Domer❤️‍🔥 (@Domahhhh) / X

Domer❤️‍🔥

3,114 posts

Domer❤️‍🔥

@Domahhhh

Full-time political bettor since 2007. I don't tweet much, and we're all better off for it.

Joined January 2018

Pinned
Domer❤️‍🔥
@Domahhhh
Jan 22, 2019
If you're interested in betting on anything as a serious endeavor, a few recommended reads: -Thinking, Fast and Slow -Intelligent Investor Ch 8 -Fortune's Formula -Cracking the Code - bloomberg.com/news/features/… -Deep Value -Big Short/Moneyball -When Genius Failed -Superforecasting
The Gambler Who Cracked the Horse-Racing Code
From bloomberg.com
Domer❤️‍🔥
@Domahhhh
Aug 26, 2025
Not a very consequential thing, but kinda funny: a Polymarket user named "romanticpaul" (yes, his real username) started aggressively buying Taylor Swift to be engaged starting yesterday afternoon around 3pm. He nearly doubled the price from a 25% chance (this year) to 45%. You
991K
Domer❤️‍🔥
@Domahhhh
May 30, 2024
Replying to @mkhammer
Congrats on the worst reaction tweet I've seen. Not only is this sentiment a poor one, but he is also obviously not going to jail so it makes no sense!
130K
Domer❤️‍🔥
@Domahhhh
Oct 16, 2024
A long-winded and winding update on Fredi9999 -- the person or entity -- who is singlehandedly rocketing up the price of Trump on prediction markets around the world. Spoiler alert: I managed to make contact with him, I think, and he blocked me after a few minutes. Sensitive
Fozzy
@fozzydiablo
Oct 16, 2024
Data suggests a single entity has been purchasing all Trump related bets on @Polymarket totaling $26 million. - Fredi9999 - PrincessCaro - Michie - Theo4 Taking a look at their betting activity we can analyze when the accounts are placing bets. What's most interesting is when
1.4M
Domer❤️‍🔥
@Domahhhh
Jun 13, 2025
Gets more interesting than this -- there is possibly/probably a leak somewhere. The price started inching higher 12 hours BEFORE the strike. There are signs that a Polymarket trader, with insider knowledge, is buying tons of shares ahead of Israeli strikes. The person (or group)
Joe Weisenthal
@TheStalwart
Jun 13, 2025
You can see pretty clearly in this chart. The polymarket contract on the strikes started moving before futures. Right around 7:47 last night. (Inverted the futures axis to make it clearer)
527K
Domer❤️‍🔥
@Domahhhh
May 8, 2025
So I just managed to make $100k on predicting the new pope today. If you're interested in reading how, I'll fully go through it. If you aren't, then see ya! But please say a quick prayer that I don't get excommunicated, thx. --- Alright, so normally I don't like to talk about
308K
Domer❤️‍🔥
@Domahhhh
Oct 7, 2024
Biggest current user on Polymarket is "Fredi9999" -- who is himself a curiosity. He is by far the largest holder of Trump shares, checking in at 7.2 million shares and counting. The user has a total of $6.4 million in positions, all of them on Trump. He also has a lot of cash
836K
Domer❤️‍🔥
@Domahhhh
Jul 31, 2024
Replying to @jacksonhinkle and @elonmusk
If you want to see fake numbers, a reminder that the geniuses at the CNE released perfectly round numbers. The odds of three numbers out of ten million votes being exactly round percentages is about a billion trillion to one:
78K
Domer❤️‍🔥
@Domahhhh
Oct 24, 2024
A rabid Trump bettor (and I mean rabid in the literal sense, he may have rabies) signed up for Polymarket today, and has bought almost $2m worth of Trump in the past hour. In his blood lust to buy buy buy, he bought the entire order book and decided to keep buying even though
219K
Domer❤️‍🔥
@Domahhhh
Aug 23, 2024
A very contentious market on RFK Jr. dropping out in his speech today started the day in the 90s for YES dropping out, crashed to the single digits during the speech, and settled in the 20s/30s post-speech. RFK Jr. announced he was exiting the race in 10 battleground states and
48K
Domer❤️‍🔥
@Domahhhh
Aug 3, 2024
Replying to @NateSilver538
Seems very obvious to me that Shapiro is a suboptimal pick, but I guess it's not obvious to a lot of pundits.
54K
Domer❤️‍🔥
@Domahhhh
Oct 2, 2025
My very long take on a potential Polymarket token, and the alleged $9b valuation. (Kalshi also has a nosebleed valuation, but I'm going to focus on Polymarket specifically here because of the rumored airdrop for users) I've been trading on Polymarket since January 2021,
PredictTrader
@polymarketbet
Sep 29, 2025
Crazy OTC trading of the @Polymarket token at an FDV of $9 billion. Higher. Over the past few days, we have seen a significant increase in OTC trading activity for the $POLY token. WEN?
447K
Domer❤️‍🔥
@Domahhhh
Jul 15, 2024
119K
Domer❤️‍🔥
@Domahhhh
Sep 10, 2025
The dumbest market on prediction markets rn is this Lord Miles promo that I am quoting. Long post ahead. For reasons that are beyond my comprehension, Polymarket teamed up with a pudgy, half-wit, animal-abusing, white-supremacist incel who calls himself "Lord Miles" and who
Polymarket
@Polymarket
Sep 9, 2025
BREAKING: Lord Miles reaches the halfway point of his 40 day water fast. His body has reportedly entered ketosis. 67% chance he makes it.
177K