Archive for December 4th, 2025

From data scarcity to data plenty: Now What? 

December 4, 2025

The IMF’s Finance & Development (F&D) December 2025 edition is based on the theme of data. It says : more data, now what?

F&D editor Gita Bhatt explains:

We live in a galaxy of data. From satellites and smartwatches to social media and swipes at a register, we have ways to measure the economy to an extent that would have seemed like science fiction just a generation ago. New data sources and techniques are challenging not only how we see the economy, but how we make sense of it. 

The data deluge raises important questions: How can we distinguish meaningful signals of economic activity from noise in the age of artificial intelligence, and how should we use them to inform policy decisions? To what extent can new sources of data complement or even replace official statistics? And, at a more fundamental level, are we even measuring the metrics that matter most in today’s increasingly digital economy? Or are we simply tracking what we looked at in the past? This issue of Finance & Development explores these questions. 

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This issue serves as a reminder that better measurement is not just about more data—it’s about using it wisely. In an era where AI amplifies both possibilities and noise, that challenge becomes even more urgent. To serve the public good, data must help us see the world more clearly, respond intelligently to complexity, and make better decisions. Data, after all, is a means not an end.

I hope the insights in this issue help you better understand the profound forces at play in our data-driven world.  

From the world of data scarcity, we move to world of data plenty.

The real impact of FinTech: Evidence from mobile payment technology in Singapore

December 4, 2025

Sumit Agarwal, Wenlan Qian, Yuan Ren, Hsin-Tien Tiffany and Tsai Bernard Yeung discuss impact of mobile payments in Singapore:

FinTech has transformed finance, but the broader effects of digital payments on consumers, businesses, and banks remain underexplored. This column examines the impact of Singapore’s rollout of consumer-to-business mobile payments.

Within a year of launching the service, adoption expanded rapidly. Small business formation increased, and self-employed owners experienced higher revenues, lower liquidity needs, and greater spending. Consumption increased, especially among consumers previously reliant on cash. Banks reduced ATMs in historically cash-intensive areas while expanding credit provision.

These findings demonstrate the tangible economic impact of low-cost digital payments.

Stablecoins and the double standard of money

December 4, 2025

Biagio Bossone writes on the LSE Blog that as we mock instability of stablecoins, we should realise that without government intervention deposits would be as unstable:

Critics of stablecoins rarely miss an opportunity to pronounce their demise. Every time a token slips below its one-dollar peg, however briefly, a chorus of commentators declares: “this proves they can never be trusted.” The verdict is delivered with confidence, as though each deviation confirms the inherent fragility of privately issued digital money.

Yet this criticism reflects an often-ignored irony: if central banks did not actively guarantee the singleness of money, commercial bank deposits – the very backbone of modern payment systems – would wobble far more than stablecoins ever do. Deposit parity is not a natural, spontaneous feature of banking systems. It is an institutional artefact, painstakingly constructed over a century of legal commitments, public guarantees and lender-of-last-resort interventions.

As a recent article on this blog notes, stablecoins sit at a historical crossroads between innovation and regulation, reviving long-standing questions about how societies safeguard monetary stability.

Today we take for granted that a dollar in deposits is identical to a dollar in cash. But if regulators removed deposit insurance and emergency liquidity provision, and treated commercial banks as ordinary private creditors, deposits would trade at discounts or premiums depending on each bank’s perceived safety. Deposits trade at par because the state makes them safe by underwriting them.

Then he goes on to discuss fractional reserve banking:

Why, then, are bank deposits treated so differently from stablecoins? The traditional justification is that banks operate under a fractional-reserve system. They create money through lending, expand credit and support economic growth. In return for this public function, they are heavily regulated and receive a package of state privileges: access to the central bank balance sheet, lender-of-last-resort protection, deposit insurance and participation in key pieces of financial infrastructure.

Stablecoins, by contrast, are treated as narrow banks: fully backed, operating with limited credit creation and existing primarily as digital wrappers for fiat currency. Since they do not contribute to credit intermediation, the argument goes, they should not benefit from the same public guarantees extended to deposit-taking banks.

But this logic is circular: it blames stablecoins for lacking protections they’re not allowed to have. If the primary goal of monetary authorities is the stability of the means of payment, there is no conceptual reason why similar guarantees could not be extended to other forms of privately issued money that serve comparable functions in payment systems.

Indeed, the latest regulatory proposal from the Bank of England moves in this direction by contemplating limited or supervised access to central bank infrastructure for well-regulated stablecoin issuers. By contrast, neither the European Union’s MiCA framework, administered by the European Banking Authority, nor America’s GENIUS Act contemplate any form of central-bank access or institutional support for private stablecoin issuers. The question is not technological feasibility. It is political willingness.

Hmmm..interesting times…


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