The Violence & Impacts
Early-Warning System
We deliver scalable, data-driven tools to empower decision-makers and humanitarian actors in early and anticipatory action.
Latest Updates
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Posted on 30 Jun 2026
New Data Release: Conflict Forecasts for June 2026–May 2029
The latest VIEWS forecasts for state-based armed conflict are now available, covering the 36-month period from May 2026 to April 2029. The dataset includes global forecasts at the country-month level, along with geo-referenced forecasts at 0.5° spatial resolution for Africa and the Middle East. It captures the following indicators for state-based armed conflict: Access and…
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Posted on 30 Jun 2026
Data for Peace 2026 Concludes After Three Days of Global Dialogue on Early Warning and Early Action
Stockholm, Sweden and Online — The 2026 Data for Peace Conference has come to a close, bringing together a global community of researchers, policymakers, peacebuilders, humanitarian practitioners, data providers, and technologists to explore how data and technology can better support violence prevention, anticipatory action, and crisis response. Over three days in Stockholm and online, the…
Topics: Data for Peace -
Posted on 30 May 2026
VIEWS Featured in The Economist on AI and Conflict Prediction
VIEWS has been featured in a recent The Economist article exploring how artificial intelligence is being used to forecast armed conflict and political instability. The article highlights advances in conflict forecasting and examines how researchers are combining large-scale data, statistical modeling, and machine learning techniques to better understand and anticipate risks of violence around the…
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Posted on 30 May 2026
VIEWS Featured During Crown Prince Haakon’s Visit to PRIO
Oslo, Norway – On 5 May, His Royal Highness Crown Prince Haakon of Norway visited the Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO) for a series of briefings on global challenges, including conflict, migration, emerging technologies, and the humanitarian consequences of war. As part of the visit, VIEWS researchers Sonja Häffner and Simon Polichinel von der Maase…
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Posted on 30 May 2026
New Data Release: Conflict Forecasts for May 2026–April 2029
The latest VIEWS forecasts for state-based armed conflict are now available, covering the 36-month period from May 2026 to April 2029. The dataset includes global forecasts at the country-month level, along with geo-referenced forecasts at 0.5° spatial resolution for Africa and the Middle East. It captures the following indicators for state-based armed conflict: Access and…
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Program Release for the Data for Peace Conference
The Data for Peace conference agenda has been released, featuring discussions on data use for conflict prevention. In-person participation is full, but a waitlist is available. Virtual registration is open for June 17th, accompanied by livestreaming of the in-person event on June 15-16 in Stockholm.
Topics: Data for Peace Conference -
Posted on 30 Apr 2026
Advancing Conflict Forecasting for Anticipatory Action: New Insights from VIEWS–FAO Collaboration
Rome, Italy – At the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) headquarters, recent engagements highlighted efforts to translate conflict forecasts into actionable triggers for anticipatory response, particularly in the context of parametric insurance. At the “Leveraging Evidence for Effective Anticipatory Action” conference on 20 April, VIEWS’ Simon Polichinel von der Maase presented preliminary research developed in…
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What we Offer
Conflict forecasts
We provide open-access, monthly forecasts of armed conflicts worldwide at both country and sub-national levels, capturing the likelihood, extent and severity of future violence over the next 1-36 months.
impact assessments
We estimate the impact of future conflict events on affected populations, allowing decision-makers and humanitarian actors to stay ahead of emerging crises.
Research infrastructure
We provide an open-access, cutting-edge MLOps pipeline for near real-time forecasting, ensuring robust and reliant service for use across the humanitarian, development, and peace nexus.
Interesting in powering your models on our platform, or incorporating them into the VIEWS EWS? Let’s talk!
global partnerships
We collaborate with leading research institutes, IGOs, INGOs and governments, to develop innovative forecasting solutions that enhance decision-making and empower humanitarian actors to stay ahead of emerging crises.
Schedule a call to learn more on how we assist you and your organization.
Acknowledgements
Host institutions, funding agencies, and partners
VIEWS is co-hosted by the Department of Peace and Conflict Research at Uppsala University and Peace Research Institute Oslo. The research presented on this website is the outcome of projects that has received funding from the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme (Grant agreement No. 694640, ViEWS) and Horizon Europe (Grant agreement No. 101055176, ANTICIPATE; and 101069312, ViEWS (ERC-2022-POC1)), Riksbankens Jubileumsfond (Grant agreement No. M21-0002, Societies at Risk), the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia (ViEWS-ESCWA), the United Kingdom Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office (GSRA – Forecasting Fatalities in Armed Conflict), the Swedish Research Council (DEMSCORE), the Swedish Foundation for Strategic Environmental Research (MISTRA Geopolitics), the Norwegian MFA (Conflict Trends QZA-18/0227), the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (the Sahel Predictive Analytics project and Global Mapping of Forecasting Systems), the Norwegian Research Council (UFFAC), and the Complex Risk Analytics Fund (CRAF’d, VIEWS-PIN).
