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Christian Wolf
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Christian Wolf
@ChristianKWolf
Assistant Professor @MITEcon. | Macroeconomics, Econometrics.
Cambridge, MA
christiankwolf.com
Joined October 2019
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  • user avatar
    Christian Wolf
    @ChristianKWolf
    Apr 5, 2021
    We just posted a new working paper on LP vs. VAR estimation of macro impulse responses. Comments very welcome, summary below! scholar.princeton.edu/sites/default/…
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    Christian Wolf
    @ChristianKWolf
    Sep 10, 2024
    Happy to see this out :) Also soon we'll be posting the first full version of our "HANK-meets-FTPL" follow-up, where we try to connect our results on the deficits-inflation link to the large FTPL literature.
    user avatar
    Econometrica
    @ecmaEditors
    Sep 10, 2024
    When households are non-Ricardian, fiscal deficits can stimulate economic activity and raise future tax revenue. We discuss the conditions under which this mechanism can be potent enough so that deficits finance themselves econometricsociety.org/publications/e…
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    33K
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    Christian Wolf
    @ChristianKWolf
    May 4, 2023
    New paper out on how fiscal deficits are financed, joint with Chen & Marios. Also available here: economics.mit.edu/sites/default/… I'll try to briefly summarize the main idea below.
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    NBER
    @nberpubs
    May 4, 2023
    If Ricardian equivalence fails and output is demand-determined, then fiscal deficits can finance themselves through a mix of output boom and higher inflation, from George-Marios Angeletos, Chen Lian, and @ChristianKWolf nber.org/papers/w31185
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    77K
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    Christian Wolf
    @ChristianKWolf
    Aug 23, 2021
    Just posted an updated version of my working paper on interest rate cuts & stimulus checks. Three main points on how I think about these two as macro stabilization tools. scholar.princeton.edu/sites/default/…
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    Christian Wolf
    @ChristianKWolf
    Mar 29, 2022
    Very excited to see this paper out in print! As always it was a pleasure to work with Mikkel. Brief summary thread ⬇️
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    journals.uchicago.edu
    Instrumental Variable Identification of Dynamic Variance Decompositions | Journal of Political...
    Macroeconomists increasingly use external sources of exogenous variation for causal inference. However, unless such external instruments (proxies) capture the underlying shock without measurement...
  • user avatar
    Christian Wolf
    @ChristianKWolf
    Nov 11, 2024
    We're happy to see this out, on deficits ➡️ inflation in HANK and in the FTPL. Some quick thoughts:
    user avatar
    NBER
    @nberpubs
    Nov 6, 2024
    Deficits in HANK models can be as inflationary as in the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level (FTPL). The mechanism, however, is different, grounded on micro evidence about consumption, and immune to FTPL controversies, from George-Marios Angeletos, Chen Lian, and @ChristianKWolf
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    26K
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    Christian Wolf
    @ChristianKWolf
    Jan 28, 2021
    Very happy to see this paper out now, working on it was a lot of fun! Quick summary👇
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    Econometrica
    @ecmaEditors
    Jan 27, 2021
    Local Projections and Vector Autoregressions share the exact same impulse response estimand. Any identification approach (short-run/long-run/sign restrictions, IVs, etc.) that works with one method can equivalently be implemented with the other method econometricsociety.org/publications/e…
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    Christian Wolf
    @ChristianKWolf
    May 20, 2024
    Recently posted a new working paper on LPs vs. VARs, joint with @EricQian252, Mikkel, and Pepe: economics.mit.edu/sites/default/… Some quick thoughts below.
    28K
  • user avatar
    Christian Wolf
    @ChristianKWolf
    Aug 22, 2022
    @AlisdairMcKay and I recently posted an updated version of our paper on time-series regressions and macro policy rule counterfactuals. My attempt at a summary 🧵
    user avatar
    NBER
    @nberpubs
    Aug 21, 2022
    How to use empirical evidence on policy shocks to predict the effects of changes in systematic policy rules, from @ChristianKWolf and @alisdairmckay nber.org/papers/w30358
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    Christian Wolf
    @ChristianKWolf
    Jun 5, 2023
    I really enjoyed working on this with @AlisdairMcKay, great to see it get published -- also some follow-up work coming soon!
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    Econometrica
    @ecmaEditors
    Jun 5, 2023
    This paper presents a method for using empirical evidence on the effects of policy shocks to construct counterfactuals following changes in policy rules, without violating the Lucas critique @ChristianKWolf @AlisdairMcKay econometricsociety.org/publications/e…
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    16K
  • user avatar
    Christian Wolf
    @ChristianKWolf
    Dec 15, 2021
    I recently posted a substantially updated version of my job market paper. Summary 🧵follows.
    user avatar
    NBER
    @nberpubs
    Dec 15, 2021
    Cross-sectional analysis often differences out general equilibrium (GE) effects; a look at when and how time series estimates of fiscal spending multipliers can help us learn about the missing GE part, from @ChristianKWolf nber.org/papers/w29558
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    Christian Wolf
    @ChristianKWolf
    Jun 13, 2023
    This year @luigi_bocola and I are organizing the NBER “Methods and Applications for DSGE Models” workshop, to be held in Philadelphia in October. The main theme will be inflation. Please send us your papers, both empirical and theoretical contributions welcome!
    37K
  • user avatar
    Christian Wolf
    @ChristianKWolf
    Jul 17, 2022
    Really enjoyed presenting my work with @AlisdairMcKay at @nberpubs EFG yesterday. Presentation (with technical hiccup at beginning...) & absolutely fantastic discussion by Valerie Ramey here (youtube.com/watch?v=z1C19H…) and paper here (economics.mit.edu/files/22578).
  • user avatar
    Christian Wolf
    @ChristianKWolf
    Jan 19, 2024
    Very much looking forward to this!
    user avatar
    Eleonora Granziera
    @EleGranziera
    Jan 19, 2024
    You can now submit your application to the latest EABCN Training School: "Empirical Methods for Business Cycle Analysis" by @ChristianKWolf, Manheim, June 10-12 2024 eabcn.org/sites/default/…
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    15K

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