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Forecasting Hackathon
AI Prophet
TrueOdds.AI is an AI-powered probability estimation system that takes binary-outcome events across sample sets and uses an LLM to generate calibrated probability estimates for possible outcomes
An AI-powered forecasting engine that blends market signals, web intelligence, and LLM reasoning to predict the future: one probability at a time.
AI-powered multi-agent financial sentiment platform that transforms real-time market news into actionable sentiment scores, trend insights, and visual analytics.
An AI forecasting agent that estimates calibrated probabilities for real-world prediction markets.
(eval_Nailong UIC) Slug Bot
ClearRoute AI is an intelligent emergency response system that uses AI-driven triage, smart hospital routing, and real-time load balancing to save critical time and improve patient outcomes.
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AI that forecasts real-world events with live evidence.
A high-performance, cost-efficient AI superforecaster that beats prediction markets by anchoring to crowd odds and aggressively hunting for breaking news via real-time web search.
Live forecasting endpoint for Prophet Arena. Brier 0.0378 on the 26-event sample-resolved set (0.0377 +- 0.0009 across 5 reruns) and 0.1224 on PA's 1200-event scale validation (95% CI [0.110, 0.135]).
Prophet arena submission
Pythia queries the web, reasons with LLMs, and returns calibrated probability scores for real-world events — beating the market, one forecast at a time.
A prediction market agent that combines AI-native web scraping with hardcoded mathematical safety clamps to mathematically guarantee it never takes catastrophic Brier score penalties.
Three-analyst LLM ensemble + Kalshi/Polymarket anchoring for Prophet Arena. Brier 0.0977 — 3.4× better than baseline. Live OpenAI-compatible endpoint on Railway.
OracleFlow turns forecasting questions into sub-problems, injects live news and market data, then synthesizes calibrated probabilities — thinking like a superforecaster, at machine speed.
A small, reliable forecasting endpoint that turns Prophet Arena event JSON into calibrated probability forecasts with exact outcome labels.
RAG-BLF agent separating short-horizon price edge from long-run outcome edge on live Kalshi markets. Evidence-gated via Brave + DeepSeek RAG and Perplexity BLF. Slug: eval_67prophets-live-v05
On search for the 1 in 14,000,605.
"Plug into the Brain of Global Finance" - Feel the pulse of real-world markets. Track hidden signals, decode anomalies, and uncover alpha—before the crowd. All powered through SONAR API.
A Bayesian-tempered LLM trading agent for the Prophet Arena Trading Track. Regime-aware POMDP beliefs, drawdown-shrunk fractional Kelly, EV-gated trades; Run slug: eval_everydayintelligence
TradeWizard helps people navigate uncertainty with confidence when money is on the line.
“VitaNova AI – Your intelligent, multilingual health companion for body and mind.”
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