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Alphractal
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Alphractal
@Alphractal
Crypto market intelligence. On-chain, macro, derivatives, sentiment. Insights: t.me/alphractal Reports: app.alphractal.com/research
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Joined June 2023
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  • Pinned
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    Alphractal
    @Alphractal
    Jun 16
    Having the data was never the edge. Reading it is. Alphractal Academy is live, 49 lessons inside the platform. 🎉 Learn what each metric measures, how to read it, and how analysts turn it into a process. Apprentice to Analyst. Start the first track → app.alphractal.com
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    Alphractal
    @Alphractal
    Jun 14, 2025
    ⏳Something Big Is About to Happen with Altcoins! Altcoin Dominance has reached its historical support level, and we could be on the verge of a wave of volatility in the coming days. Whether Bitcoin rises or falls, many altcoins are likely to outperform BTC in the months ahead —
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    Alphractal
    @Alphractal
    May 17, 2025
    🚨Bitcoin and the Open Interest Cycle: Is History Repeating Itself? When Whales Reveal Their Next Moves 🔍 The 30-day aggregated Open Interest Delta has just reached the same levels seen back in 2024 — when Bitcoin was breaking new all-time highs near $73K. 📈 A familiar pattern
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    Alphractal
    @Alphractal
    Feb 6, 2025
    🚨 The Biggest Risk for Bitcoin Right Now: Leverage! 🚨 Two possible scenarios could play out soon: 1️⃣ A move above $111K to liquidate Shorts opened since December 2024. 2️⃣ A sharp drop below $80K to liquidate Longs opened since November 2024. Currently, there are 2x more Longs
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    Alphractal
    @Alphractal
    Nov 17, 2024
    📊 Repetition Fractal Cycle in Bitcoin: The Precision of an Extraordinary Pattern Surprisingly, Bitcoin has been repeating a 4-year cycle since 2015, consisting of 3 clear phases: accumulation, markup (uptrend), distribution, and 1 year of bear market (downtrend). This fractal
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    Alphractal
    @Alphractal
    Sep 14, 2025
    The Hidden Signal: BTC Surges When High-Yield Yields Drop Historically, every time BTC rises in price, High-Yield Bond Yields tend to fall. This has happened multiple times throughout Bitcoin’s history. Why does this happen? When high-yield bond yields fall, it signals
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    Alphractal
    @Alphractal
    Jun 18, 2025
    🚨180-Day Open Interest Delta Turns Red: What’s Next for Bitcoin? Over the last 6 months, we’ve seen more leveraged positions closed than opened — the 180-day Open Interest Delta has gone negative. 🔻 Biggest contributors to this reduction: Bitget: -$7.42B CME: -$3.93B 🔺 On
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    Alphractal
    @Alphractal
    Jul 8, 2025
    🔥The BTC cycle top hasn't happened yet — according to the Repetition Fractal Cycle metric. Since 2015, a frighteningly accurate fractal has tracked Bitcoin's price history, predicting cycle tops and bottoms down to the day. Will it repeat this time? No one knows for sure — but
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    Alphractal
    @Alphractal
    Apr 26, 2025
    ⏳Bitcoin’s Repetition Fractal Cycle: 6 Months to Go — Will History Repeat Itself? In November 2024, we highlighted Bitcoin’s extraordinary 4-year fractal cycle, repeating consistently since 2015: accumulation, markup (uptrend), distribution, and a year-long bear market. Back
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    Alphractal
    @Alphractal
    Oct 17, 2025
    Bitcoin leaves a trail of liquidity around $126K! Bears are taking advantage of the market drop, fueling a wave of new short positions. Over the past month, there’s been twice as much short liquidity compared to unliquidated longs. 🔗Alphractal.com
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    Alphractal
    @Alphractal
    Aug 8, 2023
    📊Agregando e analisando dados de Open Interest Delta e Net Delta Positions em diversas exchanges líderes, o indicador Liquidity Zone oferece uma visão única.. Ele revela áreas onde a abertura de posições alavancadas atinge o auge, permitindo a identificação de níveis de Long e
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    Alphractal
    @Alphractal
    Oct 19, 2025
    Bitcoin: RVTS Ratio is falling — and that’s a great sign. Few people talk about this metric, but it carries one of the most powerful signals about what’s really happening under the hood of Bitcoin. The RVTS Ratio measures the relationship between the realized value (how much
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    Alphractal
    @Alphractal
    Oct 7, 2025
    🚩Bitcoin hits the lowest 180-day volatility in history! The 180D Volatility, which measures the standard deviation of the natural log of daily returns, has reached unprecedented levels. Historically, periods of low volatility precede sharp price movements — get ready for
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    Alphractal
    @Alphractal
    May 24, 2025
    🚨 Short-Term Holders Are No Longer Accumulating Bitcoin — Distribution is Back! The recent surge in Bitcoin’s price has pushed Short-Term Holders (STH) to start distributing their coins. But what does this mean for the market? Historically, when the STH Supply starts to
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    Alphractal
    @Alphractal
    Jun 11, 2025
    🚀 Altcoin Season 2025: Is It HAPPENING or Not? The Analysis You Need to See! The disappointment for many investors this market cycle has been the underperformance of altcoins. Few altcoins older than 5 years renewed their all-time highs, leaving a trail of losses and
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