An uncertain robot pondering a question mark

Rethinking Uncertainty for
Modern Robotics Paradigms

IEEE/RSJ International Conference on Intelligent Robots and Systems (IROS) Workshop

About the Workshop

Uncertainty quantification has long been a core aspect of robotics. It has improved the reliability of all components of the robotics pipeline, from perception, to state estimation, control, and planning. However, in the past five years, all these components have started to rely on–or be replaced with–extremely large pre-trained AI models, raising the question: what does uncertainty quantification mean in this new era? For instance, foundation models (e.g., LLMs, VLMs, VLAs, and world models) are trained on internet-scale datasets, typically lack explicit probabilistic representations, and their enormous parameter sizes make established uncertainty quantification techniques (e.g., ensembling) computationally impractical. Furthermore, even when these models are deployed as components within a modular autonomy pipeline, it remains difficult to understand how uncertainty at the component level influences overall system-level performance.

This workshop revisits the foundational problem of uncertainty quantification in light of these “modern robotics paradigms.” We aim to bring together a diverse group of academic, industrial, and government researchers focusing on uncertainty across all components of robot autonomy. Our goal is to chart a comprehensive roadmap for the next generation of uncertainty-aware robotics: (1) establishing a rigorous understanding of the new sources of uncertainty that can influence next-generation robotic systems, (2) exploring methods to quantify and mitigate uncertainty in the era of robotics foundation models, and (3) examining key challenges and future directions for building reliable, uncertainty-aware robotic systems.

Discussion Themes

Talk Recordings

Missed the workshop? All invited talks and the panel discussion are available on YouTube.

Schedule

Full-day program · September 27, 2026. All times are tentative.

TimeTalkComments
8:45 am – 9:00 amWelcome and opening remarks
9:00 am – 9:40 amSpeaker Talk #1 ▶ VideoSusmit Jha
9:40 am – 10:20 amSpeaker Talk #2 ▶ VideoFrederike Dümbgen
10:20 am – 11:15 amCoffee Break · Poster Session #1All papers
11:15 am – 11:55 amSpeaker Talk #3 ▶ VideoDinesh Jayaraman
11:55 am – 12:30 pmOral Session #15 papers × 7 mins each
12:30 pm – 1:30 pmLunch Break
1:30 pm – 2:10 pmSpeaker Talk #4 ▶ VideoHaruki Nishimura
2:10 pm – 2:50 pmSpeaker Talk #5 ▶ VideoMax Simchowitz
2:50 pm – 3:30 pmSpeaker Talk #6 ▶ VideoBernadette Bucher
3:30 pm – 4:20 pmCoffee Break · Poster Session #2All papers
4:20 pm – 5:00 pmPanel Discussion ▶ VideoBucher, Nishimura, Dümbgen, Simchowitz · moderated by Sriganesh and Seo
5:00 pm – 5:30 pmClosing Remarks and Awards

Invited Speakers

Max Simchowitz
Carnegie Mellon University
Do We Need Diffusion in Robotics?
▶ Watch talk
Dinesh Jayaraman
University of Pennsylvania
Buying Information: How Robots Should Spend Sensing, Motion, Time, and Compute under Uncertainty
▶ Watch talk
Frederike Dümbgen
Carnegie Mellon University
A Tale of Optimality, Safety, and Uncertainty in Robotics
▶ Watch talk
Bernadette Bucher
University of Michigan
Uncertainty at Every Layer: Scene Graphs, World Models, and Policy Deployment
▶ Watch talk
Haruki Nishimura
Toyota Research Institute
Uncertainty in Policy Evaluation and Beyond
▶ Watch talk
Susmit Jha
DARPA
Understanding What Transfers, Controlling What Emerges
▶ Watch talk

Call for Papers

We invite short papers (4+n pages) submissions to share their findings with the community and engage in discussions on the past, present, and future directions of uncertainty-aware methods in robotics. We aim to bring together a diverse group of researchers—spanning machine learning theory, statistics, computer vision, mapping, decision-making, reinforcement learning, control theory, and robot learning—across all levels of embodied AI systems, with the shared goal of understanding and mitigating uncertainty for safe, trustworthy, and reliable robot operation. Topics of interest include, but are not limited to:

Submission

  • Portal: Submit via OpenReview.
  • Length: 4 + n pages (4 pages excluding references and appendices).
  • Format: Submissions in PDF (IEEE conference templates). Reviewing is single-blind, so submissions need not be anonymized.
  • Supplementary: Optional supplementary material (e.g., additional results, videos) may be uploaded as a single zip file.

