Our country is in serious trouble financially.  President Obama has talked about sacrifice.  What exactly is he implying?  Who does he expect to do the sacrificing?  Does he mean that we need to paint out neighbor’s fence?  Or does he really mean that the Chinese, Saudi, and Japanese people should sacrifice so we can continue buying our vitally important iPod’s, new gas guzzlers (now that gas is somewhat reasonably priced again), and eat out for dinner five times a week.  Based on his proposed additional trillion dollars in stimulus, that is what Mr. Obama really wants.  After all, he certainly doesn’t want to be one of those one-term presidents.

Yesterday’s Wall Street Journal contained an op-ed from Peter Schiff about this very issue.  Take a read of some highlights.

These nations, in other words, must never use the money to buy other assets or fund domestic spending initiatives for their own people. When the old Treasury bills mature, they can do nothing with the money except buy new ones. To do otherwise would implode the market for U.S. Treasurys (sending U.S. interest rates much higher) and start a run on the dollar. (If foreign central banks become net sellers of Treasurys, the demand for dollars needed to buy them would plummet.)

In sum, our creditors must give up all hope of accessing the principal, and may be compensated only by the paltry 2%-3% yield our bonds currently deliver.

As absurd as this may appear on the surface, it seems inconceivable to President Obama, or any respected economist for that matter, that our creditors may decline to sign on. Their confidence is derived from the fact that the arrangement has gone on for some time, and that our creditors would be unwilling to face the economic turbulence that would result from an interruption of the status quo.

But just because the game has lasted thus far does not mean that they will continue playing it indefinitely. Thanks to projected huge deficits, the U.S. government is severely raising the stakes. At the same time, the global economic contraction will make larger Treasury purchases by foreign central banks both economically and politically more difficult.

The root problem is not that America may have difficulty borrowing enough from abroad to maintain our GDP, but that our economy was too large in the first place. America’s GDP is composed of more than 70% consumer spending. For many years, much of that spending has been a function of voracious consumer borrowing through home equity extractions (averaging more than $850 billion annually in 2005 and 2006, according to the Federal Reserve) and rapid expansion of credit card and other consumer debt. Now that credit is scarce, it is inevitable that GDP will fall.

If any other country were to face these conditions, unpalatable measures such as severe government austerity or currency devaluation would be the only options. But with our currency’s reserve status, we have much more attractive alternatives. We are planning to spend as much as we like, for as long as we like, and we will let the rest of the world pick up the tab.

Currently, U.S. citizens comprise less than 5% of world population, but account for more than 25% of global GDP. Given our debts and weakening economy, this disproportionate advantage should narrow. Yet the U.S. is asking much poorer foreign nations to maintain the status quo, and incredibly, they are complying. At least for now.

You can’t blame the Obama administration for choosing to go down this path. If these other nations are giving, it becomes very easy to take. However, given his supposedly post-ideological pragmatic gifts, one would hope that Mr. Obama can see that, just like all other bubbles in world history, the U.S. debt bubble will end badly. Taking on more debt to maintain spending is neither sacrificial nor beneficial.

There was a very interesting editorial about Ayn Rand’s Atlas Shrugged in the recent Wall Street Journal.  Here are some excerpts:

For the uninitiated, the moral of the story is simply this: Politicians invariably respond to crises — that in most cases they themselves created — by spawning new government programs, laws and regulations. These, in turn, generate more havoc and poverty, which inspires the politicians to create more programs . . . and the downward spiral repeats itself until the productive sectors of the economy collapse under the collective weight of taxes and other burdens imposed in the name of fairness, equality and do-goodism.

These acts and edicts sound farcical, yes, but no more so than the actual events in Washington, circa 2008. We already have been served up the $700 billion “Emergency Economic Stabilization Act” and the “Auto Industry Financing and Restructuring Act.” Now that Barack Obama is in town, he will soon sign into law with great urgency the “American Recovery and Reinvestment Plan.” This latest Hail Mary pass will increase the federal budget (which has already expanded by $1.5 trillion in eight years under George Bush) by an additional $1 trillion — in roughly his first 100 days in office.

In one chapter of the book, an entrepreneur invents a new miracle metal — stronger but lighter than steel. The government immediately appropriates the invention in “the public good.” The politicians demand that the metal inventor come to Washington and sign over ownership of his invention or lose everything.

The scene is eerily similar to an event late last year when six bank presidents were summoned by Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson to Washington, and then shuttled into a conference room and told, in effect, that they could not leave until they collectively signed a document handing over percentages of their future profits to the government. The Treasury folks insisted that this shakedown, too, was all in “the public interest.”

