There is an increased risk of extreme heat across much of Florida, including Miami, next week and into next weekend tied to mid-level high pressure. Heat index values may exceed 105 deg F. Little overnight relief expected with record high minimum temperatures possible.
NWS Climate Prediction Center
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Official X account for the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center. Details: weather.gov/nws_x
- NWS Climate Prediction Center repostedThe first true heat wave of the summer will arrive next week across much of the Central and Southern Plains, eventually making its way to the east coast towards the end of the week.
- A wet start to June is favored for Florida, which may bring much needed drought relief. According to the U.S. Drought Monitor valid May 19, nearly three-quarters of the state is designated with extreme (D3) to exceptional (D4) drought.
- NWS Climate Prediction Center repostedReplying to @NOAAAtlantic #HurricaneSeason Outlook 2026: Likelihood of 8-14 named storms of which 3-6 could become hurricanes, including 1-3 major hurricanes: bit.ly/2026AtlanticHu… @NWSCPC #HurricaneOutlook #WeatherReadyNation
- NWS Climate Prediction Center repostedJust in: NOAA forecasters predict a below-normal 2026 Atlantic #HurricaneSeason: bit.ly/2026AtlanticHu… @NWSCPC #HurricaneOutlook #WeatherReadyNation
- Southerly flow from the Gulf and a stationary front favor increasing chances of heavy rainfall along with localized river and flash flooding across portions of the south-central and southeastern U.S. beginning next week and continuing into the Memorial Day holiday weekend.
- El Niño is likely to emerge soon (82% chance in May-July 2026) and continue through Northern Hemisphere winter 2026-27 (96% chance in December 2026 – February 2027). An #ElNino Watch remains in effect. #ENSO cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analy…
- Temperatures are likely to reach the upper 90’s to around 100 degrees F centered over portions of the Central and Southern High Plains, with heat index values of 100-105 degrees F. Dry, gusty surface winds may elevate wildfire risk during the first few days of the week-2 period.
- May looks to be a busy month for possible tropical cyclone (TC) formation over parts of the western North Pacific. There is a 20-40% chance of TC formation around Guam and the CNMI during week-2, and greater than 60% chance of TC development in this same region during week-3.
- Temperatures are likely to reach the upper 90’s to around 100 degrees F centered over portions of the Central and Southern High Plains, with heat index values of 100-105 degrees F. Dry, gusty surface winds may elevate wildfire risk during the first few days of the week-2 period.
- Triple-digit heat is likely for parts of California and the Southwest late this weekend into next week, with highs potentially reaching 110 degrees F in the Desert Southwest, and 100 to 105 degrees F in southern sections of the Central Valley of CA.
- Unseasonably chilly and windy conditions likely across much of the Midwest and East late next week. Freezing or near-freezing temperatures may damage sensitive crops across areas of the Midwest. In some areas, high winds could result in low wind chills not typically seen in May.

















