Archive for December, 2025

Book Review: The Corporation & The Corporation in the 21st Century

December 12, 2025

Book Review: The Corporation & The Corporation in the 21st Century
Grietje Baars and Andre Spencer. 2017. The Corporation: A Critical, Multi-Disciplinary Handbook. Cambridge University Press. & John Kay. 2024. The Corporation in the 21st Century: Why (Almost) Everything We are Told about Business is Wrong. Profile Books.

Annavajhula J C Bose, PhD
Department of Economics (Retd.), SRCC, DU

Both the books are pathbreakingly useful to the students of economics and business. They are large volumes, though. It is rather odious that the author of the second book does not acknowledge the existence of the first book and its authors!

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Understanding Stablecoins

December 5, 2025
A huge team of IMF economists have released a primer on stablecoins:
Stablecoins, a type of crypto asset, have seen significant growth and attention recently. This paper provides a comprehensive overview of stablecoins. It discusses market developments, use cases, potential benefits, associated risks, and the evolving international regulatory landscape.
Stablecoin issuance has doubled over the past two years, driven by their use in crypto trades. The future demand for stablecoins could arise from other use cases supported by enabling legal and regulatory frameworks. Stablecoins are part of the broader interest in asset tokenization. Stablecoins offer several potential benefits. Through tokenization, they could increase efficiency in payments through increased competition. Stablecoins also carry significant risks related to macro-financial stability, operational efficiency, financial integrity, and legal certainty.
Stablecoins may contribute to currency substitution, increase capital flow volatility. These risks could be more pronounced in countries experiencing high inflation, weaker institutions, or diminished confidence in the domestic monetary framework. The regulatory landscape for stablecoins is evolving.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF), the Financial Stability Board (FSB) have issued comprehensive policy recommendations. Many authorities have started implementing international standards, although a fragmented landscape persists. As stablecoins operate globally, this also increases the potential for conflicts between domestic policies, making international cooperation even more essential.
The IMF continues to closely monitor developments, offering analysis, guidance, and policy advice to member countries on crypto assets, including stablecoins. As stablecoins continue to integrate into the global financial system, policymakers, regulators, and industry stakeholders need to collaborate and ensure that the potential benefits of stablecoins materialize while addressing increasing risks. This collaborative approach will help create a more resilient and inclusive financial ecosystem, paving the way for innovative financial solutions that can drive economic growth.

Why Civilizations Flourish and Fail: From Athens to the Abbasids to today’s Anglosphere

December 5, 2025

Johan Norberg has written a new book: Peak Human: What We Can Learn from the Rise and Fall of Golden Ages.

He shares the key learnings in this IMF article:

Ninth century Baghdad, seat of the Abbasid Caliphate, was designed as a perfect circle to honor the Greek geometer Euclid. The empire, enriched by trade in goods and ideas, sponsored an ambitious translation movement to collect the accumulated knowledge of the many cultures it interacted with.

This open mindset is one of the keys to the success of seven great civilizations spanning two and a half millennia. The practical lessons of these cultures could not be more important today as countries choose once again to wall themselves off—physically, economically, digitally, and from new ideas.

Leaders promise safety, greatness, and a return to an imagined golden age through protection and control. It is a familiar and tempting story when the future feels uncertain. Yet history tells a different tale.

The most secure and prosperous societies did not hide from the world. They were confident enough to remain open to trade and ideas, allowing the new to challenge the known. Progress emerges when people experiment, borrow, and combine ideas in ways no planner could ever foresee; decline happens when fear overcomes curiosity.

These are among the central lessons of history’s real golden ages that I explore in my new book, Peak Human: What We Can Learn from the Rise and Fall of Golden Ages.

SEBI penalising another finfluencer

December 5, 2025

SEBI has fined another major finfluencer which has made a lot of news:

An examination conducted by the Securities and Exchange Board of India (hereinafter referred to as “SEBI”) regarding activities of Avadhut Sathe Trading Academy Private Limited (hereinafter referred to as “ASTAPL”) and Avadhut Sathe (hereinafter referred to as “AS”) during FY 2023–24 revealed that ASTAPL/AS was publishing selective profitable trades of course participants/ investors and claiming that his course participants/investors consistently earn through trading and that the trainers at ASTAPL/AS are experts in the stock market. However, the analysis by SEBI showed that all such trainers and course participants/investors of were in net losses and accordingly an Administrative Warning dated March 01, 2024 was issued to ASTAPL/AS, cautioning them against misrepresentation and selective disclosures.