One memorable moment in “Atlas” occurs near the very end, when the economy has been rendered comatose by all the great economic minds in Washington. Finally, and out of desperation, the politicians come to the heroic businessman John Galt (who has resisted their assault on capitalism) and beg him to help them get the economy back on track. The discussion sounds much like what would happen today:

Galt: “You want me to be Economic Dictator?”

Mr. Thompson: “Yes!”

“And you’ll obey any order I give?”

“Implicitly!”

“Then start by abolishing all income taxes.”

“Oh no!” screamed Mr. Thompson, leaping to his feet. “We couldn’t do that . . . How would we pay government employees?”

“Fire your government employees.”

“Oh, no!”

Abolishing the income tax. Now that really would be a genuine economic stimulus. But Mr. Obama and the Democrats in Washington want to do the opposite: to raise the income tax “for purposes of fairness” as Barack Obama puts it.

David Kelley, the president of the Atlas Society, which is dedicated to promoting Rand’s ideas, explains that “the older the book gets, the more timely its message.” He tells me that there are plans to make “Atlas Shrugged” into a major motion picture — it is the only classic novel of recent decades that was never made into a movie. “We don’t need to make a movie out of the book,” Mr. Kelley jokes. “We are living it right now.”

Wow. What else can you say?

Our politicians are simply unable to resist these insane stimulus packages even though there is ample theoretical and historical evidence of them hurting the economy and prolonging downturns.  This video from the Center for Freedom and Prosperity is worth watching.

We would all love to believe that the all-mighty government could save us from economic trouble just by creating some jobs for some wonderful public works project and by gifting us lowly folks several thousand dollars every so often in order to convince us to buy a new TV or to go on a vacation or something to “prime the pump” of the economy.

The problem with this Keynesian approach is that it doesn’t really work.  The Cato Institute published an article on this topic recently.  Here are some excerpts:

In part, this is a debate about Keynesian economics, which is the theory that the economy can be boosted if the government borrows money and then gives it to people so they will spend it. This supposedly “primes the pump” as the money circulates through the economy. Keynesian theory sounds good, and it would be nice if it made sense, but it has a rather glaring logical fallacy. It overlooks the fact that, in the real world, government can’t inject money into the economy without first taking money out of the economy. More specifically, the theory only looks at one-half of the equation — the part where government puts money in the economy’s right pocket. But where does the government get that money? It borrows it, which means it comes out of the economy’s left pocket. There is no increase in what Keynesians refer to as aggregate demand. Keynesianism doesn’t boost national income, it merely redistributes it. The pie is sliced differently, but it’s not any bigger.

The real world evidence also shows that Keynesianism does not work. Both Hoover and Roosevelt dramatically increased spending, and neither showed any aversion to running up big deficits, yet the economy was terrible all through the 1930s. Keynesian stimulus schemes also were tried by Gerald Ford and George W. Bush and had no impact on the economy. Keynesianism also failed in Japan during the 1990s.

Recently I borrowed the audio version of the celebrated book from 1974 titled: “Zen and the Art of Motorcycle Maintenance” by Robert Pirsig.  Parts were very interesting.  Others were very dull and had to be skipped.  The description of the author’s relationship with his son is what kept me listening to the end, however.  This is where something extremely unexpected was contained.

The book bounces between stories from his own past, personal philosophy, and an experience he and his had of riding a motorcycle from Chicago to the west coast.  At the conclusion of the book Mr. Pirsig described the tragic murder of his son, Chris.  He wondered where his son went after his death and cremation.  He explains that he doesn’t so much miss Chris’s body – rather his spirit and the pattern of his living.

Some months later, his wife unexpectedly became pregnant.  He and his wife carefully deliberated and then  decided not to allow it to proceed.  After all, he was over fifty years old and had enough child-raising opportunities.  They made a medical appointment.  Finally, they went over the decision one last time.  During this discussion, he noticed a marked change in his wife.  He described it as a dissociation as though his wife was starting to recede.  Though he didn’t know exactly what it was, it was intense and he did not want it to continue.  He described it as “a really frightening thing.”  They did not go forward with the abortion and have since realized how horrible of a mistake it would have been been.  He said it would have been a catastrophe.  

Now they have a daughter named Nell.  If she makes a fuss, creates a mess or gets upset, he and his wife are not bothered by it.   They can always compare this to the silence of their son Chris.  

