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The fertility numbers for Chinese people are insanely low all over the world.
More Births
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More Births
@MoreBirths
Ideas for reversing the collapse in global fertility, the greatest challenge of our age. Humanity is precious.
HT to many great demographers and data analysts.
- Elevating the Status of Motherhood Solves Low Birthrates: The Extraordinary Case of Mongolia For 68 years, Mongolian leaders have given the Order of Maternal Glory to mothers. This raised the status of motherhood and helped forge a remarkably pronatal culture. 🧵, please share!
- What most people fail to grasp about the low birthrate crisis is the sheer speed of the decline. This chart (NYT) shows how much births dropped in 1 year. Births/woman from 2015 to 2023: 1.78 to 1.14 in Chile 1.79 to 1.45 in UK 2.24 to 1.35 in Argentina 1.24 to 0.72 in S Korea
- Extraordinarily low birthrates are being recorded in 2025. Demographers define "ultra-low fertility" as below 1.3 births/woman -- some 29 countries were that low. Countries at ~1.0 or less: Lithuania, Poland, Costa Rica, South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Thailand and Singapore.
We are now halfway through 2025 and it's time for the monthly birth update. For the overwhelming number of countries that have provided data so far, 2025 will bring yet another significant decline of the birth rate. - The fastest fertility collapse in the world In 2024 Chile recorded a fertility rate of just 0.88 births per woman, a drop of 23% in a year and 51% since 2015. No country has seen fertility fall as fast. A look at how social changes have overwhelmed 🇨🇱 and threaten its future. 🧵!
- South Korea's shocking population pyramid shows that demographic collapse is well underway. An added headwind in Korea (and China, too) is that there are a lot fewer women than men in the crucial 25-35 age range, the result of sex-selective abortions a generation ago.
Here's the female side of the South Korean age pyramid, in dark blue, overlaid on the male side. For the 25-35 age group, there are approximately 115 men for every 100 women. - Why Progressives Need to Care About Demographic Decline In recent years, concern about birthrates and the need for more children has come to be seen as a conservative issue. Most on the left are much less worried about population decline. They point out that even though fertility
Pronatalism is not wierd. It is the sensible position to have in 2024, unless you are completely innumerate or short-sighted. Some are now claiming that low fertility and birthrates are odd thing to worry about. That is nonsense. Worrying about this means you have a grasp of - Excessive Immigration Hurts Birthrates When migration overwhelms the housing supply, fertility plummets Housing costs are a big barrier to having kids in the US and other countries. Where immigration exceeds the ability to add housing, young people are priced out. The building
- Replying to @MoreBirthsMongolia's incomes are comparable its neighbors. It is urbanized. This is also not a case of religiously driven fertility: 🇲🇳 is primarily Buddhist and non-religious. This is about the status of motherhood. In 🇲🇳, the president himself gives an award to every mother of four! 3/8
- A wonderful new paper by @lymanstoneky shows how pronatal encouragement and raising the status of large families led to a 42% increase in the birthrate for married Georgian Orthodox couples and a 100% increase in third+ births! Cultural leaders can lift the fertility of nations!
How can we raise fertility? Today, I and 3 awesome coauthors have a new paper out at the Journal of Population Economics where we show that a huge part of the story has to be ELITE LEADERSHIP. When one Kartvelian elite decided to change his country, he succeeded. - Replying to @MoreBirthsMongolia's pro-motherhood culture stands out on a fertility map. Fertility in Mongolia has consistently been 2-3 times(!) higher than neighboring areas in recent years and it has been increasing over the past 20 years, even as its neighbors have seen birthrates plunge! 2/8
- Replying to @MoreBirthsMongolian mothers of six are presented with the Order of Glorious Motherhood, First Class. Second Class if you have four. Here celebrated mothers descend the steps of the State Palace in Ulaanbaatar on a red and gold carpet, the statue of Genghis Khan directly behind them. 4/8
- Colombia has had one of the fastest fertility drops in the world, from 2.57 births/woman in 2000 all the way down to 1.2 in 2024. How can it be that Colombia, with a GDP of 7K per year, has a fertility so much lower than the US? And why is this happening across Latin America? 🧵
📉 Total Fertility Rate (TFR) in the Americas: A Quiet Revolution Here are the most recent TFR figures (2023 or 2024) for the 10 most populous countries in the Americas, based on national statistical agencies: 🇺🇸 United States: 1.63 🇧🇷 Brazil: 1.47 🇲🇽 Mexico: 1.60 🇨🇴 Colombia:
