The CER is an award winning think-tank devoted to making the EU work better and strengthening its role in the world. We are pro-European but not uncritical.
Latest CER estimate: the UK economy is 2.5 per cent smaller than it would be if Britain had voted remain. The knock-on hit to the public finances is £19 billion per annum – or £360 million a week.
cer.eu/insights/cost-…
.@johnspringford has updated his cost of Brexit model for the second quarter of 2022.
Britain’s economy is 5.5% smaller as a result of Brexit. #costofbrexitcer.eu/insights/cost-…
📺 @JohnSpringford spoke to @ITVJoel about the impact that Brexit has had on the UK economy.
His findings:
▪ GDP down by 5.2 per cent
▪ Investment 13.7 per cent lower
▪ Goods trade reduced by 13.6 per cent
All figures compared to a 'doppelgänger' UK economy still in 🇪🇺. 1/2
🇵🇱 🇪🇺 🇭🇺 The EU will soon decide on Poland & Hungary's recovery funding, in the context of democratic backsliding & corruption there. But these problems go beyond both countries.
However you prefer to get clued-up on our latest #anticorruption research, we’ve got you covered. /1
“China’s overproduction is quite staggering at this point,” said @SanderTordoir of @CER_EU. “The number of loss-making industrial firms in China is now at 180,000, which is at least three times as high as in any point in the last 25 years.”
buff.ly/472VgAW
Who should pay for reconstructing Ukraine?
Western governments want the private sector to do the lion’s share, but they would do better to use Russia’s frozen assets. 🇺🇦 🇷🇺
🆕 @CER_EU insight by @tashecon & @CER_IanBond ahead of #URC23
Disappointing to hear @theresa_may suggest that EU nationals have somehow been bending migration rules for years – it has been their (and UK citizens') right to move freely across EU & comment does not give due credit to big contribution EU nationals make to UK
Future historians will ask why the British government paid so little attention to economics during the negotiation. The short answer that Johnson’s government prioritised sovereignty.
New insight by @CER_Grant
"Brexit's supporters maintained leaving the EU would put rocket boosters under the UK economy. It has done the opposite, cutting the size of the economy by over 5%, according to the Centre for European Reform."
@Hugodixon quotes @JohnSpringford's research
No withdrawal agreement means no transition period: if there is a no-deal #Brexit, UK citizens living in the EU would become third-country nationals on November 1st.
New CER bulletin article by @CaminoMortera
Clarification re @Jacob_Rees_Mogg + @SteveBakerHW comments on @CER_Grant. “I did not say or imply that the Treasury had deliberately developed a model to show that all non-customs union options were bad, with the intention to influence policy,” @CER_Grantshar.es/1NEYQc
John Bolton is not a trade envoy–his concerns are Iran, China, Huawei “He is using the carrot of a potential free trade agreement with the US -something the UK and Brexit supporters have wanted for a while- as a means of applying pressure to the UK” @SamuelMarcLowe tells @SkyNews