Despite the issuance of warning, ASTAPL/AS continued to publish misleading videos. SEBI received a few complaints against ASTAPL/AS from complainants who had subscribed to various programs offered by ASTAPL/AS alleging that despite the extraordinary returns promised in the programs, many course participants/investors incurred substantial losses. The recording of the session, along with other relevant documents, provided to SEBI were examined.

Preliminary examination in the matter indicated that ASTAPL/AS was engaged in providing unregistered investment advisory and research analyst services under the guise of stock market education while using live market trading data during sessions. It was further observed that the ASTAPL/AS had collected substantial amounts of fees from unsuspecting investors. In addition, ASTAPL/AS was found to be disseminating misleading information and advertisements through social media platforms, aimed at inducing investors by portraying unrealistic returns from stock market activities.

SEBI has imposed a penalty of Rs 546 cr:

It was primarily AS who played a major role in devising a scheme wherein course participants were lured to trade in specific stocks. Recommendations of buy/sell of specific securities were provided by AS for a consideration in the pretext of imparting education. Considering the material on record, I note that in so far as impounding of the proceeds to the tune of INR 5,46,16,65,367/- is concerned, ASTAPL and AS are jointly and severally liable for the same.

The order is full of details on how the pretext of education was used to do all kinds of things.

It is quite amazing how rise of stock market indices is leading to this anxiety and people feeling fear of missing out (FOMO). All kinds og Finfluencers are springing up to address FOMO telling people how nothing is lost and they can get rich quickly. In the process, investors lose and Finfluencers make all the money. SEBI has to fight this on war footing as there are just many variants and types of these Finfluencers.

From data scarcity to data plenty: Now What? 

December 4, 2025

The IMF’s Finance & Development (F&D) December 2025 edition is based on the theme of data. It says : more data, now what?

F&D editor Gita Bhatt explains:

We live in a galaxy of data. From satellites and smartwatches to social media and swipes at a register, we have ways to measure the economy to an extent that would have seemed like science fiction just a generation ago. New data sources and techniques are challenging not only how we see the economy, but how we make sense of it. 

The data deluge raises important questions: How can we distinguish meaningful signals of economic activity from noise in the age of artificial intelligence, and how should we use them to inform policy decisions? To what extent can new sources of data complement or even replace official statistics? And, at a more fundamental level, are we even measuring the metrics that matter most in today’s increasingly digital economy? Or are we simply tracking what we looked at in the past? This issue of Finance & Development explores these questions. 

….

This issue serves as a reminder that better measurement is not just about more data—it’s about using it wisely. In an era where AI amplifies both possibilities and noise, that challenge becomes even more urgent. To serve the public good, data must help us see the world more clearly, respond intelligently to complexity, and make better decisions. Data, after all, is a means not an end.

I hope the insights in this issue help you better understand the profound forces at play in our data-driven world.  

From the world of data scarcity, we move to world of data plenty.

The real impact of FinTech: Evidence from mobile payment technology in Singapore

December 4, 2025

Sumit Agarwal, Wenlan Qian, Yuan Ren, Hsin-Tien Tiffany and Tsai Bernard Yeung discuss impact of mobile payments in Singapore:

FinTech has transformed finance, but the broader effects of digital payments on consumers, businesses, and banks remain underexplored. This column examines the impact of Singapore’s rollout of consumer-to-business mobile payments.

Within a year of launching the service, adoption expanded rapidly. Small business formation increased, and self-employed owners experienced higher revenues, lower liquidity needs, and greater spending. Consumption increased, especially among consumers previously reliant on cash. Banks reduced ATMs in historically cash-intensive areas while expanding credit provision.

These findings demonstrate the tangible economic impact of low-cost digital payments.

