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THE MEATBALL MENU 25th of June ⚾️
Early vs RHB (+1% HR)
Targets: Goldschmidt
Chandler vs LHB (+7% HR)
Targets: L. Raley
Z. Gallen vs RHB (-15% HR)
Targets: J. Walker
Peralta vs RHB (+8% HR)
Targets: P. Crow-Armstrong
❤️ if you find these breakdowns useful!
Matchup details
P. Crow-Armstrong vs Freddy Peralta — matchup overview
→ Peralta vs LHB has mixed metrics but leaks damage on contact: 24th percentile ISO (.220 allowed), 24th HR/FB% (12.8%), 26th HR rate (1.8/9), 38th BA (.265), 41st HardHit%, 48th BB% (8.9% walk rate). Quality of contact
THE MEATBALL MENU 24th of June ⚾️
Bibee vs LHB (+2% HR)
Targets: C. Montgomery
A. Nola vs LHB (-2% HR)
Targets: J. Wood
Gibson overall (+12% HR)
Targets: Neto
Mikolas overall (-2% HR)
Targets: B. Harper
❤️ if you find these breakdowns useful!
Matchup details in the
J. Wood vs Aaron Nola — matchup overview
→ Nola vs LHB has been hittable: 18th percentile HR/FB% (14.3%), 19th HR rate (2.1/9), 21st BA (.296 against), 21st BB% (12.5% walk rate), 21st ISO, 23rd Avg EV, 26th HardHit%, 32nd xwOBA, 32nd xSLG. Loud contact and free passes both
C. Montgomery vs Tanner Bibee — matchup overview
→ Bibee vs LHB has a contradiction profile: limits BA well (75th percentile, .207 against) but quality contact gets hit hard — 16th percentile Barrel% (12.7%), 17th HR/FB% (14.7%), 21st xSLG (.478), 23rd HR rate (1.9/9), 25th
LOCK THIS PROP IN AT LUNCH🥪
Shane McClanahan U 15.5 Pitching Outs
(-130 BetMGM | #RaysUp )
MLB Tuesday Prop #1
Going right back to this under with McClanahan tonight…
Shane hasn’t thrown more than 115 innings since 2022 and already sits at 67.2 IP. With the Rays
THE MEATBALL MENU June 23rd ⚾️
Lodolo vs RHB (Conditions +10% HR)
Targets: Chourio
R. Ray vs RHB (Conditions-20% HR)
Targets: S. Langeliers
Cabrera overall (-1% HR)
Targets: Soto
R. Johnson overall (+11% HR)
Targets: P. Alonso
❤️ if you find these breakdowns useful!
Matchup
J. Soto vs Edward Cabrera — matchup overview
→ Cabrera's overall profile leaks damage: 8th percentile Barrel% (12.6%), 11th HR/FB%, 13th Avg EV, 15th HR rate (1.9/9), 24th xSLG, 25th ISO, 30th HardHit%, 30th xwOBA. Quality contact comes out hot when he gives it up. Citi Field
P. Alonso vs Ryan Johnson — matchup overview
→ Johnson has been a wreck this year (small 259 PC sample but loud): 2nd percentile BA (.371 against), 2nd HR rate (3.4/9), 4th ISO (.306 allowed), 7th xwOBA (.380), 7th HR/FB%, 8th xSLG (.504), 14th Avg EV. Also 20th BB% (11.1% walk