Archive for October 14th, 2021

The Effectiveness of Job-Retention Schemes during the pandemic: Evidence from Germany

October 14, 2021
Shekhar Aiyar and Mai Chi Dao in this IMF paper evaluate the effectiveness of Germany’s short-term work programme during the pandemic:

Kurzarbeit (KA), Germany’s short-time work program, is widely credited with saving jobs and supporting domestic demand during the COVID-19 recession. We quantify the impact by exploiting state-level variation in exposure to the pandemic shock and KA take-up. We construct a shift-share measure of the labor demand shock and instrument KA take-up using the pre-existing, state-specific share of workers eligible for KA. We find, first, that KA was crucial in mitigating unemployment: absent its expansion the unemployment rate would have increased by an additional 3 pp on average at the trough of the recession. Second, KA also bolstered domestic demand: the contraction in consumption could have been 2 to 3 times larger absent the program. Finally, we provide preliminary evidence on the sensitivity of the medium-run reallocation of resources to the prevalence of jobretention schemes during the Global Financial Crisis.

Ageing and the real interest rate in Japan: A labour market channel

October 14, 2021

Shigeru Fujita and Ippei Fujiwara in this voxeu research:

Denmark Central Bank’s Gold – A historical overview

October 14, 2021

Nice historical analysis of role of Gold in Denmark’s monetary system from a historical perspective. The short paper is written by Kim Abidgren.

There is still public interest in Danmarks Nationalbank’s gold stock, although it has been many years since gold played an important role in the cash system and more generally in monetary and foreign exchange policies. The analysis provides an overview of the historical background of the gold stock based on source material from Danmarks Nationalbank’s archives at the Danish National Archives.

 


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