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Eric Pachman
362 posts
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Eric Pachman
@EricPachman
Data detective | Analyst | Narrative storyteller
Dayton, OH
data4thepeople.com
Joined June 2024
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  • Pinned
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    Eric Pachman
    @EricPachman
    May 27
    hello there. I am moving all my insights and analysis exclusively to Data 4 The People. Good news is I have ramped ups my work (a new data insight every weekday!). So head on over to Data 4 The People and sign up for our email list!
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    Eric Pachman
    @EricPachman
    Jul 3, 2025
    Forget the headline on #payroll data. This was a brutal #Jobs report. Out of the +147k additional jobs, an astounding +138.6k came from State govt (+47k), Local govt (+33k), and Health care and social assistance (58.6k). The rest of job market created just 8.4k jobs. Our #data
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    Eric Pachman
    @EricPachman
    Jul 3, 2025
    Was a pleasure joining @JackFarley96 again to dive deep into our nation’s healthcare addiction and the risk to the job market as we try to reign in costs.
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    Jack Farley
    @JackFarley96
    Jun 26, 2025
    Out now - healthcare vet @EricPachman on a 2008 moment for U.S. Healthcare Why this "monstrosity" that employs more people than Finance & Tech combined is set for a recessionary implosion Apple 🔊 rb.gy/8k36yn Spotify 🔊 rb.gy/o0oi35
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    Eric Pachman
    @EricPachman
    Jul 3, 2025
    Was a pleasure joining @JackFarley96 again to dive deep into our nation’s healthcare addiction and the risk to the job market as we try to reign in costs.
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    Bancreek Capital Advisors, LLC
    @bancreek
    Jul 3, 2025
    Check out our Chief Analytics Officer, @EricPachman , on Monetary Matters, where he and @JackFarley96 discuss risks to the healthcare job market and how any resulting U.S. economic malaise could benefit Bancreek’s international large cap ETF, BCIL. bancreeketfs.com/posts/monetary…
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    Eric Pachman
    @EricPachman
    Aug 1, 2025
    WTF just happened?? #Payroll data misses for July, but that's not even remotely the story this month. Rather, it's the downward revision to prior months! Remember that +147k payroll gain reported last month? It was revised down to +14k. How about May, which was initially reported
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    Eric Pachman
    @EricPachman
    Jul 2, 2025
    According to @ADP ... "The ADP National Employment Report (NER) presents independent measures of the U.S. labor market based on ADP payroll data covering more than half a million companies" Meanwhile, the @BLS_gov reports surveying 651,000 establishments for nonfarm payrolls
    BLS Logo
    bls.gov
    Household and establishment survey response rates
    Household and establishment survey response rates
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    Eric Pachman
    @EricPachman
    Jul 7, 2025
    Is anyone else growing more concerned about the quality of the U.S. #economic #data on which the fate of markets hinge? Below is the #CES (Current Employment Statistics) survey (a.k.a. #nonfarm #payroll) response rate over time. It's down to just 42.6% from over 60% a decade
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    Eric Pachman
    @EricPachman
    Jul 31, 2025
    #PCE #inflation just came out at 2.6% YoY headline and 2.8% YoY core. Both numbers were above consensus expectations (2.5% and 2.7%, respectively). Note that the real "surprise" here was not June's number, but the upward revision to May's PCE number, which brought May's core PCE
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    Eric Pachman
    @EricPachman
    Jun 20, 2025
    Between 1990 and 2023 #Medicaid spending has grown from $72 billion to $894 billion. Over the same period, #healthcare and social assistance #Jobs have grown from 9.3 million to 21.5 million (and btw, as of May 2025 they were up to 23.1 million). Coincidence? Likely not. But the
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    Eric Pachman
    @EricPachman
    Jul 13, 2025
    Day 5. Chart of the Day. Hey everyone, great news! There is no problem with prescription drug #inflation! Well, at least according to the #CPI data that is. Average prescription drug inflation dating back to 2005 has been just 2.6% YoY, exactly in line with overall inflation.
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    Eric Pachman
    @EricPachman
    Oct 2, 2024
    Better late than never, we've updated our PCE #inflation item level analyzer to include last Friday's data release (Aug 2024 data). Note that essentially ALL of the decline from July (2.45%) to August (2.24%) PCE was driven by gasoline prices (20 of the 21 basis points).
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    Eric Pachman
    @EricPachman
    Jul 4, 2025
    Replying to @RayDalio
    and this likely assumes that cuts to Medicaid and other health care policy changes don't hurt the job market, leading to even lower inflows than are currently projected.
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    Eric Pachman
    @EricPachman
    Jul 2, 2025
    There is a growing disconnect between @ADP payroll data and the @BLS_gov #CES nonfarm payroll dataset, especially when it comes to Private education and healthcare services (of which I estimate ~85% is health care). Take a look at the following chart, which compares the two
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    Eric Pachman
    @EricPachman
    Aug 1, 2025
    Replying to @zerohedge
    Check our all the wreckage using my data visualization:
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    Eric Pachman
    @EricPachman
    Aug 1, 2025
    WTF just happened?? #Payroll data misses for July, but that's not even remotely the story this month. Rather, it's the downward revision to prior months! Remember that +147k payroll gain reported last month? It was revised down to +14k. How about May, which was initially reported
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