Archive for May 4th, 2023

One product, two prices: The border effect in retail prices

May 4, 2023

Teresa Messner, Fabio Rumler and Georg Strasser in this voxeu article:

The ‘law of one price’ states that, in a frictionless world, the price of a product sold in two countries should be the same. This column examines price differences across a national border where most factors commonly used to explain international price differences are absent. While some products cost the same on both sides of the border between Austria and Germany, most prices differ significantly. The authors show that even retailers operating in both countries charge different prices for identical products on each side of the border.

…..

Our work has three important implications. First, it shows that retailers practice cross-border price discrimination. This means that they maximise profits separately in each country, even within the EU. This suggests that the cost of arbitrage remains sufficiently high – potentially owing to information cost (i.e. the efforts people must make to obtain information on prices) – to discourage many consumers from exploiting these price differences.

Second, even within a fully integrated region a national border can affect prices. National borders can still matter even within the EU because the evolution of logistics networks and marketing regions is rooted in history. Current distribution networks developed at a time when cross-border trade was more complicated than nowadays. The finding that price discrimination coincides geographically with the national border is thus likely a legacy of the economic borders of the past, and their effect is fading away only slowly. 5

The third finding is that although the law of one price fails, it does hold true in a relative sense: inflation rates are comparable on both sides of the border. Common cost shocks move prices in both countries in the same direction, but product-specific pricing dominates the border effect. Therefore, the border effect by itself is unlikely to affect the transmission of monetary policy.

In conclusion, our study suggests that retailers have considerable market power vis-à-vis consumers, with the border effect pointing to retailers choosing to apply price differentiation – for historical reasons – based on existing distribution networks.

Mamma Mia, Here We Go Again? Lessons from SVB and Credit Suisse

May 4, 2023

Klaas Knot, Governor of Netherlands Central Bank in this speech:

Yesterday was King’s Day in the Netherlands. The day we celebrate the birthday of our king. Having a monarchy is one of the great many things the Dutch and the Swedes have in common.

Our King’s Day is a national holiday with flea markets on every square, music and beer in the high streets, and the entire country dressed up in orange to celebrate.

And every year I think to myself: “Mamma Mia, here we go again.”

This thought also crossed my mind a few weeks ago, when the most recent episode of market turmoil started – with the failure of Silicon Valley Bank and the fall of Credit Suisse.

But are we actually ‘going again’?

Alfred Nobel provides some wisdom to answer this question. He said: “One can state, without exaggeration, that the observation of and the search for similarities and differences are the basis of all human knowledge.”

In saying this, he captured exactly what we need to do in case of turmoil, in case of a new shock to our financial system.

Of course, every shock is unique. But often, there are similarities. And often, there are differences with previous shocks. And it is up to us to distinguish between them. To draw on lessons learned for what is similar. And to look for new lessons for what is different.

We have learned a lot from previous shocks. They allowed us to identify vulnerabilities in our financial system. And we have been able to strengthen our resilience and stability as a result.

So far, no shock has been the Waterloo of our global financial system. But we need to remain vigilant. We need to remain diligent, in mapping, measuring and monitoring vulnerabilities. Old and new.

So let’s put the super trouper on the most recent episode of market turmoil, and take a closer look at what happened, what vulnerabilities were exposed, and what lessons we can learn from similarities and differences with the past.

Read the speech for lessons…

 


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