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FUNDA
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FUNDA
@FundaAI
The full-stack research platform for public equity investors. funda.ai [email protected]
substack.com/@fundaai
Joined November 2012
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  • Pinned
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    FUNDA
    @FundaAI
    17h
    A thesis that made sense at entry quietly drifts from the underlying reality. A cybersecurity incident reprices a name overnight with no prior signal in the portfolio process. A historical pattern repeats, but nobody matches it to the current drawdown until after the fact.
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    5.1K
  • FUNDA reposted
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    Gavin Baker
    @GavinSBaker
    13h
    Retail, Substack, Reddit and most of all @X accounts are increasingly the most important forces in the stock market and yet there is no way for them to connect directly with the management teams of the companies they are writing about and investing in. And they have almost no
    508K
  • user avatar
    FUNDA
    @FundaAI
    Jun 24
    We published our $MU preview for institutional clients last week. The EPS guidance MU announced today was almost exactly in line with our preview. Memory supercycle: AI-driven demand is shifting negotiating power toward memory vendors, with CSP customers appearing more passive
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    9K
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    FUNDA
    @FundaAI
    Jun 24
    Deep|LLM: 26H1 Update (Part 2): Frontier Labs, Chinese Model Vendors & the Compute Bottleneck Anthropic–OpenAI duopoly: Model-layer revenue is concentrating fast, with Anthropic ARR moving from $1B at end-2024 to above $47B by May 2026, versus OpenAI at roughly $33B on public /
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    FUNDA
    @FundaAI
    Jun 23
    Deep|LLM: 26H1 Update: Agent Scaling Law, Token Maxxing to ROI Discipline (Part 1) The defining change in the AI sector in H1 2026 is not a step-up in any single model’s raw capability, but that agent systems have begun to enter a phase of self-iteration. In our view, software
    260K
  • user avatar
    FUNDA
    @FundaAI
    Jun 23
    Deep|LLM: 26H1 Update: Agent Scaling Law, Token Maxxing to ROI Discipline (Part 1) The defining change in the AI sector in H1 2026 is not a step-up in any single model’s raw capability, but that agent systems have begun to enter a phase of self-iteration. In our view, software
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    18K
  • user avatar
    FUNDA
    @FundaAI
    Jun 22
    Deep|Space: Orbital Data Centers - Lower Launch Costs Do Not Make GW-Scale Commercialization Viable Over the past six months, orbital data centers have moved from science-fiction framing into serious discussion among US equity investors. The reason is straightforward:
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    6.8K
  • FUNDA reposted
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    Illiquid
    FUNDA
    @illyquid
    Jun 20
    This is what I've been most excited about - Funda has launched its expert product. Led by the same people who write the reports, we aim to do 100 calls a month. Clients receive a weekly email summarising the calls completed that week. What I enjoyed most about my last job was
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    13K
  • user avatar
    FUNDA
    @FundaAI
    Jun 19
    Weekly|Anthropic ARR Nowcast, Transceiver Overbuild ≠ Reality, Anthropic Restriction & China LLM Wave, UMC Initiation, MU Preview, Chinese Laser Supply Concern Overdone The week was mostly fueled by various bearish chatter on AI, including China’s model wave hollowing out the
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    9.7K
  • user avatar
    FUNDA
    @FundaAI
    Jun 19
    The most actionable signals rarely live inside the financial model. A DCF carries assumptions never reconciled against actual disclosures. A TAM figure circulates without bottom-up validation. App store update frequency shifts weeks before a strategy pivot. Forced selling
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    6.7K
  • user avatar
    FUNDA
    @FundaAI
    Jun 18
    Deep| $UMC : UTR Climbing QoQ; Entering Advanced Nodes and SiPho Manufacturing Over the past two years, mature processes have been squeezed by weak demand for consumer electronics and aggressive capacity expansion in mainland China, leaving capacity utilization and foundry
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    FUNDA
    @FundaAI
    Jun 18
    Deep|Optics: Addressing Optical Transceivers Oversupply Concern Recently, we have been receiving an increasing number of investor questions on the potential overbuild in transceivers, which has partially weighed on the shares of US-listed optics names. In short, the argument is
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    8.9K
  • user avatar
    FUNDA
    @FundaAI
    Jun 15
    Anthropic is the fastest-growing AI company in the world, and its revenue trajectory is arguably the single most important private-company signal for the entire AI infrastructure trade. But between sporadic media leaks, the market is flying blind. Today FUNDA is launching
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    47K
  • user avatar
    FUNDA
    @FundaAI
    Jun 15
    Anthropic Fable 5 Shutdown — Weekend Social Sentiment & Market Read-Through (1/6)
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    8.1K
    user avatar
    FUNDA
    @FundaAI
    Jun 15
    Replying to @FundaAI
    Anthropic Fable 5 Shutdown — Weekend Social Sentiment & Market Read-Through (5/6)
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    2.8K
    user avatar
    FUNDA
    @FundaAI
    Jun 15
    Anthropic Fable 5 Shutdown — Weekend Social Sentiment & Market Read-Through (6/6)
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    2.5K

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