Stablecoins and the double standard of money

December 4, 2025

Biagio Bossone writes on the LSE Blog that as we mock instability of stablecoins, we should realise that without government intervention deposits would be as unstable:

Critics of stablecoins rarely miss an opportunity to pronounce their demise. Every time a token slips below its one-dollar peg, however briefly, a chorus of commentators declares: “this proves they can never be trusted.” The verdict is delivered with confidence, as though each deviation confirms the inherent fragility of privately issued digital money.

Yet this criticism reflects an often-ignored irony: if central banks did not actively guarantee the singleness of money, commercial bank deposits – the very backbone of modern payment systems – would wobble far more than stablecoins ever do. Deposit parity is not a natural, spontaneous feature of banking systems. It is an institutional artefact, painstakingly constructed over a century of legal commitments, public guarantees and lender-of-last-resort interventions.

As a recent article on this blog notes, stablecoins sit at a historical crossroads between innovation and regulation, reviving long-standing questions about how societies safeguard monetary stability.

Today we take for granted that a dollar in deposits is identical to a dollar in cash. But if regulators removed deposit insurance and emergency liquidity provision, and treated commercial banks as ordinary private creditors, deposits would trade at discounts or premiums depending on each bank’s perceived safety. Deposits trade at par because the state makes them safe by underwriting them.

Then he goes on to discuss fractional reserve banking:

Why, then, are bank deposits treated so differently from stablecoins? The traditional justification is that banks operate under a fractional-reserve system. They create money through lending, expand credit and support economic growth. In return for this public function, they are heavily regulated and receive a package of state privileges: access to the central bank balance sheet, lender-of-last-resort protection, deposit insurance and participation in key pieces of financial infrastructure.

Stablecoins, by contrast, are treated as narrow banks: fully backed, operating with limited credit creation and existing primarily as digital wrappers for fiat currency. Since they do not contribute to credit intermediation, the argument goes, they should not benefit from the same public guarantees extended to deposit-taking banks.

But this logic is circular: it blames stablecoins for lacking protections they’re not allowed to have. If the primary goal of monetary authorities is the stability of the means of payment, there is no conceptual reason why similar guarantees could not be extended to other forms of privately issued money that serve comparable functions in payment systems.

Indeed, the latest regulatory proposal from the Bank of England moves in this direction by contemplating limited or supervised access to central bank infrastructure for well-regulated stablecoin issuers. By contrast, neither the European Union’s MiCA framework, administered by the European Banking Authority, nor America’s GENIUS Act contemplate any form of central-bank access or institutional support for private stablecoin issuers. The question is not technological feasibility. It is political willingness.

Hmmm..interesting times…

CityFinance.in: A platform for credible financial information on India’s cities

December 3, 2025

Just came across this interesting platform – Cityfinance.in – which provides timel and credible financial information on India’s cities.

The cityfinance blog has interesting insights from the data.

This analysis reveals a stark reality: India’s urban revenue landscape is marked by significant concentration and growing disparities. Larger cities not only command the lion’s share of total revenue but also generate substantially higher per capita income and experience faster growth rates. Addressing this challenge requires recognizing that state-level decisions about revenue-sharing, functional devolution, and administrative autonomy critically shape urban fiscal capacity.

We need to investigate these patterns further to understand how they extend beyond population size to economic activity, and administrative capacity. These widening gaps raise critical concerns about fiscal federalism and the sustainability of India’s urbanization trajectory. As revenue inequality between large and small cities increase, the challenge ahead involves both learning from high-performing cities and reforming state-level frameworks that govern urban finance.

Mumbai has emerged as a clear outlier throughout this analysis. Stay tuned for an analysis, where we dive deeper into what makes India’s financial capital such a revenue powerhouse.

 

The rise of non-bank financial institutions: implications for monetary policy

December 3, 2025

Ryan Niladri Banerjee, Boris Hofmann, Ding Xuan Ng and Gabor Pinter on rise of non-bank financial institutions and its impact on monetary policy:

  • Non-bank financial institutions (NBFIs) have grown significantly in recent years, mainly driven by the growth of investment funds, including hedge funds. These changes reflect the role of bond markets, which have expanded on the back of surging government debt.
  • The rise of NBFIs adds uncertainty to monetary policy transmission, as there could be dampening and amplifying effects. Investment funds appear to strengthen transmission while at the same time making it less stable.
  • Greater uncertainty about transmission due to structural changes in the financial system reinforces the principle of a gradual policy approach while at the same time calling for flexibility in adjusting policy.

