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Annie Duke
19.3K posts
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Annie Duke
@AnnieDuke
Speaker/writer/student of decision science. Latest book #QUIT out now! Author of #ThinkinginBets & #HowToDecide. I used to play poker. Navigating uncertainty.
linktr.ee/annieduke
Joined March 2009
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  • user avatar
    Annie Duke
    @AnnieDuke
    Mar 18, 2019
    Instead of asking, “Are you sure? Try asking, “How sure are you?” “Are you sure” is a yes or no question. It demands unreasonable certainty. “How sure are you?” allows for shades of gray. It says uncertainty is okay. How often in a day do you casually ask, “You sure?”
  • user avatar
    Annie Duke
    @AnnieDuke
    Jan 28, 2021
    How do I let Reddit know that someone has a big short position on my book sales?
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    Annie Duke
    @AnnieDuke
    Jan 25, 2022
    Turning this sucker in. Let the editing begin!
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    Annie Duke
    @AnnieDuke
    Jul 26, 2018
    Perspective.
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    Annie Duke
    @AnnieDuke
    Mar 27, 2024
    My heart is broken. My friend, mentor, and idol Danny Kahneman passed. I don’t know how to process that I won’t ever get the joy of talking to him again. The world now has a hole in it.
    98K
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    Annie Duke
    @AnnieDuke
    Aug 1, 2021
    Do you take your child places in a car? If your answer is yes, then you agree with @NateSilver538 and @jonathanchait that certain risks are acceptable to children. Not sure why you think you disagree here?
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    Will Stancil
    @whstancil
    Aug 1, 2021
    If I ever end up in a place in my life where I go online and imperiously lecture how people need to recognize how cost-benefit analysis means certain risks are acceptable for their children, just shoot me
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  • user avatar
    Annie Duke
    @AnnieDuke
    Jul 28, 2022
    Wait? So 75% of them don’t regret quitting? That seems like the bigger headline.
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    Annie Duke
    @AnnieDuke
    Mar 21, 2022
    And that’s all folks! Editing is complete! 🎉🎉🎉 I can’t believe I am actually turning in the final manuscript. *Quit* will be out 10/4/22. Now I just have to be patient waiting for the release 🥺
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    Annie Duke
    @AnnieDuke
    Oct 19, 2018
    “A reliable way to make people believe in falsehoods is frequent repetition, because familiarity is not easily distinguished from truth.” – Daniel Kahneman, Thinking Fast and Slow
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    Annie Duke
    @AnnieDuke
    Mar 30, 2019
    Lots of great discussion of the upside of grit. But what about the upside of quitting? I’m really interested in thoughts on when grit and opportunity cost collide. What are the consequences of being too gritty? When does grit get in the way of good decision making?
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    Annie Duke
    @AnnieDuke
    Dec 11, 2018
    “Whatever you do in life, surround yourself with smart people who’ll argue with you.” - John Wooden
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    Annie Duke
    @AnnieDuke
    Jan 5, 2022
    I’ve been working on a little something over the past year... Coming out October 4th, 2022!
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    Quit: The Power of Knowing When to Walk Away
    From amazon.com
  • user avatar
    Annie Duke
    @AnnieDuke
    Jul 29, 2022
    “That’s strange. I remember it differently, in a way that aligns with my world view and casts me in a positive light.”
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    Annie Duke
    @AnnieDuke
    Mar 6, 2019
    “It is absurd that high school students are taught trigonometry but not statistics, and physical science but not social science.” Totally agree with @LHSummers CC: @HowIDecide nytimes.com/2019/03/03/bus…

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