Archive for February 13th, 2024

Paytm Saga: Remembering Galbraith’s words on Men of Money

February 13, 2024

I have written a few posts quoting JK Galbraith’s famous quotes on Men of Money.

With the ongoing saga of Paytm Payments Bank, one can’t help but requote the golden words:

 Men possessed of money, like men earlier favored by noble birth and great title, have infallibly imagined that the awe and admiration that money inspires were really owing to their own wisdom or personality. The contrast between their view of themselves, as so enhanced, and the frequently ridiculous or depraved reality has ever been a source of wonder and rich amusement. Similarly there has always been pleasure of a low sort in the speed with which the awe and admiration evaporate when something happens to the individual’s money.

Money bemuses in another way. Recurrently over the centuries menhave supposed that they have mastered the secret of its infinite amplification. And as reliably as they have persuaded themselves of this, they have also persuaded others. Invariably it involves the rediscovery, perhaps in slightly novel form, of some infinitely ancient fraud. 

The span of time between the transcendental heights of the financial genius and the nadir of the ensuing collapse — from being John Law the savior of the French Regency to being John Law the penitent in Venice, from being Nicholas Biddle the first master of American finance and a fearsome figure to Presidents to being Nicholas Biddle the most distinguished of Philadelphia bankrupts, from being Bernard Corn-feld of the jet planes and sad-eyed concubines to being Bernard Cornfeld of the prison of St. Antoine — is often only a few months, at most only a few years. There is wonder and a certain wicked pleasure in these giddy ascents and terrible falls, especially as they happen to other people. 
Here, no doubt, it is the story and not the meaning that is important.”

You replace money with digital money and the story is pretty much the same.

Lifetime memories of inflation: Evidence from surveys and the lab

February 13, 2024

Isabelle Salle, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Olivier Coibion study how memories of inflation will shape inflation exp in future:

The post-pandemic inflation surge saw an entire generation living through its first bout of significant and sustained price increases. This column investigates how memories of that experience will shape future expectations of inflation. Combining a household survey taken in the Netherlands and a laboratory experiment conducted with students at the University of Amsterdam, the authors find that recent inflation rates may have long-term effects on individual expectations, but that remembering previous disinflations or playing forecasting games using historical data on prior disinflations mitigated expectations about the duration of current rates.


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