Tullock, Downs, and the Beginning of the Virginia School of Political Economy

December 3, 2025

Marianne Johnson and Julien Grandjean discuss shaping of Virginia School of Political Economy in this paper:

Gordon Tullock’s engagement with Anthony Downs over the limitations of majority voting proved an important impetus to the establishment of the Virginia Political Economy research program and the writing of Calculus of Consent (1962). Although much work has been done on the origins of Virginia Political Economy and Calculus, the precise circumstances and motivations underlying the Tullock and Downs 1958-1960 exchanges remain obscure.

In this paper, we reconstruct how the rapid evolution in Tullock’s thinking was sparked by his engagement with Downs through a series of papers, replies, rejoinders, and letters. We demonstrate how their works are inextricably linked, and how the intellectual stimulation and substantive disagreements between Downs and Tullock precipitated important advances.

From his initial exploration into the limits of majority voting, Tullock was pushed to consider a range of potential solutions that included logrolling and other compensation schemes. Finding these insufficient, Tullock turned his attention to the rules of the game and the meta-conditions under which collective decisions are made.

Why we all make sacrifices to the human-created God called “The Economy”?

December 2, 2025

Sven Beckert who wrote a book on history of cotton has now written another book on history of capitalism.

Beckert writes about the book in this article:

We live in a world created by capitalism. The ceaseless accumulation of capital forges the cities we inhabit, determines the way we work, allows an extraordinarily large number of people to engage in unprecedented levels of consumption, influences our politics, and shapes the landscapes around us. It is impossible to look at Earth and miss the world‑historical force of capitalism.

This is true as much for the greatest structures we inhabit as for the most intimate parts of our lives, as much for the world’s geology as for the ways we think about ourselves. To start, we acquire almost all goods and services we consume through markets, something that would have been unimaginable for most of human history. We sell our labor through markets—again, unimaginable for most of human history. Some of us might trade in stocks, either as a full‑time vocation or to safeguard something called retirement; most people at most times would have considered this trading deeply sacrilegious, more like sorcery than a legitimate way to gain wealth.

….

The capitalist revolution has imprinted itself on your way of thinking about the world too: When you hear or read about economic affairs in the news, you learn about “the economy” as an active subject that did something or needs us to do something.

Most people throughout human history considered questions of production, consumption, and trade, just as we do now, but they would have found it strange to make sacrifices to a human‑created god called “the economy.”

Yet what is common and seemingly natural—the way things are—has a history. We can ask how and why such a radically new way of economic life evolved. How did we get from a world in which the logic of capital was limited to only a few spaces to one in which it determines almost everything? How did we ever give such superpowers to something created by but also external to us? Even if we take it for granted, see it as natural, this explosion of capitalism is one of the greatest puzzles in human history. And we need to grapple with it, not just to satisfy our curiosity about how we got to where we are but to gain a better foothold in the present and think creatively about our future. As a Chinese proverb puts it, we need to “learn truth from facts.”

Hmm…should read this asap…

Explaining shape of future banking using cricket analogy

December 2, 2025

RBI Deputy Governor Shri Swaminathan J gives a speech on future of banking with cricketer VVS Laxman sitting in the audience:

Since there is a cricketer waiting in the room, let me borrow something from the game. Think of the next part of my speech as an over, with six deliveries. Each ball is one key idea that I believe will shape the future of banking in India. I promise there will be no googlies.

🙂

How do the 6 balls look like?

  • Ball 1: New challenges in banking today
  • Ball 2: Drivers of customer service in a digital era
  • Ball 3: Innovation and collaboration with fintechs
  • Ball 4: Customer centricity, grievance redress and cyber frauds
  • Ball 5: Data, analytics and responsible use of “the new oil”
  • Ball 6: IT resilience and third-party dependencies

It would have been interesting if he had explained which ball could be the most tricky for banks, bankers and regukators.

How do the 6 balls look when looked at them as a full over?

If you look back at these six balls in that over, a common thread runs through them. It is the central importance of governance, culture and people. Technology, data, regulation and processes are all important. But at the end of the day, decisions are made by people, and culture is shaped by the tone at the top.

