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Tom Bliss
@DataWithBliss
Sr. Manager, Football Ops Data Scientist at @NFL. Alum of @Columbia (Data Science) and @UWMadison (Physics/Astronomy). Born / raised in Oakland, CA 🇬🇾🇺🇸.
New York, NY
Joined September 2018
Posts
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    Using linear optimization, here is how the 65 Power 5 teams from last season could be put into 5 conferences (each with 13 teams):
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    Using linear optimization, here is how NFL divisions could be recreated if they were built to minimize distance between teams: (due to large computational times required for confirming divisional grouping with lowest distances, this map may not represent global minimum)
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    Using our framework, 2023 KC had the most win prob added via luck of any playoff team since 2018. Most significant plays for KC: - BUF missed FG with 1:47 left (+18.7%) - BUF dropped 54 yd pass with 8:23 left (+18.3%) - Recovery of SF muffed punt with 2:42 left in Q3 (+15.6%)
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    Ball land locations of Hail Mary attempts via NGS:
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    For each NFL team, here are the top 5 colleges in terms of % of snaps played during the 2021 season. Which college does your team have the most snaps from? (Credit to @JEvanReid for idea)
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    For each NFL team, here is the % of snaps by the player's team that drafted them or signed them as undrafted FA:
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    Cody Davis: - Data science degree from Texas Tech - Former Big Data Bowl judge - Scored TD in NFL game
    Another Patriots TD! 📺: #NEvsDEN on @nflnetwork 📱: Stream on #NFLPlus atnfl.co/NEvsDEN
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    New dynamic kickoff -- where have teams kicked the ball thru week 4?
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    Using our analysis where we estimated value of travel, rest and playing at home while accounting for team strength, here are wins added via matchups and schedule advantages for each team in 2022:
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    Here is how NFL defensive personnel groupings have changed across seasons. While the 4-3-4 (4 DL, 3 LBs, 4 DBs) was the most popular grouping in 2007, the 4-2-5 (4 DL, 2 LBs, 5 DBs) was the most popular grouping in 2020. As teams pass more, we see more DBs on the field.
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    New dynamic kickoff -- where have teams kicked the ball thru week 8?
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    More NFL kickoffs than ever have resulted in a touchback in 2023, giving offenses more of an opportunity to pick where the want to start their possession. Here's what they've selected:
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    How does your team's head coach use their timeouts? Which head coach uses their timeouts most efficiently? We explore timeout usage at the #ExtraPoint. operations.nfl.com/gameday/analyt…
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    Many things can affect the outcome of an NFL game - some of which are out of a team's control or based on "luck". Here we analyze how luck can affect NFL games by looking at events that are purely determined by opponent performance or lucky bounces. operations.nfl.com/gameday/analyt…
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