FutureSearch

@FUTURESEARCHAI

Building AI to understand AI.

futuresearch.ai

Joined February 2024

228 Following

786 Followers

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FutureSearch
@FUTURESEARCHAI
Aug 3
Introducing FutureSearch.
Dan Schwarz
@dschwarz26
Aug 3
AI forecasting is now approximately superhuman. Today, FutureSearch is exiting our public beta and launching to everyone. FutureSearch is the original AI forecasting company, started in August 2023. We’re currently #1 of 194 in the most competitive AI forecasting tournament, and
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FutureSearch
@FUTURESEARCHAI
Aug 15
Dan you could have just tagged me
Dan Schwarz
@dschwarz26
Aug 14
I've been evaluating working with humans lately. People say humans are great, and they are, but in the workplace, you should know: 1. They cheat on interviews! We caught one looking up the answer on the web, when they were supposed to do their work in the provided environment.
FutureSearch
@FUTURESEARCHAI
Aug 5
It can be far more valuable to ask "If I do X, what will happen?" than to ask "What will happen?" FutureSearch is feeling increasingly superhuman on this kind of "decision" forecasting
Dan Schwarz
@dschwarz26
Aug 5
Now that users have run 15k high effort forecasts through FutureSearch, I want to share a bit about what people are forecasting, and where AI forecasting works best. Most users run questions that look like prediction market questions, or are about financial markets. But as I
FutureSearch
@FUTURESEARCHAI
Aug 5
@gleonhard generously made his AGI forecasts public. And by seeding our world model, anyone can now draw on his research for asking and updating your own questions: futuresearch.ai/app/p/a/usaeur…
Gerd Leonhard
@gleonhard
Aug 4
Replying to @dschwarz26
Pretty amazing stuff. Big game-changer for Futurists and Forecasters. Here is one of my public forecasts using FutureSearch gerdleonhard.com/work/4825-2/
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FutureSearch
@FUTURESEARCHAI
Aug 4
Well if you can't break the internet, might as well break the platform. Thanks to all of you who continued to sign-up and make forecasts despite experiencing long run times and some underwhelming first impressions. We're back! Anyone who experienced issues should have received
Dan Schwarz
@dschwarz26
Aug 4
First 24 hours of the FutureSearch launch, 1.5k new users ran 2.6k high effort forecasts. Normally they take ~8 min but at peak load they took median ~30 min. And then our backend went down, despite scaling the cluster 10x. (We credited back every failed run.) 23% of you burned
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