“o o o l o 9 9 i k l ; i . , p y k n u l m m m m m m m m m m    l l l”

This collection of letters, numbers, and punctuation are the first published words of their little girl Nell and were included by Mr. Pirsig at the very end of his book.

What a beautiful testimonial for life.

In a previous job I used to visit our nation’s capital frequently.  Its denizens love the pointed phrase on their license plates: “Taxation Without Representation.”  They apparently want a senator to call their own.

An article from the December 5th edition of the Yuma Sun web site brings up another even more egregious case of taxation without representation occurring right now.  Our government is spending trillions of dollars that belong to our children and those who are yet unborn.  Who is addressing their interests?

When President Bush proposed the first stimulus package several months ago I heard someone liken it to taking a big scoop of water from the deep end a pool and dumping it into the shallow end.  However, on the way to the shallow end, a significant amount is spilled.  What I mean, if the government gives out $100 billion, the payback will be some value higher than that due to inefficiencies and bureaucratic  overhead costs. 

The fact is that the money being doled out left and right must come from somewhere.  It is called DEBT.  We are borrowing from other countries who will probably be interested in getting their money back at some stage.

To quote Tibor Machan, the author of this interesting article, “it is useful to call to mind the fact that in a free and just society no one is another’s slave or involuntary servant, even in times of emergency.”

I welcome your comments.

From the CATO institute:

One day before the CEOs of General Motors, Ford, and Chrysler told the Senate Banking Committee that their industry faced imminent collapse without an emergency infusion of $25 billion, a new automobile assembly plant opened for business in Greensburg, Indiana. Although the hearing on Capitol Hill received far more media coverage, the unveiling of Honda’s latest facility in the American heartland speaks volumes about the future of the U.S. car industry—and shows why the proposed bailout of Detroit’s Big Three is so misguided.

What does this tell you?  Is the auto industry in the America in decline?  Honda apparently doesn’t think so.  Though there are reams of evidence showing that this bailout is the wrong thing, I fear the Democratic congress – who has received huge infusions of cash from the UAW to their campaigns – will not be able to resist the urge to plop down a huge chunk of cash.  Certainly the last thing the UAW wants is Chapter 11; their labor contract would probably be dissolved.  

I, for one, am crossing my fingers that Congress with think more about the future of our country instead of the future of campaign contributions.

An organization is attempting to publish a full page add in the USA Today a letter requesting documents regarding President-Elect Obama’s birth records to validate his eligibility to hold the office of president.  The letter outlines a Constitutional crisis that would occur if he was sworn in as a poseur:

 

  • Neither the Electoral College on December 15, nor the House of Representatives on January 6 would be able to elect you, except as a poseur – a usurper;
  • As a usurper, you would be unable to take the required “Oath or Affirmation” of office on January 20 without committing the crime of perjury or false swearing, for being ineligible for the Office of the President you cannot faithfully execute the Office of the President of the United States;
  •  Your every act in the usurped Office of the President would be a criminal offense as an act under color of law that would subject the People to the deprivation of their constitutional rights, and entitling you to no obedience whatsoever from the People;
  • as a usurper acting in the guise of the President you could not function as the Commander in Chief of the Army and Navy and of the militia of the several states, as such forces would be under no legal obligation to remain obedient to you;
  • No one in any civilian agency in the Executive Branch would be required to obey any of your proclamations, executive orders or directives, as such orders would be legally VOID;
  • Your appointment of Ambassadors and Judges to the Supreme Court would be VOID ab initio (i.e., from the beginning), no matter what subsequent actions the Senate might take as well as rendering any such acts by such appointed officials void as well;
  • Congress would not be able to pass any new laws because they would not be able to acquire the signature of a bona fide President, rendering all such legislation legally VOID;
  • As a usurper, Congress would be unable to remove you from the Office of the President on Impeachment, inviting certain political chaos including a potential for armed conflicts within the General Government or among the States and the People to effect the removal of such a usurper.

Here is the link for the full letter.  They are seeking donations to help them publish the letter.


Back in late May of this year, after the California Supreme Court had deemed unconstitutional the ban on gay marriage, the LA Times issued an editorial stating that public officials who are morally opposed to gay marriage should not be allowed to opt out of performing those marriage.  After all they are paid to perform marriages.  They state, “Gay and lesbian couples should not be subjected to embarrassing scenes in which county workers scurry around looking for someone willing to declare them married. ”  On the other hand, do we not have any regard for the feelings of the officiators?  Why can’t the tolerance road be traveled both ways?  Why are the opponents of gay marriage the only ones required to be tolerant?

