America’s world turned upside down
2025 was defined by AI exuberance and America First, while Trump administration sought to radically reshape the global order
US debt surge leaves China, Japan holding the bag in 2026
Beijing and Tokyo have tough decisions to make as US national debt hits 100% of GDP and net interest payments surpass $1 trillion
China slashes hundreds of tariffs in strategic trade war twist
Policy signals shift from general trade liberalization to securing critical inputs for greater tech and industrial self-reliance
China’s Quad counter centers on building an anti-India arc
China’s web of economic and military ties reshaping S Asia’s strategic geometry and turning India’s geography from asset to liability
India’s electronics boom rolling into a ‘Second Wave’
Digital India drive realized as nation transitions from market for finished electronics to one that shapes entire ecosystems
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DECEMBER 19, 2025
Stalemate, decline, and industrial resolve
- Kyiv’s red lines keep Ukraine war locked in stalemate
- Germany is locking in a weaker economic equilibrium
- Japanese AI, national industrial policy and the semiconductor industry
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