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Charlie Rafkin
@CharlieRafkin
Public and behavioral economics Postdoc @UCBerkeley @Stanford, then assistant professor @UBC
Boston, MA
charlierafkin.com
Joined February 2013
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    Charlie Rafkin
    @CharlieRafkin
    Mar 11, 2024
    Very happy to share that I will start as an assistant professor at @ubcVSE in Jan 2026, after postdoc visits at Berkeley and Stanford! So grateful for my time at @MITEcon, and for my fantastic advisors, mentors, coauthors, and classmates.
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    UBC Economics
    @ubcVSE
    Mar 8, 2024
    We're happy to announce three new hires, marking the end of a very successful recruiting year. Join us in welcoming Ying Gao, Charlie Rafkin (@CharlieRafkin), and Miguel Ortiz (@mortiz217 ) to Vancouver, and to UBC! Article: econ.cms.arts.ubc.ca/?p=32068
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    Charlie Rafkin
    @CharlieRafkin
    Mar 23, 2021
    My paper on how changing government guidance affects the public’s beliefs — joint with @AdvikSh and @plvautrey — is now up on the @JPubEcon website! This is my first publication (!), and I am excited to share a little about it (1/N) sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
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    Charlie Rafkin
    @CharlieRafkin
    May 1, 2024
    Earliest documented instance of econ hating… absolutely wrecked by Proudhon in 1840
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    Charlie Rafkin
    @CharlieRafkin
    Nov 20, 2018
    A charity scales up a development intervention, conducts rigorous testing, finds a null result, and then pulls back. Of course disappointing that this particular program didn't work, but this is exactly how policy should be done
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    Evidence Action
    @EvidenceAction
    Nov 19, 2018
    Today, we’re proud to share an in-depth piece about why we #TestAtScale as an essential part of our #Beta process that takes #evidence-based interventions & incubates them for #scale to cost-effectively ↓ burden of #poverty for millions. bit.ly/2S3zogP
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    Charlie Rafkin
    @CharlieRafkin
    Dec 16, 2022
    Mortality trends are catastrophic for people without a high school degree In our new AEJ: Applied paper, @thesamasher @paulnovosad and I show that selection alone is not responsible (using some nifty new tools)
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    Paul Novosad
    @paulnovosad
    Dec 16, 2022
    A 🧵 on our work on US mortality change, just out in AEJ:App, with @thesamasher and @CharlieRafkin. We ask: how concentrated is the U.S. pre-Covid mortality crisis? Is everyone doing a little worse, or is a small subset doing catastrophically worse? The graph is a spoiler 1/N
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    Charlie Rafkin
    @CharlieRafkin
    Sep 4, 2020
    when someone asks about my research plans for the semester
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    Charlie Rafkin
    @CharlieRafkin
    Mar 19, 2023
    Sharing some simple Javascript code embeds that can improve Qualtrics surveys for econ/social science research (+ if you have similar hacks, I'd love to see them!) github.com/crafkin/simple…
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    Charlie Rafkin
    @CharlieRafkin
    Sep 19, 2018
    Sam, Paul and I have a new working paper on intergenerational mobility in India. We find evidence of very low (and declining) Muslim upward mobility in India — a stark contrast with mobility trends for India's other major demographics: dartmouth.edu/~novosad/anr-i…
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    Charlie Rafkin
    @CharlieRafkin
    Apr 1, 2020
    During a global crisis, it is nice to have some constants to rely on. Gives a sense of normalcy e.g.: credulous coverage of correlational health studies as causal 🙃😩
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    Stuck Inside? Keep Walking (Published 2020)
    From nytimes.com
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    Charlie Rafkin
    @CharlieRafkin
    Jun 25, 2019
    Nothing to see here, totally normal democracy we have going
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    Andrew Yang🧢⬆️🇺🇸
    @AndrewYang
    Jun 25, 2019
    I will give $1,000/mo for the next 12 months FREE to someone who retweets this and follows me by July 4th 😃 Let's show why money is the answer & why this is the campaign for people. No purchase necessary. US citizens only. yang2020.com/rules
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    Charlie Rafkin
    @CharlieRafkin
    Jan 26, 2019
    What is the German compound word for "feeling surprised, alarmed, and somewhat sad that I did not know this very basic fact about a computer programming language that I have used full time for several years" 😱
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    ⑆Luke Stein⑈
    @lukestein
    Jan 26, 2019
    Important PSA: @Stata supports multiple missing values (not just “.” but also e.g., “.a”). Using “!=.” as a test for nonmissing values is NOT robust and is asking for trouble! (Using the popular “<.” is even worse.) PLEASE always use “~missing(•)” (even in joke tweets 😉)
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    Charlie Rafkin
    @CharlieRafkin
    May 26, 2023
    Replying to @salonium
    One flag is that the indirect effect on dementia is larger than the direct effect on shingles (at least in pp). My guess (based on v little tbf!) is that biologically plausible “passthrough” could be no larger than 1 in 5, but the study is not powered to detect effects that small
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    Charlie Rafkin
    @CharlieRafkin
    Nov 20, 2013
    Replying to @Longreads
    thanks to @Longreads for featuring my article on Upper Valley poverty. let's start this conversation in Hanover. lgrd.co/1jmTr1m
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    Charlie Rafkin
    @CharlieRafkin
    Nov 5, 2020
    Can both be true that: a. The polls were very bad, at least in some states. WI and MI polls had larger errors than '16 (even if they ultimately called the winner correctly) b. Polls are a better way of aggregating public opinion than the alternative (cringey diner interviews)