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Multipolarity The Podcast
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Multipolarity The Podcast
@MultipolarPod
Charting the rise of a multipolar world order.
Podcast.
Hosted by @philippilk and @admcollingwood.
Produced by @gavhaynes
patreon.com/user?u=867379
Joined January 2023
The obvious fact that the sanctions imposed on Russia have failed to achieve their aims is starting to become the mainstream view. It's therefore a good time to ask why this is, and what it says about the competency and strategic planning of Western political leadership. 🧵1/n
- This is meant to be funny, and it is, but -- and bear with me -- Russia joining the EU isn't the worst idea in the world. Russia is a natural resources superpower and the largest consumer market in Europe, so getting it into the EU would instantly solve many of Europe's economic
- The last 12 days in Israel and Gaza have shown us more than horror and depravity. They have shown us that #Multipolarity is no longer a theory or possible future state: it is here. We undoubtedly live in a Multipolar world order now. Worse, the West appears to be in a... 🧵[1/n]
- Multipolarity often highlights the internecine battle for Europe between the Atlanticists, who think the EU is best served by aligning with US strategic interests, and the Autonomists, who want the EU to pursue its own, independent strategy. But why is there such a battle? 1/n
- Today, Xi Jinping is to meet with Joko Widodo, the president of Indonesia, so let's discuss a subject that might seem dull and esoteric, but which is in fact crucial to the geopolitics and economics of the coming multipolar world order: Indonesia's trade policy. 🧵 1/nChinese President Xi Jinping will be in Chengdu to not only attend the World University Games but also to meet with several world leaders including Jokowi, President of Indonesia. Mature diplomacy even though China and Indonesia have problems in South China Sea. Hopefully,
00:00 - Submarines would be one of the most important weapons in the event of a war between 🇨🇳 and 🇺🇲. In numbers and capabilities of nuclear subs, the US Navy has a wide lead over the PLAN. So advantage America? Not so fast, Grasshopper. A 🧵 on why it's more equal than it seems. 1/n
- India is considering a ban on all rice exports in order to dampen inflation before the coming election. India accounts for a huge 40% of global rice trade. This is important, because food is now a big issue, even in the West. [READ NEXT TWEETS FOR ANALYSIS] [1/n]
- A 🧵 on why Europe's economic, political and social reality makes significantly higher defence spending unlikely, despite the broad consensus between European establishment figures and US analysts (most prominently on X @ElbridgeColby) and politicians. Desire≠Reality. 1/n
- Replying to @MultipolarPodThe modern world cannot survive without grain, fertilisers, oil or gas. It can without Western services. The flip side of this is that Russia's natural resource, industry and manufacturing strength make it largely autarkic. @policytensor, writing in June last year... 18/n
- Huge story. The US is attempting to use its lead in AI-relevant hardware, like Nvidia's chips, to cement its own AI lead -- which will likely be crucial for 21st Century economies -- and to pull non-aligned counties into the US orbit by restricting the AI-available computing
- Replying to @MultipolarPod...the size, development and importance of the Russian economy. The idea that Russia was "a gas station with nukes," had sunk into the Western received wisdom to such an extent that even usually thoughtful intellectuals like Yuval Noah Harari appeared to believe it. 8/n
- German manufacturing PMI is approaching Covid-lockdown levels. For months we have argued that sanctions cut off German industry from its most economically rational source of energy, and that this would obviously have negative consequences. The deniers are starting to look foolish
