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Mark Pyruz
@INTELonIRAN
• Observing Iran military security + region related developments • Iran protest quantitative studies • Military history image interpretation & analysis
United States
Joined August 2012
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  • user avatar
    Mark Pyruz
    @INTELonIRAN
    May 12, 2024
    Replying to @websterkaroon
    I was there 1975-76. Much popular resentment over: • Foreign installed ruler • Ruler/family excesses • Western cultural shifts • Poverty (Tehran had a large visible shanty) • Large American presence, much of it military • Regime unreliability, heavy handed security More.
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    Mark Pyruz
    @INTELonIRAN
    Sep 5, 2018
    Replying to @wendyrsherman
    Americans like me seeking solution to Iran nuclear dispute were initially skeptical of Ms. Sherman, mistakenly focused on a non-related aspect of her past. However, during JCPOA negotiation/signage, we came away filled with respect and even pride towards critical role she played.
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    Mark Pyruz
    @INTELonIRAN
    Oct 9, 2022
    🗓️ Day 23, Mahsa Amini protests/rioting in Iran #️⃣ Daily turnout observed from visual evidence: 08 OCT: ~3526 ⬅️ (tentative) • Resurgent 3rd wave for protest demonstrations • 2nd highest total for protest period 📊 Bar chart ⬇️ 🧵 Thread 1/2 ⬇️
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    Mark Pyruz
    @INTELonIRAN
    Jun 28, 2024
    Replying to @ArmchairW
    Iranian arms industry modified M47 from ten years ago, project name Sabalan (named after an inactive volcano) ⬇️
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    Mark Pyruz
    @INTELonIRAN
    Jan 1, 2023
    Replying to @INTELonIRAN
    Cont. 🚨 FARAJA Special Forces deployment at Tehran 📌 Location: Valiasr near Engelab St (35.701744, 51.405356) ✏️ Security alert in response to online campaign for Bazaar, shopping center protesting 🛰️ Imagery 🎞️ Video stills ⬇️ 🧵 Thread 3/3 ⬆️
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    Mark Pyruz
    @INTELonIRAN
    Jun 17, 2019
    CENTCOM imagery of IRGC-N Gashti craft and crew— interesting details: - Crew wearing Hi-Viz life preserver survival vests. - Uniforms include what may be IRGC insignia (see insets). Observation: Unusual details, given presumption for mission deniability. Will IRI exhibit UXO?
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    Mark Pyruz
    @INTELonIRAN
    Jan 27, 2023
    🇦🇿 Azerbaijan embassy shooting at Tehran, first responders: A) FARAJA police conscripts (one wearing body armor) B) Three FARAJA police NCOs with conscript C) FARAJA Prevention Police CPT D) Emergency Medical Services EMTs 📌 Location: 35.767097, 51.454266
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    Mark Pyruz
    @INTELonIRAN
    Oct 31, 2022
    🔢 Estimation of crowd size for Saqqez mourning march: 10,800+ 🗓️ Event date: 26 OCT 2022 📌 Camera locations: Red: LOSs to NE and SW from overpass at 36.211057, 46.229322 Green: Outlet junction at 36.205993, 46.219779 🛰️ Imagery 🎞️Video stills📏Peds/distance⬇️ 🧵Thread 1/3⬇️
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    Mark Pyruz
    @INTELonIRAN
    Oct 27, 2022
    🗓️ Day 41, MA protests/rioting in Iran #️⃣ Daily turnout observed from visual evidence: 26 OCT: ~7541 ⬅️ (tentative) • Note: total does not include Saqqez cemetery march— visuals still being analyzed and will further update 📊 Bar chart ⬇️ 🧵 Thread 1/2 ⬇️
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    Mark Pyruz
    @INTELonIRAN
    Dec 15, 2022
    🗓️ Day 90, MA protests/rioting in Iran #️⃣ Daily turnout observed from visual evidence 14 DEC: ~56 ⬅️ (tentative) • Lowest total of current protest period • Most entries acts of arson & protest shouts from buildings 📊 Line chart ⬇️ 🧵 Thread 1/3 ⬇️
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    Mark Pyruz
    @INTELonIRAN
    Nov 18, 2022
    🗓️ Day 63, MA protests/rioting in Iran #️⃣ Daily turnout observed from visual evidence 17 NOV: ~2851 ⬅️ (tentative) • Protest mourners, related unrest 44% of total • Aban remembrance daily turnouts >75% higher than current period mean (avg) 📊 Line chart ⬇️ 🧵 Thread 1/2 ⬇️
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    Mark Pyruz
    @INTELonIRAN
    Mar 1, 2023
    This appears to be a terror campaign with the following intent: • Generate a Mahsa Amini like emotional response, street mobilization • Undermine the authority and credibility of security services • Divert security resources away from anti-establishment focus
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    Babak Taghvaee - The Crisis Watch
    @BabakTaghvaee1
    Mar 1, 2023
    Replying to @BabakTaghvaee1
    #BREAKING: In #Narmak, Eastern #Tehran, a primary female school was targeted by #Basij organization of #IRGC. Tens of school girls have been injured over use of toxic gas by supporters of #Iran's Islamic Regime. Parents of the schoolgirls are now protesting against the Regime: 👇
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    Mark Pyruz
    @INTELonIRAN
    Jan 5, 2023
    🗯️ Protest demonstrations & rioting in Iran 🔥 #️⃣ Daily turnout observed from visual evidence 04 JAN: 0 ⬅️ (tentative) • No credible visual evidence emerged of public protest demonstration • Rare zero occurrence, stretching back years prior to 16SEP 📊Chart⬇️ 🧵Thread 1/3 ⬇️
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    Mark Pyruz
    @INTELonIRAN
    Jul 29, 2019
    1/5 ANALYSIS of peak headcounts for street protests in Iran, 12-WEEK PERIOD from 21 MARCH to 12 JUNE 2019, observed from unverified imagery sources. See attachments:
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