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Christoph Trebesch
@Ch_Trebesch
Professor of Economics @kielinstitute. Fascinated by international finance and macro, political economy, geoeconomics
sites.google.com/site/christoph…
Joined October 2021
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    Christoph Trebesch
    @Ch_Trebesch
    Jan 31, 2023
    I am so happy to announce that I won an ERC Consolidator Grant for my project Great.Power.Finance on the impact of geopolitics on international capital flows across 200 years. Huge thanks to all those who have supported me along the way @ERC_Research ifw-kiel.de/publications/m…
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    Christoph Trebesch
    @Ch_Trebesch
    Sep 7, 2023
    📢 New update of our Ukraine Support Tracker. The big news: Europe overtakes the US by a large margin (total EU now 2x US). If we add UK, NOR, CH, then US commitments are only 45% of Europe’s (€70 bn vs €156 bn). This is a major shift compared to first year of war. A thread 1/7
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    Christoph Trebesch
    @Ch_Trebesch
    Feb 28, 2025
    Wir sollten JETZT die Ukraine Hilfen deutlich erhöhen. Um die USA zu ersetzen bedarf es weniger als 0.2% des EU BIPs pro Jahr. Das ist ein kleiner Bruchteil dessen was wir zu Corona 2020 mobilisiert haben. Wir sind ein reicher und handlungsfähiger Kontinent. Genug gezaudert
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    Christoph Trebesch
    @Ch_Trebesch
    Mar 28, 2023
    📢New paper on China's role in global finance and the difficulties of the Belt and Road. Sebastian Horn, @carmenmreinhart, Brad Parks and I show that China has created a new global system of rescue lending to countries in debt distress (large bailouts) 👇This is what we find, a🧵
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    Christoph Trebesch
    @Ch_Trebesch
    Apr 19, 2022
    Which countries help Ukraine and how? For answers, my coauthors and I @kielinstitute created the Ukraine Support Tracker. The paper and data just went online ifw-kiel.de/ukrainetracker. Spoiler: The US government is by far the most supportive. A thread
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    Christoph Trebesch
    @Ch_Trebesch
    Feb 21, 2023
    📢Is Western aid to Ukraine large or small? Our new Ukraine Tracker release takes a "big picture view" over 100 years. Main insight: It's comparatively small. US expenses in previous wars were far higher &the EU mobilized 10x more for other crises (Euro, Covid19, energy crisis)🧵
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    Christoph Trebesch
    @Ch_Trebesch
    Sep 7, 2023
    Replying to @Ch_Trebesch
    On Germany, I have been very critical in the past, but it has become a major, reliable donor, incl. a new €10bn military package. Total promised aid is now €51 bn (10bn short & 10bn long-term bilaterally, 17bn EU aid share + 14bn for refugees). That is not far from US (€70bn)
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    Christoph Trebesch
    @Ch_Trebesch
    Sep 7, 2023
    Replying to @Ch_Trebesch
    The EU also caught up with the US in military aid commitments. If we add Norway and the UK, then Europe's total military pledges now clearly exceed those of the US. This is the first time we see that in our data since early 2022
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    Christoph Trebesch
    @Ch_Trebesch
    Apr 19, 2022
    Replying to @Ch_Trebesch
    Regarding weapons and armaments, the gap between US support and all others is particularly large. Strikingly, tiny Estonia committed more weapons than each of the largest EU economies
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    Christoph Trebesch
    @Ch_Trebesch
    May 2, 2023
    📢The Africa Debt Database with @davidmihalyi is finally out! A new, free ressource for all. We cover 7000 external sovereign loans and bonds by African governments, 2000-2020. A key insight: Chinese & private debts charge higher interest 👇 Full access: ifw-kiel.de/africadebt
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    Christoph Trebesch
    @Ch_Trebesch
    Feb 16, 2024
    📢Big Ukraine Tracker Update: We started to track “aid allocation” (for delivery in near term), not just “commitments”. This reveals big differences in effective aid across Europe. Nordics & GER have moved far ahead in their allocated military aid (not just in their promises) 1/8
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    Christoph Trebesch
    @Ch_Trebesch
    Apr 25, 2024
    📢Ukraine Tracker update: The new US aid package is large, but no game changer. It will help to bring Western support back to the level of early 2023, but only for about 6 months. Europe remains in lead on overall support, but did NOT fill the gap left by the US. What else? 1/8
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    Christoph Trebesch
    @Ch_Trebesch
    Aug 18, 2022
    6th update of the Ukraine Tracker. Main insight: New commitments to Ukraine went to almost zero in July (only ca €1.5 bn added, of this €1 bn by Norway). No major new pledges by the large European powers 🇩🇪🇮🇹🇫🇷🇪🇸, see graph (some promised weapons were delivered, though)
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    Christoph Trebesch
    @Ch_Trebesch
    Sep 7, 2023
    Replying to @Ch_Trebesch
    On heavy weapons (tanks, howitzers, MLRS etc), Germany now accounts for almost half of all EU commitments (47% of total delivered and promised by EU countries, according to our estimates). Similairly, GER has now committed almost half as much as the US 👇
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