世界杯冠军

法国

英格兰

西班牙

阿根廷

casda858

Cristiano Ronaldo's last World Cup as Portugal champions; hoping Portugal will win.

cfvfsd99

yes

junipero

Ole, Ole, Ole, Ole, Ole, Ole, Ola! 🩵

Ronaldo2win

Go all in on Portugal and thank me later.

junipero

Portugal is definitely quite undervalued here actually. Real strong team + Martinez magic. 🧐

nikitakud77

you think portugal will win this world cup? Spain is actually pretty strong with Lamine Yamal

casda858

Cristiano Ronaldo's last World Cup as Portugal champions; hoping Portugal will win.

cfvfsd99

yes

junipero

Ole, Ole, Ole, Ole, Ole, Ole, Ola! 🩵

Ronaldo2win

Go all in on Portugal and thank me later.

junipero

Portugal is definitely quite undervalued here actually. Real strong team + Martinez magic. 🧐

nikitakud77

you think portugal will win this world cup? Spain is actually pretty strong with Lamine Yamal

casda858

Cristiano Ronaldo's last World Cup as Portugal champions; hoping Portugal will win.

cfvfsd99

yes

junipero

Ole, Ole, Ole, Ole, Ole, Ole, Ola! 🩵

Ronaldo2win

Go all in on Portugal and thank me later.

junipero

Portugal is definitely quite undervalued here actually. Real strong team + Martinez magic. 🧐

nikitakud77

you think portugal will win this world cup? Spain is actually pretty strong with Lamine Yamal

$4B 成交量

7月 20, 2026截止·

美国-伊朗最终核协议…… ？

地缘政治·伊朗

8月18日

8月31日

9月30日

12月31日

Trump Administration Increasingly Pessimistic of Clinching Iran Nuclear Deal

The New York Times

・

Strait of Hormuz Will Soon Be Declared Open to All Traffic, U.S. Officials Say

BBC

・

Bowen: For all his bluster, Trump has no better option than talks with Iran

Reuters

・

How Iran's 'golden weapon' of Hormuz became a bigger priority than its long-disputed nuclear programme

AP News

・

A timeline of the Iran conflict and talks aimed at ending it

WSJ

・

Trump Administration Increasingly Pessimistic of Clinching Iran Nuclear Deal

The New York Times

・

Strait of Hormuz Will Soon Be Declared Open to All Traffic, U.S. Officials Say

BBC

・

Bowen: For all his bluster, Trump has no better option than talks with Iran

Reuters

・

How Iran's 'golden weapon' of Hormuz became a bigger priority than its long-disputed nuclear programme

AP News

・

A timeline of the Iran conflict and talks aimed at ending it

WSJ

・

Trump Administration Increasingly Pessimistic of Clinching Iran Nuclear Deal

The New York Times

・

Strait of Hormuz Will Soon Be Declared Open to All Traffic, U.S. Officials Say

BBC

・

Bowen: For all his bluster, Trump has no better option than talks with Iran

Reuters

・

How Iran's 'golden weapon' of Hormuz became a bigger priority than its long-disputed nuclear programme

