| Vol-1218 urn:nbn:de:0074-1218-8 Copyright © 2014 for the individual papers by the papers' authors. Copying permitted only for private and academic purposes. This volume is published and copyrighted by its editors.

# BMAW 2014
Bayesian Modeling Applications Workshop

### Proceedings of the Eleventh UAI Bayesian Modeling Applications Workshop
co-located with the 30th Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI 2014)

### Quebec, Canada, July 27, 2014.

Edited by

### Kathryn Blackmond Laskey *
Jim Jones *
Russell Almond **

* George Mason University, Volgenau School of Information Technology and Engineering, Fairfax VA, USA
** Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, USA

## Table of Contents

- Preface

## Full Papers

- A Comparison of Two MCMC Algorithms for Hierarchical Mixture Models 1-19
  Russell Almond
- Multi-Process Models -- An Application for the Construction of Financial Factor Models 20-30
  Kevin Keane, Jason Corso
- Hydrologic Predictions using Probabilistic Relational Models 31-40
  Max Metzger, Alison O'Connor, David Boutt
- Semantics for Improving Accuracy and Reducing Complexity in Strategic Decision Facilitation Tools 41-47
  Oscar Kipersztok
- Bayesian Network Parameter Learning using EM with Parameter Sharing 48-59
  Erik Reed, Ole Mengshoel
- Using Bayesian Attack Detection Models to Drive Cyber Deception 60-69
  James Jones, Kathryn Laskey
- Using Bayesian Networks to Identify and Prevent Split Purchases in Brazil 70-78
  Rommel Carvalho, Leonardo Sales, Henrique Rocha, Gilson Libório Mendes
- Hierarchical Bayesian Survival Analysis and Projective Covariate Selection in Cardiovascular Event Risk Prediction 79-88
  Tomi Peltola, Aki S. Havulinna, Veikko Salomaa, Aki Vehtari
- Dynamic Bayesian Network Modeling of Vascularization in Engineered Tissues 89-98
  Caner Komurlu, Jinjian Shao, Mustafa Bilgic

## Abstracts

- Trade-Based Asset Models for Combinatorial Prediction Markets 99-100
  Wei Sun, Robin Hanson, Kathryn Laskey, Charles Twardy
- An Object-Oriented Dynamic Bayesian Decision Network Model for Grasslands Adaptive Management 101
  Owen Woodberry, Jess Millett-Riley, Steve Sinclair, Ann Nicholson

## Additional Material

The entire proceedings can be downloaded as a single PDF file.

We offer a BibTeX file for citing papers of this workshop from LaTeX.

2014-08-28: submitted by Kathryn Blackmond Laskey
2014-08-28: published on CEUR-WS.org |valid HTML5|