Archive for October 16th, 2020

ECB and Federal Reserve monetary policy is more similar than they look…

October 16, 2020

All these years, ECB policymakers have told us us how their policy is different from Federal Reserve. Fed has a dual mandate of inflation and unemployment (actually triple but the third objective of “moderate long-term interest rates” is often forgotten). ECB on the other hand has prided itself on single mandate of price stability.

This is changing as Federal Reserve is seen as doing more for US economy compared to ECB. This criticism has become even stronger with Federal Reserve adopting Flexible Inflation targeting.

François Villeroy de Galhau, Governor of Banque De France in this speech says both Fed and ECB have more similar policy than they look:

(more…)

From hot air to cold hard facts: how financial markets are finally getting a grip on how to price climate risk and return

October 16, 2020

Andrew Hauser, ED at Bank of England in this speech:

after many years of rhetoric from market practitioners, the temperature has changed noticeably. Hot air is turning into cold hard fact:

– Climate oriented equity indices have outperformed the broader market by 2-5% in 2020, as
economic activity has shifted away from travel and other fossil fuel-intensive sectors, and towards
online commerce and technology (Chart 1);

– Green bonds also outperformed their conventional counterparts over that same period (Chart 2), and
made up a fifth of total European investment grade issuance in September alone. And companies
such as VW and Daimler secured material reductions in financing costs (or ‘greeniums’) when
issuing their first green bonds, linked to the development of low-emission technologies;

– Governments have been increasingly persuaded of the powerful direct and indirect effects of issuing
their own ‘sovereign green bonds’ too, with a raft of countries coming to market for the first time this
year: Germany’s innovative dual-bond issuance was five times oversubscribed and commanded a
clear greenium; and the European Commission announced that it will fund 30% of its €750bn ‘Next
Generation’ budget in the same way;1

– More and more investment money is massing on the sidelines. Funds with above-average
sustainability ratings have seen big inflows this year, and now hold $4.6 trillion in assets globally. In
response, fund managers are overhauling their investment strategies to put sustainability centre
stage.To take just one example, more than 500 global investors, accounting for over $47 trillion of
assets, have committed to support the Climate Action 100+ initiative, aimed at ensuring the world’s
largest corporate greenhouse gas emitters take action on climate change.

Interesting…

Gentle Reminder: Conversation on “The Long Road To A Cashless Society: Will Central Bank Digital Currency Finally Get Us There?”

October 16, 2020

Gentle reminder for the Conversation tomorrow with Mr B. Sambamurthy. Interested folks can register here.

 

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The lessons of IPL for economic transformation

October 16, 2020

Anantha Nageswaran in this blogpost:

What economic transformation entails is replicating what the Indian Premier League (IPL) and the me-too mini leagues it has spawned at the state level have done for Indian cricket. Indian cricket team is now facing the good problem of accommodating many talents that the IPL is throwing up.

What did Lalit Modi do? He did not do this for boosting Indian cricket. But, the lesson there is hidden for us to uncover and absorb into public policy.

IPL was the eco-system origin and it spawned many mini state level leagues. Once the eco-system was thus established and it took the first 3-5 years for it to be established, the results began flowing. We have a bunch of talent – all in their late teens or early twenties – that is waiting to take over from the current Indian test cricket or ODI team.

So, all that the government should focus on doing is in creating the ecosystem, through good primary and secondary education. The government’s role thus becomes one of being an enabler, seeding the ground and nurturing it. It also withdraws from areas where it does not have to be present. Then, with luck/divine blessing (that is needed to ensure that we also get a propitious external environment), the results will start to come.

The IPL and the Indian cricket talent is a good example of what sound public policy on economic transformation should be about. It has transformed Indian cricket from third-world to first-world status. It is ‘economic development’ equivalent in cricket.

Who would be Lalit Modi of Indian economy?

Money and legislation need to be adapted to digitalisation

October 16, 2020

Riksbank Governor Stefan Ingves in this article argues that legislation needs to change to ensure both Physical and Digital Kroner continue as currencies:

Money and how we make payments are changing. Not so very long ago, cash was totally dominant, Now we have money in accounts and we make payments in the form of transfers between accounts. This development has many benefits. But if we do not adapt our money and legislation, it will also entail risks and potential losses. Moreover, current legislation and perhaps also parts of our way of thinking with regard to money and payments are still adapted to a time when everything was on paper.

In the Economic Commentary “Future money and payments”, Stefan Ingves presents his views on what needs to be done to ensure the Riksbank can continue to carry out its tasks in the future:

    • There shall be enough cash in case the electronic systems break down.
    • There shall be a national, state-issued ID card with e-identification.
    • There shall be digital state money as legal tender, an e-krona, issued by the Riksbank.
    • It shall be possible to make instant payments in Swedish krona, using state money, 24/7.
    • It shall be possible to make instant payments between currencies across borders 24/7.

History is rhyming itself. Law and lawyers shaped much of developments in money and banking in the physical age. They are going to be required in the digital space as well.

RBI announces OMO auction schedule for State Development Loans

October 16, 2020

Following up with its decision to do OMOs in SDLs, RBI has announced the auction schedule as well. 15 State SDLs to be under OMO:

As announced in the Statement on Developmental and Regulatory Policies dated October 09, 2020, the Reserve Bank will conduct Open Market Operations (OMOs) in State Developments Loans (SDLs). It has been decided to conduct a purchase auction of SDLs under Open Market Operations (OMOs) for an aggregate amount of ₹10,000 crores on October 22, 2020, keeping in view that this is the first ever OMO purchase of SDLs. Depending on market response, the size of the auctions may be enhanced in the subsequent auctions.

2. Accordingly, RBI will purchase the SDLs given in Annex-1 through a multi-security auction using the multiple price method. There is no security-wise notified amount. The Reserve Bank reserves the right to:

    • decide on the quantum of purchase of individual securities.
    • accept bids for less than the aggregate amount.
    • purchase marginally higher/lower than the aggregate amount due to rounding-off.
    • accept or reject any or all the bids either wholly or partially without assigning any reason

 

 


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