Strong governance, an ethical culture, and a clear sense of purpose are what allow institutions to navigate cycles, absorb shocks and serve their customers and the economy over the long term.

As regulators, we see banks as partners. Our role is like that of the umpire: we set and interpret the rules, monitor the game and call out the occasional no-ball or wide when needed, so that the play remains fair and safe. The task of scoring runs, by serving customers well, managing risks prudently and supporting growth, rests with you.

Let me conclude with one final cricketing thought. In T20 cricket, it is tempting to go for big shots every ball. In Test cricket, patience, discipline, and respect for match conditions matter more. Our financial system must combine both mindsets. We need the innovation and energy of T20, but we must anchor it in the prudence and resilience of Test cricket. Only then can we build institutions that not only post quick scores, but also stay at the crease for decades.

I wish all of you continued success in your journey. May your partnerships be strong, your defences solid, your shots well timed, and your innings long. Jai Hind.

 

From modeling rational expectations to modeling diagnostic/behavioral expectations

December 2, 2025
Selim Elekdag, Mananirina Razafitsiory, Luis-Felipe Zanna have built a New-Keynesian behavioral model in this IMF paper :
We develop and estimate a parsimonious New-Keynesian small open-economy model that incorporates Diagnostic Expectations (DE)—a behavioral alternative to Rational Expectations (RE). Under DE, agents systematically overreact to new information, generating additional endogenous volatility.
Our empirical analysis provides robust support for the DE framework: it fits Canadian data significantly better than the nested RE benchmark and improves forecasts of key macroeconomic variables, including real GDP growth, even during crises such as the Global Financial Crisis. These gains arise because DE reshapes the transmission of shocks, amplifying their effects and strengthening the exchange-rate channel of monetary policy.
As a result, the relative importance of structural shocks shifts—with greater roles for supply shocks—and policymakers face a meaningfully worse inflation–output volatility trade-off. Taken together, our results highlight the relevance of behavioral expectations for open-economy dynamics and policy design.

The Washington Consensus: A Narrative Review of its Evidence, Impacts, and Transformations

December 2, 2025

Ricardo Alonzo Fernandez Salguero of UPC Barcelona Tech reviews Washington Consensus:

The Washington Consensus has been one of the most influential and controversial economic policy paradigms of the late 20th century. Conceived as a ten-point decalogue of market-oriented reforms, its implementation generated a vast body of literature evaluating its impacts.

This qualitative narrative review synthesizes evidence from 53 academic studies to offer a panoramic view of its legacy. It explores its origins and evolution, the empirical evidence associating it with improvements in growth, and the criticisms linking it to rising inequality and economic crises. Finally, it analyzes the emergence of post-consensus narratives, arguing that this evolution, rather than a rupture, represents a strategic adaptation of neoliberalism.

The findings reveal that while the era of universal solutions is over, the post-consensus paradigm often recycles fundamental principles under a new language of inclusion and contextual specificity, posing new challenges for the search for genuine development alternatives.

 

A Teacher Writes to Students Series (58): Orthodoxy and Heterodoxy

December 1, 2025

A Teacher Writes to Students Series (58): Orthodoxy and Heterodoxy
Annavajhula J C Bose, PhD
Department of Economics (Retd.), SRCC, DU

 

“Neoclassical economics should already belong to the history of economic thought, as a failed paradigm every bit as wrong about the economy as Ptolemaic Astronomy was about the universe. It is… not merely an inappropriate paradigm for the analysis of capitalism, but an existential threat to capitalism itself, if not human society in general. It could well cause an existential crisis for our species, as our species itself has caused for so many others. It has to go.”

Keen (2024), to quote as above, is absolutely right again in intellectually refuting neoclassical economics, like he had already bulldozed it earlier even as conventional economists upholding it are deaf to him.  And against his wishing like the above, neoclassical economics as orthodoxy in economics remains like strains of pathogens that have developed resistance to multiple drugs, which are the hardest to get rid of.  It persists as “Economics students … graduate from Masters and PhD programs with an effectively vacuous understanding of economics, no appreciation of the intellectual history of their discipline, and an approach to mathematics which hobbles both their critical understanding of economics, and their ability to appreciate the latest advances in mathematics and other sciences.”

