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My bets on open models, mid-2026
What I expect to come next and why, focused on the open-closed gap.
Apr 15
•
Nathan Lambert
92
24
6
What I’ve been building: ATOM Report, post-training course, finishing my book, and ongoing research
What I've been up to!
Apr 14
•
Nathan Lambert
52
5
3
The inevitable need for an open model consortium
And yes, I hate consortia too.
Apr 11
•
Nathan Lambert
76
7
8
Claude Mythos and misguided open-weight fearmongering
Another dance around fears of open-source.
Apr 9
•
Nathan Lambert
93
5
11
Gemma 4 and what makes an open model succeed
Hint: it's not benchmark scores.
Apr 3
•
Nathan Lambert
76
10
March 2026
Latest open artifacts (#20): New orgs! New types of models! With Nemotron Super, Sarvam, Cohere Transcribe, & others
New orgs! New types of models! With Nemotron Super, Sarvam, Cohere Transcribe, & others
Mar 30
•
Florian Brand
and
Nathan Lambert
35
2
Lossy self-improvement
The case for why self-improvement is real but it doesn't lead to fast takeoff.
Mar 22
•
Nathan Lambert
137
20
19
GPT 5.4 is a big step for Codex
On evaluating and understanding the frontier of agents, and why I still turn to Claude.
Mar 18
•
Nathan Lambert
63
6
5
What comes next with open models
Markets, capabilities, cope, and bewilderment in the industrialization of language models.
Mar 16
•
Nathan Lambert
84
14
5
Dean Ball on open models and government control
Subtle precedents on the future of open models set by the unfolding Anthropic v. Department of War case.
Mar 6
•
Nathan Lambert
and
Dean W. Ball
29
10
2
35:35
Olmo Hybrid and future LLM architectures
The latest Olmo model and discussions at the frontier of open-source post training tools.
Mar 5
•
Nathan Lambert
47
5
3
Latest open artifacts (#19): Qwen 3.5, GLM 5, MiniMax 2.5 — Chinese labs' latest push of the frontier
Welcome to the year of the horse!
Mar 3
•
Florian Brand
and
Nathan Lambert
22
1
1
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