Pinned
November 1st (2nd) Prediction.
My last prediction, I don't have much changing from October, I just don't see Dems doing well this election.
If I'm wrong you can make fun of this post but this is what I genuinely believe the election is at.
James 🇺🇲🇦🇲
12.8K posts
James 🇺🇲🇦🇲
@JaamesWJ
Dem from CT | Progressive and Social Democrat | I wish I didn't get 2024 right.
Connecticut
Joined January 2019
- I wonder what is happening right now in the timeline where the Selzer poll was right
- Stop saying Democrats have a guaranteed 2026 blue wave. This election has shown that there is something deeply wrong within the Democratic Party, and if nothing changes from here, then I don't see any reason why 2026 will be any different from 2024.
- I made a nationwide map of all districts having the same population as the smallest populated U.S. territory (47.3k) making 7,080 districts total including U.S. territories. If you want me to zoom in on a specific state or region put it in the replies.
- When fair districts are drawn the US House should have an approximate partisan breakdown of: 🟦295 Democrats - 210 SAFE DEM - 53 LIKELY DEM - 24 LEAN DEM - 8 TILT DEM 🟥140 Republicans - 132 SAFE GOP - 0 LIKELY GOP - 6 LEAN GOP - 2 TILT GOP
When fair districts are drawn the US House should have an approximate partisan breakdown of: 🟥 299 Republicans - 116 SAFE GOP - 148 LIKELY GOP - 30 LEAN GOP - 5 TILT GOP 🟦 136 Democrats - 117 SAFE DEM - 15 LIKELY DEM - 3 LEAN DEM - 1 TILT DEM Large metro areas below - Map of the SAVE Act vote today. There is no good reason for any Democrat to vote for this, but four did
- How would you react if this is the results of the 2024 NJ Senate election
- Hes very fat
Replying to @JaamesWJDo one of Chris Christie but you call him fat in every bullet point - Not good, I think this starts as lean RMaine Senator Susan Collins says she will seek reelection in 2026 — DC Examiner
- Is there any way to prevent this from passing?Statement today on LB 764 -- Winner-Take-All
- The Democrats have a shot to win EVERY seat up in 2026 *if* they get their top recruits. This could very well happen. ME - Mills WV - Manchin KY - Beshear OH - Brown IA - Sand KS - Kelly NE - Pansing Brooks SD - Herseth Sandlin WY - Cheney MT - Tester ID - Minnick AK - Peltola
The GOP has a shot to win EVERY seat up in 2026 *if* they get their top recruits. This could very well happen. GA - Kemp MI - Rogers NH - Brown MN - Coleman VA - Youngkin NM - Martinez IL - Kirk OR - Smith CO - Gardner DE - Castle NJ - Ciattarelii MA - Baker RI - Fung - If this is the only election result you see for 2026, what do you think happened?
- What would Democrats even gain by doing thisHouse Democrats considering purposeful absences to allow GOP’s Emmer, who voted to certify election, to win speaker election - Punchbowl