Review & Presentation

  • All accepted papers will be presented as posters at the IROS 2026 workshop.
  • A subset of accepted papers may be selected for short spotlight talks.
  • Visibility: Submissions and reviews will not be public. Only accepted papers will be made public.
  • Accepted work must be presented in person.

Non-archival: Sharing papers in this way does not constitute formal proceedings, i.e., this workshop is a non-archival venue that will not restrict later renditions of the work from being published in archival conferences or journals.

Accepted Papers

33 accepted papers · 5 selected for oral presentation. Titles link to OpenReview.

Oral Session #1 · 11:55 am – 12:30 pm

  1. Robust Task-Aware State Estimation from Pretrained Perception
    Guy Azran, Sarah Keren
  2. Spatial-Semantic Uncertainty in VLM-Based Target Search: Balancing Exploration and Identification
    Alkesh Kumar Srivastava, Jonathan Diller, Vijay Kumar, Philip Dames
  3. Joint Uncertainty-Aware World Modeling and Latent Parameter Estimation for Multi-Finger Manipulation Best Paper Runner-up
    Abhinav Kumar, Soshi Iba, Rana Soltani Zarrin, Dmitry Berenson
  4. Closed-Form Failure Prediction for Learned Policies with the Inverse Christoffel Function 🏆 Best Paper Award
    Louis Nel, Frederike Dümbgen
  5. Confidence-aware Articulated Object Manipulation
    Yongseok Kwon, Rachel Holladay

Poster Session #1 · Morning, 10:20 am – 11:15 am

  1. Evaluating Data Attributes of Egocentric VLA Models
    Jason Wein, Adriana Kovashka
  2. Benchmarking Heterogeneous and Compositional Continual Learning for Vision-Language-Action Models
    Sooyoung Jeon, Zhen Xu, Jae Young Lim, Jinsu Yoo, Yunbei Zhang, Jiacheng Hou, Zheda Mai, Wei-Lun Chao
  3. Uncertainty-Guided Active Gaussian Reconstruction with Explicit-Implicit Fusion
    Yingzhao Li, Yali Yang, Yanjie Liu, lijun zhao
  4. The Bellman License: Minimax Real-Transition Audits for World-Model Policy Improvement
    Manoj Saravanan
  5. Adaptive Action Horizon Selection via Flow-Field Uncertainty
    Idan Ben Ami, Arnon Netzer, Sarah Keren, Idit Diamant
  6. From Perturbation Variance to Detection Risk: Learned Calibration of Localized Evidence for Robotic Perception
    Nishad Sahu, Luit Deka, Aditya Satish Patil, Shounak Sural, Raj Rajkumar
  7. Calibrated Vision-Language Perception for Risk-Aware Action Selection in Urban Driving
    Malika Buribayeva, Qiuyu Tang, Kaier Liang, Aparna Bharati, Cristian Ioan Vasile
  8. Decoded and Generated Actions in Vision–Language Spatial Planning
    Malika Buribayeva, Qiuyu Tang, Cristian Ioan Vasile, Aparna Bharati
  9. Risk-Aware Kinodynamic Motion Planning Under Uncertainty For Safe Navigation on Planetary Environments
    Sachin Sunil Kelkar, Tanmay Dokania, Yashwanth Kumar Nakka
  10. Show Me What You See: Analyzing Visuomotor Policy Attention for Human-Facing Feedback in Interactive Robot Learning
    Jiahe Liu, Michelle D Zhao
  11. Invariant Adaptive Observer for Fault Detection, Identification, and Recovery in Wheeled Robots
    Arna Bhardwaj, Yashwanth Kumar Nakka
  12. Joint Uncertainty-Aware World Modeling and Latent Parameter Estimation for Multi-Finger Manipulation Oral
    Abhinav Kumar, Soshi Iba, Rana Soltani Zarrin, Dmitry Berenson
  13. Conversational VLM and Deep Learning Pipeline for Robotic Multi-Spectral Motor Response Classification
    Arian Moradi, Zachary Bortoff, Kleio Baxevani, Derek Paley
  14. CalVLA: Shaping Native Confidence in Vision-Language-Action Policies with Outcome Supervision
    Boniface Chukwuemeka Godwin
  15. Contact Makes It Multimodal: Learning Probabilistic Skill Effects from Partial Point Clouds
    Siyeon Kim, Mohanraj Devendran Shanthi, Joseph C. Liechty, Tucker Hermans
  16. Marginal Calibration Does Not Compose: Hidden Dependence in Modular Robot Navigation
    Rista Baral
  17. Calibrated Multimodal Beliefs for Online Goal Recognition via Diffusion Posterior Inference
    Almog Anschel, Sarah Keren

