Possible Oreshnik Deployment in Belarus
by | December 26, 2025 | 1 Comment
A few days ago, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated that “The relocation of the Oreshnik system to the territory of Belarus is nearing completion. We understand where it will be deployed.” But Zelenskyy didn’t share the location! Jon Landay at Reuters asked me whether the team had any idea where Orehsnik might be headed, so …
A Pod of Dynamite
by | November 15, 2025 | No Comments
Jeffrey and Scott watched the new Kathryn Bigelow movie “House of Dynamite” and they both have opinions. The crew talks through both the artistic choices as well as the wonky details. “House of Dynamite” is an interesting take on missile defense and decisionmaking that doesn’t quite commit enough to any philosophical or strategic camp, but ultimately …
A Return to Nuclear Testing
by | November 3, 2025 | No Comments
Donald Trump directed “the Department of War to start testing our Nuclear Weapons on an equal basis” with other countries. The Department of War doesn’t test nuclear weapons, the Department of Energy does all the time in lots of different ways. Some people worried this meant a return to explosive testing, others seemed to think …
Guest Post – Always Be Casting: An Estimate of Iranian Solid Rocket Motor Production
by | September 29, 2025 | No Comments
This guest post is by Carl Parkin. Jon Gambrell has a story with the Associated Press on the reconstitution of Iran’s missile program in the wake of the 12-Day War. That story is based in part on this report. Introduction At the outset of Operation Rising Lion, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu justified Israel’s attack …
A Firstful of Interceptors: ABM Performance During True Promise II
by Sam Lair | September 10, 2025
Pentagon Blocks Ukraine Strikes
by ACW Podcast | September 2, 2025
Ninety Percent Of The Time, The Missile Works Every Time: Iranian Missile Failure Rates During True Promise II
by Sam Lair | August 22, 2025
Fly Burevestnik Fly!
by ACW Podcast | August 22, 2025
Mad Max MANPADS in Yemen
by Sam Lair | August 21, 2025
Thaqib-1 Anti-Air Missiles, In This Climate!? Potential Limitations of Houthi Ingenuity
by Seth Hosford | August 21, 2025
About
Founded in 2004 by Jeffrey Lewis, Arms Control Wonk was the first blog on arms control, disarmament and nonproliferation. It has since been a home to everything that is "too wonky or obscene" for publication about nuclear weapons. The site now features thirty-plus contributors with an archive of over three thousand articles.
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Jeffrey and Scott watched the new Kathryn Bigelow movie “House of Dynamite” and they both have opinions.
The crew talks through both the artistic choices as well as the wonky details. “House of Dynamite” is an interesting take on missile defense and decisionmaking that doesn’t quite commit enough to any philosophical or strategic camp, but ultimately may be the lens through which a lot of non-wonks view or interact with missile defenses, conceptually, as we move towards a potential major expansion of US missile defenses.
We should do a watch party.
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