I think back to when I was stationed on the US submarine USS Michigan while it was being overhauled and refueled in the shipyard in Washington state.  My watch rotation had me standing 24-hour duty every 3 or 4 days.  Naturally some of those days would fall on Sunday.  However, I made it clear that I would be happy to stand duty on Saturday instead so that I could spend Sunday with my family and attending to my church duties.  In other words, I was seeking obey God’s commandment to honor the Sabbath day.  Was I paid to stand duty on Sunday?  Yes.  Were there plenty of others that had no objection to swapping a Saturday for a Sunday?  Yes.  So the needs of the ship were being met, and I was allowed to observe my religious beliefs.  

I wrote an article about this topic back in June which outlined some of the significant issues with same-sex marriage.  It is ever more timely today than it was then.

Do the majority of Prop 8 supporters want Catholic Charities to be forced to close down their adoption services because they will not allow same-sex couples adopt from them?  Is this tolerance of one’s religious views?

Do these supporters really want Methodist organizations in New Jersey to lose their tax-exempt status for not allowing a lesbian couple to use their facilities for a civil union ceremony?  What control does this group have over their own destiny?  Do we really want this?

Do we want Mennonites to be forced to teach their children about the gay lifestyle – even if that lifestyle is against their beliefs?

Do we want to legally require all doctors to perform artificial insemination on anyone who requests it?  Is this the goal of all 47.5% of those who voted in favor of Prop 8?

To quote the article I referenced in my previous article:

“Perhaps you think people have a natural civil right to marry the person of their choosing. But can you really force yourself to believe that wedding photography is a civil right?

Maybe you believe that same-sex couples are entitled to have children, somehow. But is any doctor they might encounter required to inseminate them?”

Lastly, are we hearing about an outcry in Florida or Arizona where similar votes passed?  I haven’t heard of anything.  I suppose gays and lesbians in those states are as disappointed as those in California – and even in Utah.

Pray to End Abortion

6 November 2008

I had the joy of participating in a prayer vigil last Sunday night outside the local abortion clinic here in Louisville with maybe 100 other people.  We were all taking a stand for the unborn who are in danger and also for those women who have had abortions and need and want forgiveness from the Savior.  The group that organized it is called “40 Days for Life.” Here is the press release for the nationwide push over the last month and a half:

 

40 Days for Life: Pro-Lifers Must Look Beyond Elections and Focus on Making a Local Impact

Contact: Amber Dolle, 40 Days for Life, 804-852-2979

WASHINGTON, Nov. 5 /Christian Newswire/ — “With the defeat of pro-life ballot initiatives in Colorado and South Dakota, the election of an ardent abortion advocate for president, and an increase in the number of abortion proponents in the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives, some pro-lifers may feel a sense of despair today,” said David Bereit, national campaign director of 40 Days for Life. “However, we have every reason to be optimistic about the profound pro-life shift that is beginning to take place below the radar.”

From September 24 through November 2, intensive 40 Days for Life campaigns were conducted in more than 175 communities in 47 states, the District of Columbia, American Samoa and two Canadian provinces. For 40 days, people of faith and conscience prayed, fasted, held peaceful vigils outside abortion facilities, and conducted grassroots pro-life outreach. Tens of thousands of people participated in this history-making initiative.

“The facts speak for themselves,” said Bereit. “More than 540 times during this fall’s campaign, women who were arriving for abortions changed their minds and decided to keep their babies as a direct result of the 40 Days for Life volunteers praying outside the abortion center. We are also aware of a number of clinic employees who experienced a change of heart and quit the abortion business due to this effective pro-life outreach, and many abortion centers cut back hours or closed for entire days during 40 Days for Life.”

Bereit said the life-saving impact of this effort cannot be attributed to any elected leader or law. “It was the result of people putting their faith into action right where they live,” he said. “We have now heard from people all across North America that the conclusion of 40 Days for Life was not an end, but merely a new beginning for ongoing local pro-life efforts that will continue to save lives regardless of who holds elective office. We look forward with great anticipation to the next national 40 Days for Life campaign.” That campaign is scheduled to begin February 25.

“The winning presidential candidate ran on a nebulous platform of ‘change,’ but 40 Days for Life provides something far more powerful – hope. Hope demonstrates that, with God’s help, hundreds of lives can be spared from death by abortion. This fall, a political battle was lost,” said Bereit, “but hundreds of lives were won. I am convinced that those victories will have far greater impact.”

Here is the link to the original story.

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