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Stagflation may be making a comeback. Tensions in the Middle East are not new — but a full-scale war is. Following decades of failed negotiations, the United States took the initiative and joined forces with Israel to destroy Iran’s nuclear program by force.
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In-Depth Analysis
Since late last year, US stock market bulls have been arguing that one of the primary events likely to boost share prices in 2026 was the coming tax refund season. But as the first refund data rolls in, the supposed market-fueling cash surge is looking far less impressive than expected, challenging that bullish assumption.
Gold's price has declined as the US-Iran war unfolds with little sign of ending soon. In perhaps the most uncertain times in recent years, Gold isn’t moving the way it is supposed to. What is going on?
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Cryptocurrencies
XRP ticks up above $1.40 as the broader crypto market improves following US President Trump’s remarks that the Iran war could end soon. The Supply Distribution metric shows that a key whale cohort is not selling XRP holdings after aggressive accumulation between August and December.
Bitcoin is trading well above $70,000 as investors price in US President Trump’s latest remarks on the war. Ethereum is edging higher above $2,000 while Ripple tests the supply zone around $1.45.
Bitcoin extends its recovery trading above $71,000 on Tuesday after finding support near the lower consolidation boundary the previous day. US-listed spot ETFs record an inflow of over $160 million, while Strategy adds 17,994 BTC to its reserve on Monday.
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Stocks
US stocks completed a rollercoaster ride on Monday. They opened in the red and looked likely to close in that territory before a quote from President Donald Trump ignited a buying spree. Trump told CBS News reporter Weijia Jiang that the war he launched with Israel against Iran is "very complete".
Weekly Forecast
The EUR/USD pair ends the week just below the 1.1600 mark, posting its largest weekly decline in over a year. Financial markets shifted to panic mode in March after United States (US) President Donald Trump joined forces with Israel and launched a massive attack on Iran on the last day of February.
The Pound Sterling (GBP) hit the lowest level in three months against the US Dollar (USD) near 1.3250 and staged a modest rebound, but ended the week deep in the red.
Gold (XAU/USD) came under heavy bearish pressure and registered weekly losses even after opening with a bullish gap on news of the United States (US) and Israel carrying out a joint attack against Iran on February 28.
After taking a slight hit last weekend following US and Israeli strikes on Iran, Bitcoin (BTC) showed strength in the first few days of the week, charging above $73,000, while US spot BTC exchange-traded funds (ETFs) attracted about $1.14 billion in net inflows across three days.