AP News

・

A timeline of the Iran conflict and talks aimed at ending it

$9M 成交量

8月 31, 2026截止·

霍尔木兹海峡的交通在7月31日之前恢复正常？

经济·霍尔木兹海峡

3% 概率

是否

Reuters

・

Trump says Strait of Hormuz open to commercial traffic

The Washington Post

・

After leader’s funeral, an emboldened Iran tests Trump, risking renewed war

The New York Times

・

Oil Prices Remain Elevated Amid Slowdown in Shipping Traffic in the Gulf

WSJ

・

Oil Futures Settle Lower As Market Hopes for New Talks

Bloomberg.com

・

Trump's Iran Blunder Shows Strategy Can Defeat Firepower

Reuters

・

Trump says Strait of Hormuz open to commercial traffic

The Washington Post

・

After leader’s funeral, an emboldened Iran tests Trump, risking renewed war

The New York Times

・

Oil Prices Remain Elevated Amid Slowdown in Shipping Traffic in the Gulf

WSJ

・

Oil Futures Settle Lower As Market Hopes for New Talks

Bloomberg.com

・

Trump's Iran Blunder Shows Strategy Can Defeat Firepower

Reuters

・

Trump says Strait of Hormuz open to commercial traffic

The Washington Post

・

After leader’s funeral, an emboldened Iran tests Trump, risking renewed war

The New York Times

・

Oil Prices Remain Elevated Amid Slowdown in Shipping Traffic in the Gulf

WSJ

・

Oil Futures Settle Lower As Market Hopes for New Talks

Bloomberg.com

・

Trump's Iran Blunder Shows Strategy Can Defeat Firepower

$16M 成交量

每月

美联储7月份的决定？

经济·Fomc

降低25个基点

无变化

加息25个基点

上调50个基点以上

Warsh and US Inflation Will Set Tone for July Fed Decision

Reuters

・

Fed policymakers' inflation concerns grew at June meeting, minutes show

The New York Times

・

A Few Officials Signaled Support for Higher Rates at Warsh’s First Meeting

AP News

・

Fed minutes: Officials deeply divided over future path of US inflation

BBC

・

Oil prices climb as US launches military strikes on Iran

Bloomberg.com

・

Warsh and US Inflation Will Set Tone for July Fed Decision

Reuters

・

Fed policymakers' inflation concerns grew at June meeting, minutes show

The New York Times

・

A Few Officials Signaled Support for Higher Rates at Warsh’s First Meeting

AP News

・

Fed minutes: Officials deeply divided over future path of US inflation

BBC

・

Oil prices climb as US launches military strikes on Iran

Bloomberg.com

・

Warsh and US Inflation Will Set Tone for July Fed Decision

Reuters

・

Fed policymakers' inflation concerns grew at June meeting, minutes show

The New York Times

・

A Few Officials Signaled Support for Higher Rates at Warsh’s First Meeting

AP News

・

Fed minutes: Officials deeply divided over future path of US inflation

BBC

・

Oil prices climb as US launches military strikes on Iran

$51M 成交量

每月

所有盘口

World Cup Winner

France

39%

Yes39%No61%

England

22%

Yes22%No78%

France

39%

Yes39%No61%

England

22%

Yes22%No78%

$4B 交易量

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

Kylian Mbappe

56%

Yes56%No44%

Lionel Messi

34%

Yes34%No66%

Kylian Mbappe

56%

Yes56%No44%

Lionel Messi

34%

Yes34%No66%

$55M 交易量

世界杯
价格与预测

Fever

85%

Aces

16%

Fever

Aces

Q3 - 00:24

$1M 交易量

·WNBA

Clacton by-election Winner

Nigel Farage

92%

Yes92%No8%

Count Binface

Yes6%No94%

Nigel Farage

92%

Yes92%No8%

Count Binface

Yes6%No94%

$2M 交易量

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

概率

Yes

$16M 交易量

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 31

36%

Yes36%No64%

September 30

16%

Yes16%No84%

December 31

36%

Yes36%No64%

September 30

16%

Yes16%No84%

$9M 交易量

World Cup: Nation to Reach Final

France

60%

Yes60%No40%

England

55%

Yes55%No45%

France

60%

Yes60%No40%

England

55%

Yes55%No45%

$13M 交易量

NBA: LeBron James Next Team

Cleveland Cavaliers

44%

Yes44%No56%

Golden State Warriors

24%

Yes24%No76%

Cleveland Cavaliers

44%

Yes44%No56%

Golden State Warriors

24%

Yes24%No76%

$19M 交易量

Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?

Troy Jackson

69%

Yes69%No31%

Shenna Bellows

21%

Yes21%No79%

Troy Jackson

69%

Yes69%No31%

Shenna Bellows

21%

Yes21%No79%

$469K 交易量

Maine Senate Election Winner

Democrat

64%

Yes64%No36%

Republican

35%

Yes35%No65%

Democrat

64%

Yes64%No36%

Republican

35%

Yes35%No65%

$984K 交易量

Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

August 15

23%

Yes23%No77%

July 31

17%

Yes17%No83%

August 15

23%

Yes23%No77%

July 31

17%

Yes17%No83%

$4M 交易量

US announces blockade on Iran by...?

December 31

61%

Yes61%No39%

August 31

47%

Yes47%No53%

December 31

61%

Yes61%No39%

August 31

47%

Yes47%No53%

$2M 交易量

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

July 31

33%

Yes33%No67%

July 17

10%

Yes10%No90%

July 31

33%

Yes33%No67%

July 17

10%

Yes10%No90%

$6M 交易量

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen

28%

Yes28%No72%

Édouard Philippe

27%

Yes27%No73%

Marine Le Pen

28%

Yes28%No72%

Édouard Philippe

27%

Yes27%No73%

$112M 交易量

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 2027

21%

Yes21%No79%

December 31, 2026

Yes9%No91%

June 30, 2027

21%

Yes21%No79%

December 31, 2026

Yes9%No91%

$17M 交易量

Fed Decision in July?