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Reserve Bank of India issues consolidated Master Directions

December 1, 2025

RBI kickstarted the process of simplifying its regulatory structure after constituting Regulations Review Authority in 2021.  Since then hundreds of regulations have been merged/streamlined/nullified.

On Friday (28 Nov 2025) RBI announced further pruning of its regulations:

The Reserve Bank has issued numerous directions over the years, under the statutory powers conferred upon it by various Acts. While increase in regulatory guidelines is a natural process as the financial system evolves, this was further driven by an expanding regulatory perimeter, distributed supervisory/ regulatory jurisdiction over certain regulated entities, and non-repeal of some of the earlier instructions when new ones were issued. Being mindful of compliance burden to the Regulated Entities (REs), the Reserve Bank has continuously endeavoured to optimise its regulatory framework.

2. Against this backdrop, the Reserve Bank has recently undertaken a fundamental reorganisation of the regulatory instructions administered by its Department of Regulation – marking a paradigm shift in its regulatory communication. The comprehensive exercise involved consolidation of more than 9000 existing circular/ guidelines administered by Department of Regulation into 238 function-wise Master Directions (MDs), specific to each category of regulated entity. Instructions issued by NABARD to Regional Rural Banks, State Co-operative Banks and Central Co-operative Banks were also consolidated in consultation with NABARD. This exercise is expected to enhance clarity, ease of access, and reduce compliance burden for REs, thereby supporting the broader objective of improving ease of doing business.

3. Under this consolidation effort, instructions contained in approximately 3500 directions, circulars, and guidelines, were consolidated into 238 Master Directions, across 11 types of regulated entities. For this purpose, the 11 types of regulated entities identified are: (a) Commercial Banks; (b) Small Finance Banks; (c) Payments Banks; (d) Local Area Banks; (e) Regional Rural Banks; (f) Urban Co-operative Banks; (g) Rural Co-operative Banks; (h) All India Financial Institutions; (i) Non-Banking Financial Companies; (j) Asset Reconstruction Companies; and (k) Credit Information Companies. Instructions contained in remaining directions / circulars were identified as obsolete and marked for repeal once the consolidated MDs are issued.

4. Accordingly, the drafts of these 238 MDs were placed on website of the Reserve Bank for public comments regarding completeness and accuracy vide press release dated October 10, 2025. The list of circulars that were proposed to be repealed following the issue of consolidated MDs as well as a list of notifications that were to be retained as standalone were also provided.

5. The Reserve Bank had received over 770 comments from various stakeholders on the draft MDs. Several suggestions were for regulatory changes, which were outside the scope of this consolidation exercise, and hence have not been considered for the purpose of consolidation. The remaining comments, relevant to the finalisation of the MDs have been duly considered while finalising the consolidated MDs.

6. Consequently, the following set of final documents are issued today:

    1. 2441 Master Directions consolidating the instructions currently administered by the Department of Regulation on an ‘as-is’ basis. These instructions have been issued separately for 11 types of regulated entities and are cohesively organised across various regulatory areas. These documents can be accessed through Notifications → Master Directions → Department of Regulation. These Master Directions will serve as the sole library of regulations administered by the Department of Regulation.
    2. List of 9445 circulars that are being repealed / withdrawn following the issue of these consolidated Master Directions can be accessed through Notifications → Circulars Withdrawn → Circulars withdrawn by the Department of Regulation.

Phew. It is quite a task to write so many regulations and equally a big task to streamline them..

The Great Indian Poverty Debate 3.0

December 1, 2025

Gaurav Dutt in TheIndiaForum discusses the the Great Indian Poverty Debate 3.0:

A heated debate—GIPD 2.0—ensued on what had happened to poverty since 2011-12. There was a wide range of post-2012 poverty estimates, and hence a wide range of estimated rates of poverty reduction since 2012. GIPD 2.0 has remained unsettled. The only broad consensus is on the direction of change (that poverty has almost certainly declined since 2012), but with wide disagreement on the extent of change.

While following GIPD 1.0 and GIPD 2.0 is instructive and there are lessons to be learnt from them, I focus on the current debate, GIPD 3.0, in this note. The discussion is in three parts—the context, the content, and the controversy around GIPD 3.0.


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