Poster Session #2 · Afternoon, 3:30 pm – 4:20 pm

  1. RAISE: Robust Batch Acquisition for Sequential Uncertainty Reduction in Robot Perception
    Doyoung Heo
  2. Reasoning over Fully-occluded Obstacle for Visual Non-prehensile Loco-manipulation
    Minghao Zou, Xun Tu, Karthik Desingh
  3. HERE: Hierarchical Active Exploration of Radiance Fields with Epistemic Uncertainty Minimization
    Taekbeom Lee, Dabin Kim, Youngseok Jang, H. Jin Kim
  4. Contraction-Certified Sampling-Based MPC for Quadrotor Flight Among Moving Obstacles
    Yashwanth Kumar Nakka
  5. IFG: Internet-Scale Guidance for Functional Grasping Generation
    Muxin Liu, Mingxuan Li, Kenneth Shaw, Deepak Pathak
  6. Spatial-Semantic Uncertainty in VLM-Based Target Search: Balancing Exploration and Identification Oral
    Alkesh Kumar Srivastava, Jonathan Diller, Vijay Kumar, Philip Dames
  7. Winner Uniformity: Mode Probabilities Carry Almost No Scene Information in Trajectory Prediction
    Jaewoong Yoo, Ganzorig Gankhuyag, Jin-Man Park, Yonghyeon Cho, Seonyoung Lee
  8. Noise-Informed Conformal Prediction for Trajectory World Models
    Fujie Zhang, Yandong Luo, Yuchen Wang, Chuchu Chen, Lu Gan, Huajie Shao
  9. Adaptive Surface Cleaning under Uncertain Cleaning Response
    Ruichen Li, Rachel Holladay
  10. Confidence-aware Articulated Object Manipulation Oral
    Yongseok Kwon, Rachel Holladay
  11. Robust Task-Aware State Estimation from Pretrained Perception Oral
    Guy Azran, Sarah Keren
  12. Adaptive Rollout Truncation Based on Epistemic Uncertainty for Efficient Offline World Model Training
    Nikodem Sebastian Zymla, Laurin Thiele, Johannes Pitz
  13. Window-Level Dynamics Nonconformity for Robot Failure Detection with Flow-Matching World Models
    Zhefeng Huang, Yilin Cai, Yue Chen
  14. Betting for Sim-to-Real Performance Testing
    Yujia Chen, Bowen Weng
  15. Closed-Form Failure Prediction for Learned Policies with the Inverse Christoffel Function Oral
    Louis Nel, Frederike Dümbgen
  16. Reasoning Before Grounding under Video Temporal Uncertainty
    Jen-Hao Cheng, Yi-Hao Peng

Important Dates

All deadlines are 23:59 AoE (Anywhere on Earth).

Aug 23Aug 30
2026
Submission Deadline Extended
Sep 13Sep 15
2026
Decision Notification Updated
Sep 20
2026
Camera-Ready Submission
Sep 27
2026
Workshop Day

Organizers

Brought to you by researchers across academia and industry.

Prasanna Sriganesh
Carnegie Mellon University
Junwon Seo
Carnegie Mellon University
Juyeop Han
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Zhiting (May) Mei
Princeton University
Rosario Scalise
University of Washington
Sertac Karaman
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Andrea Bajcsy
Carnegie Mellon University
Matthew Travers
Carnegie Mellon University

Acknowledgements

We thank our reviewers, whose thoughtful and timely feedback shaped the program.