No change

77%

Yes77%No23%

25 bps increase

22%

Yes22%No78%

No change

77%

Yes77%No23%

25 bps increase

22%

Yes22%No78%

$51M 交易量

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

42%

Yes42%No58%

Marco Rubio

28%

Yes28%No72%

J.D. Vance

42%

Yes42%No58%

Marco Rubio

28%

Yes28%No72%

$672M 交易量

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

20%

Yes20%No80%

Marco Rubio

14%

Yes14%No86%

JD Vance

20%

Yes20%No80%

Marco Rubio

14%

Yes14%No86%

$657M 交易量

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party

84%

Yes84%No16%

Republican Party

17%

Yes17%No83%

Democratic Party

84%

Yes84%No16%

Republican Party

17%

Yes17%No83%

$8M 交易量

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot

40%

Yes40%No60%

Benjamin Netanyahu

37%

Yes37%No63%

Gadi Eizenkot

40%

Yes40%No60%

Benjamin Netanyahu

37%

Yes37%No63%

$26M 交易量

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

61%

Yes61%No39%

Flávio Bolsonaro

24%

Yes24%No76%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

61%

Yes61%No39%

Flávio Bolsonaro

24%

Yes24%No76%

$112M 交易量

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei

80%

Yes80%No20%

Reza Pahlavi

Yes5%No95%

Mojtaba Khamenei

80%

Yes80%No20%

Reza Pahlavi

Yes5%No95%

$27M 交易量

France

41%

Spain

29%

France

DRAW

Spain

$6M 交易量

·World Cup

Sky

51%

Wings

50%

Sky

Wings

$1M 交易量

·WNBA

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom

20%

Yes20%No80%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

15%

Yes15%No85%

Gavin Newsom

20%

Yes20%No80%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

15%

Yes15%No85%

$1B 交易量

Bitcoin above ___ on July 13?

54,000

100%

Yes100%No<1%

56,000

100%

Yes100%No<1%

54,000

100%

Yes100%No<1%

56,000

100%

Yes100%No<1%

$897K 交易量

·比特币

England

36%

Argentina

31%

England

DRAW

Argentina

$764K 交易量

·World Cup

Elon Musk # tweets July 7 - July 14, 2026?

200-219

47%

Yes47%No53%

220-239

23%

Yes23%No77%

200-219

47%

Yes47%No53%

220-239

23%

Yes23%No77%

$3M 交易量

World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

Kylian Mbappé

42%

Yes42%No58%

Lionel Messi

31%

Yes31%No69%

Kylian Mbappé

42%

Yes42%No58%

Lionel Messi

31%

Yes31%No69%

$7M 交易量

What price will Bitcoin hit in July?

↓ 62,500

85%

Yes85%No15%

↑ 65,000

74%

Yes74%No26%

↓ 62,500

85%

Yes85%No15%

↑ 65,000

74%

Yes74%No26%

$7M 交易量

·比特币

Liberty

51%

Toronto Tempo

50%

Liberty

Toronto

$455K 交易量

·WNBA

世界杯冠军

美国-伊朗最终核协议…… ？

霍尔木兹海峡的交通在7月31日之前恢复正常？

世界杯：金靴奖

Fever vs. Aces

Fever vs. Aces

比特币涨或跌

比特币涨或跌

美联储7月份的决定？

所有盘口

World Cup Winner

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

Clacton by-election Winner

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

World Cup: Nation to Reach Final

NBA: LeBron James Next Team

Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?

Maine Senate Election Winner

Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

US announces blockade on Iran by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next French Presidential Election

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

Fed Decision in July?

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Brazil Presidential Election

Iran leader end of 2026?

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Bitcoin above ___ on July 13?

Elon Musk # tweets July 7 - July 14, 2026?

World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

What price will Bitcoin hit in July?

Polymarket | 全球最大预测市场

精选市场

所有盘口

World Cup Winner

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

Clacton by-election Winner

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

World Cup: Nation to Reach Final

NBA: LeBron James Next Team

Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?

Maine Senate Election Winner

Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

US announces blockade on Iran by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next French Presidential Election

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

Fed Decision in July?

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Brazil Presidential Election

Iran leader end of 2026?

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Bitcoin above ___ on July 13?

Elon Musk # tweets July 7 - July 14, 2026?

World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

What price will Bitcoin hit in July?