maintain that ‘a less knowledge-focused campus could facilitate the face-to-face engagement that has been the distinctive feature of higher education for over a thousand years’. This is truly an ambition of Muskian overreach. No specifics are discussed in this short paper, nor is there any plan of implementation. In my experience, guiding students towards developing and articulating generic skills is a tough sell. Where is the strategy for motivating them, especially if skills development becomes the raison d’etre of the campus university? I don’t see any plan to, as NMITE does, invite students to tackle challenges posed by employers or address real-world problems in an interdisciplinary way. I don’t see a vision for anything life-enhancing about this curriculum, such as international education, equipping students with languages or computing skills. In any case, it is hard to envision the banality of a university where the only ratified areas of study are ‘complex analysis’ and ‘critical thinking’. Thinking about what ? In 2025 we already have a taste of what happens when we unleash a cadre of overrated, narrowly-educated adolescents whose only thought is of their own exceptionalism.
It is not only students who must alter their expectations; staff too must adapt: “Skills required by staff will change,” they state. I wonder who they are addressing because I think most academics would consider this proposal a scam which fails to develop deep understanding and informed analysis. Are they really going to fire all the physicists, linguists, historians and materials scientists, and fill their posts with change managers and life coaches? Lots of luck recruiting qualified and quality staff to UK universities in that context.
In another HEPI blog, Paul Ashwin has offered an different answer to the calls to make HE relevant and makes the case for maintaining serious engagement with specific subject content. He points out that generic skills and subject mastery are not alternatives. In fact, for the last thirty years, quality assurance models have insisted that the former are arrived at by achieving the latter. It was always apparent to me that what students need help with is making those skills explicit and in how to apply them in numerous diverse areas.
I have met many students whose declared incentive to study for a degree was to ‘get a good job’, and that is perfectly rational and understandable. However, they are also inspired by an enduring interest in their chosen subject, and having that animating passion seems to be the key to student satisfaction. If the HEPI Student Experience survey is any indication, the majority of students are happy with their university and only 7% wished they had taken another course. (HEPI Student Academic Experience Survey 2025). When I taught in the US, I was surprised, towards graduation, to hear students say, ‘I just want to get out of here’. I was used to UK students leaving university with reluctance, voicing a desire to return to do a master’s degree.
Like Ashwin, I cannot see the point in years of higher-level study centred only on ‘unconnected stores of specific knowledge’. What we actually need are educated people from all disciplines, perspectives and experiences to address the key questions of the 21st century. Your micro-credentials in ‘leadership’, decision-making and ‘commercial awareness’ are not going to impinge on the threats from climate change or global health hazards.
Peck et al’s vision of the future of universities hardly seems like a compelling avowal of the unique value of higher education, let alone the public good. Why would any student commit to spending three or four years at a campus university if all you are practicing is workplace readiness, team building, and change management. To pronounce knowledge and culture as irrelevant defies the purpose that have kept universities relevant and productive for a millennium. It eliminates the academic autonomy which guarantees the integrity and value of the research and teaching in universities. The shibboleths which have steered our pedagogy, namely distinctive, research-led courses and student choice are casually sacrificed to the skills agenda. Also into the wood chipper is any identifiable notion of quality assurance, supplanted by a pledge of ‘more or less stringent parameters’.
The Peck et al plan for campus universities would obviously be cheap to deliver, if anyone wants it. It is a familiar business model if you have ever read about the more discreditable for-profit ‘universities’ in the USA and beyond. We may not arrive at Trump University charlatanism, but the current financial crisis for universities in the UK is driving even Cardiff University to surrender quality to short-term rent-seeking behaviour.
My fear is that Peck et al are raising an influential voice for content-less uniformity in higher education and its subordination to the supposed needs of employers. We should take this paper seriously, not because the proposal has merit or would be popular with academics and students, but because the lead author, Edward Peck is about to become Chair of the Office for Students – the sector regulator. He might shortly have the authority to oversee its introduction.
